Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.7#42
Expected Predictive Rating+10.5#56
Pace73.5#69
Improvement+0.1#179

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#56
First Shot+4.2#73
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#58
Layup/Dunks+2.0#103
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#286
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#89
Freethrows+0.9#120
Improvement+1.3#83

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#43
First Shot+6.1#32
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#244
Layups/Dunks+2.8#86
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#7
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#173
Freethrows+0.2#164
Improvement-1.3#279
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Top 6 Seed 7.3% 7.4% 2.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 49.8% 50.1% 29.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 48.6% 48.9% 28.5%
Average Seed 8.6 8.6 9.0
.500 or above 92.4% 92.7% 74.2%
.500 or above in Conference 70.9% 71.2% 55.6%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.3% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.6% 1.5%
First Four9.6% 9.6% 7.4%
First Round45.0% 45.3% 25.8%
Second Round23.1% 23.3% 12.3%
Sweet Sixteen6.2% 6.2% 2.3%
Elite Eight2.0% 2.1% 0.6%
Final Four0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Longwood (Home) - 98.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 8
Quad 27 - 410 - 12
Quad 34 - 113 - 13
Quad 47 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 249 American W 88-74 96%     1 - 0 +6.1 +5.7 -0.7
  Fri, Nov 7 322 Morehead St. W 81-65 98%     2 - 0 +3.4 -7.6 +9.1
  Tue, Nov 11 1 Michigan L 84-85 OT 9%     2 - 1 +25.9 +9.6 +16.5
  Sun, Nov 16 302 Umass Lowell W 109-75 97%     3 - 1 +23.2 +22.5 -2.0
  Thu, Nov 20 24 Texas Tech L 83-84 38%     3 - 2 +14.0 +10.2 +3.8
  Fri, Nov 21 75 Memphis W 69-68 65%     4 - 2 +8.7 +3.7 +5.1
  Tue, Nov 25 228 Campbell W 99-51 95%     5 - 2 +41.1 +20.8 +19.0
  Fri, Nov 28 209 Northeastern W 86-73 94%     6 - 2 +6.8 +8.4 -2.2
  Tue, Dec 2 44 Oklahoma L 68-86 63%     6 - 3 -9.7 -5.6 -3.5
  Sat, Dec 6 64 West Virginia W 75-66 62%     7 - 3 +17.6 +19.0 +0.0
  Sun, Dec 14 202 Queens W 111-73 94%     8 - 3 +32.2 +27.3 +4.0
  Wed, Dec 17 308 Longwood W 90-67 98%    
  Sun, Dec 21 11 Vanderbilt L 80-84 37%    
  Wed, Dec 31 29 @North Carolina St. L 78-83 31%    
  Sat, Jan 3 63 Virginia Tech W 81-75 72%    
  Wed, Jan 7 33 Miami (FL) W 79-77 56%    
  Sat, Jan 10 23 @North Carolina L 75-81 27%    
  Sat, Jan 17 104 @Florida St. W 85-80 66%    
  Tue, Jan 20 38 SMU W 81-78 60%    
  Sat, Jan 24 2 @Duke L 68-82 10%    
  Tue, Jan 27 107 @Pittsburgh W 76-71 67%    
  Sat, Jan 31 29 North Carolina St. W 81-80 52%    
  Sat, Feb 7 10 Louisville L 80-84 35%    
  Wed, Feb 11 130 @Georgia Tech W 79-72 74%    
  Sat, Feb 14 92 Stanford W 84-75 79%    
  Wed, Feb 18 35 Clemson W 74-72 58%    
  Sat, Feb 21 63 @Virginia Tech W 79-78 50%    
  Tue, Feb 24 148 @Boston College W 76-68 76%    
  Sat, Feb 28 68 Syracuse W 79-72 73%    
  Tue, Mar 3 26 @Virginia L 74-80 29%    
  Sat, Mar 7 81 California W 80-73 75%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.5 1.0 0.2 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.6 1.4 0.2 7.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 4.4 2.2 0.2 0.0 8.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.3 3.6 0.5 9.1 5th
6th 0.2 2.8 5.0 1.3 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 5.4 2.7 0.1 9.7 7th
8th 0.5 4.0 4.5 0.6 0.0 9.5 8th
9th 0.1 2.0 5.0 1.6 0.1 8.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.9 2.8 0.2 7.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 2.2 3.5 0.7 0.0 6.6 11th
12th 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.3 0.1 5.4 12th
13th 0.3 1.9 1.6 0.2 4.0 13th
14th 0.1 0.8 1.6 0.4 0.0 2.8 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.9 15th
16th 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.1 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 18th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.6 5.1 8.0 11.5 14.1 15.2 14.3 11.7 8.1 4.7 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 73.2% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
15-3 42.9% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 13.5% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 18.2% 81.8% 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.7% 100.0% 13.1% 86.9% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.0% 100.0% 7.8% 92.2% 5.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 4.7% 98.6% 7.8% 90.8% 6.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.5%
13-5 8.1% 95.1% 7.1% 88.0% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.9 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.4 94.7%
12-6 11.7% 87.4% 3.7% 83.7% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.5 2.9 2.0 0.6 0.0 1.5 86.9%
11-7 14.3% 72.1% 2.0% 70.1% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.8 3.4 1.7 0.0 4.0 71.5%
10-8 15.2% 54.1% 1.4% 52.7% 9.9 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.1 2.6 0.1 7.0 53.5%
9-9 14.1% 31.0% 0.7% 30.3% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.2 0.1 9.7 30.5%
8-10 11.5% 11.1% 0.4% 10.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.1 10.2 10.7%
7-11 8.0% 2.3% 0.3% 2.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.8 2.0%
6-12 5.1% 5.1
5-13 2.6% 2.6
4-14 1.2% 1.2
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 49.8% 2.3% 47.5% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.1 3.8 5.8 7.9 9.4 10.9 8.2 0.2 50.2 48.6%