Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#165
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#129
Pace64.7#304
Improvement-0.8#226

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#206
First Shot-2.6#250
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#111
Layup/Dunks+1.5#119
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#20
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.4#357
Freethrows+0.0#179
Improvement-1.1#264

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#129
First Shot+0.6#144
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#143
Layups/Dunks-4.1#315
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#250
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#37
Freethrows+0.9#130
Improvement+0.3#165
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.4% 24.1% 19.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.4
.500 or above 99.1% 99.7% 98.6%
.500 or above in Conference 96.9% 97.9% 96.1%
Conference Champion 29.9% 34.0% 26.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% 0.1% 0.5%
First Round21.3% 24.0% 19.1%
Second Round0.8% 1.1% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Away) - 43.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 34 - 6
Quad 419 - 423 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 297 Bryant W 82-66 83%     1 - 0 +5.6 +9.7 -3.2
  Fri, Nov 7 218 @Brown W 62-46 51%     2 - 0 +15.6 -4.0 +20.4
  Wed, Nov 12 111 @St. Bonaventure L 66-75 26%     2 - 1 -2.6 +2.4 -5.8
  Mon, Nov 17 180 Colgate L 69-72 65%     2 - 2 -7.4 -0.7 -6.9
  Fri, Nov 21 328 Albany W 73-63 88%     3 - 2 -3.1 +4.5 -6.0
  Mon, Nov 24 289 @Holy Cross W 73-69 64%     4 - 2 +0.0 +3.4 -3.0
  Fri, Nov 28 308 Longwood W 70-63 78%     5 - 2 -1.3 -5.4 +4.3
  Sat, Nov 29 249 @American W 59-55 57%     6 - 2 +2.1 -13.7 +15.8
  Sun, Nov 30 336 Maine W 64-60 84%     7 - 2 -6.8 +0.8 -6.9
  Fri, Dec 5 353 Niagara W 83-54 92%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +12.9 +9.4 +5.5
  Sun, Dec 7 340 Canisius W 74-52 90%     9 - 2 2 - 0 +7.8 +3.0 +6.8
  Wed, Dec 17 186 @Vermont L 67-69 44%    
  Mon, Dec 22 27 @Indiana L 61-79 5%    
  Fri, Jan 2 171 @Iona L 72-74 41%    
  Sun, Jan 4 348 @Rider W 68-59 79%    
  Fri, Jan 9 271 Merrimack W 70-61 78%    
  Sun, Jan 11 298 @Mount St. Mary's W 71-67 65%    
  Wed, Jan 14 257 Sacred Heart W 77-69 77%    
  Sat, Jan 17 320 @Manhattan W 76-70 72%    
  Mon, Jan 19 294 Fairfield W 74-64 82%    
  Thu, Jan 22 156 Marist W 66-63 60%    
  Fri, Jan 30 353 @Niagara W 70-60 82%    
  Sun, Feb 1 340 @Canisius W 68-60 77%    
  Thu, Feb 5 171 Iona W 75-71 63%    
  Sat, Feb 7 293 @St. Peter's W 67-63 64%    
  Fri, Feb 13 169 Quinnipiac W 73-70 62%    
  Sun, Feb 15 156 @Marist L 63-66 38%    
  Fri, Feb 20 271 @Merrimack W 67-64 59%    
  Sun, Feb 22 293 St. Peter's W 70-60 81%    
  Fri, Feb 27 294 @Fairfield W 71-67 64%    
  Sun, Mar 1 348 Rider W 71-56 91%    
Projected Record 22 - 9 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 3.7 7.4 8.7 6.0 2.7 0.6 29.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 4.9 8.0 5.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 22.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.7 6.7 3.9 0.7 0.0 17.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.9 5.2 2.5 0.4 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.6 3.2 1.3 0.2 7.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.1 0.7 0.1 4.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.5 0.0 2.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 3.6 6.2 9.1 12.8 15.1 16.0 14.0 10.7 6.2 2.7 0.6 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
19-1 99.9% 2.7    2.6 0.1
18-2 95.9% 6.0    5.3 0.7 0.0
17-3 81.3% 8.7    6.4 2.1 0.2 0.0
16-4 52.8% 7.4    3.6 3.0 0.7 0.0
15-5 23.1% 3.7    1.0 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.0
14-6 5.7% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 29.9% 29.9 19.6 7.9 2.0 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.6% 47.6% 47.6% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
19-1 2.7% 44.5% 44.5% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.5
18-2 6.2% 37.9% 37.9% 13.4 0.2 1.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.9
17-3 10.7% 32.6% 32.6% 13.9 0.1 0.9 1.8 0.7 0.0 7.2
16-4 14.0% 28.8% 28.8% 14.1 0.1 0.7 2.0 1.2 0.0 9.9
15-5 16.0% 23.1% 23.1% 14.4 0.3 1.6 1.6 0.2 12.3
14-6 15.1% 18.4% 18.4% 14.7 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.3 12.3
13-7 12.8% 14.7% 14.7% 14.9 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.3 10.9
12-8 9.1% 11.4% 11.4% 15.3 0.1 0.6 0.4 8.1
11-9 6.2% 7.3% 7.3% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 5.8
10-10 3.6% 4.7% 4.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 3.4
9-11 1.8% 5.4% 5.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.7
8-12 0.8% 3.7% 3.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.8
7-13 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3
6-14 0.1% 0.1
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 21.4% 21.4% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.8 8.0 7.1 1.7 78.6 0.0%