Radford
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#255
Expected Predictive Rating-12.7#330
Pace78.4#19
Improvement+4.3#11

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#221
First Shot-2.8#256
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#126
Layup/Dunks-4.6#326
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#280
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#123
Freethrows+1.8#84
Improvement+1.5#76

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#280
First Shot-2.6#260
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#240
Layups/Dunks+2.9#82
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#236
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#306
Freethrows-1.5#275
Improvement+2.9#20
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 5.7% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 19.1% 37.0% 16.0%
.500 or above in Conference 51.6% 62.2% 49.8%
Conference Champion 2.8% 4.8% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 2.4% 4.4%
First Four2.3% 2.1% 2.3%
First Round3.1% 4.6% 2.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: William & Mary (Away) - 14.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 411 - 712 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 354 Western Illinois W 80-75 86%     1 - 0 -11.7 +9.5 -20.6
  Tue, Nov 11 23 @North Carolina L 74-89 3%     1 - 1 +3.2 -0.2 +5.5
  Sat, Nov 15 144 Wright St. L 59-92 27%     1 - 2 -32.0 -15.0 -15.9
  Sun, Nov 16 321 Cleveland St. L 82-87 66%     1 - 3 -14.5 -9.6 -4.1
  Tue, Nov 18 87 @South Carolina L 58-87 10%     1 - 4 -19.9 -10.9 -8.6
  Fri, Nov 21 108 UNC Wilmington L 73-81 28%     1 - 5 -7.2 -1.2 -6.0
  Mon, Nov 24 38 @SMU L 72-89 4%     1 - 6 -1.9 -2.0 +1.8
  Wed, Dec 3 201 Southern Miss L 75-82 52%     1 - 7 -12.8 -6.2 -6.1
  Sun, Dec 7 363 St. Francis (PA) W 89-56 89%     2 - 7 +14.5 +9.7 +5.0
  Sun, Dec 14 364 Coppin St. W 107-77 93%     3 - 7 +8.5 +13.7 -8.3
  Thu, Dec 18 121 @William & Mary L 81-92 15%    
  Sun, Dec 21 331 VMI W 83-75 78%    
  Wed, Dec 31 262 @South Carolina Upstate L 77-80 40%    
  Wed, Jan 7 263 Presbyterian W 73-70 62%    
  Sat, Jan 10 222 UNC Asheville W 79-78 55%    
  Wed, Jan 14 357 @Gardner-Webb W 86-80 71%    
  Sat, Jan 17 308 Longwood W 84-78 72%    
  Wed, Jan 21 112 @Winthrop L 78-90 14%    
  Sat, Jan 24 105 High Point L 82-88 29%    
  Thu, Jan 29 267 @Charleston Southern L 78-81 41%    
  Sat, Jan 31 263 @Presbyterian L 70-73 41%    
  Wed, Feb 4 112 Winthrop L 81-87 31%    
  Sat, Feb 7 105 @High Point L 79-91 13%    
  Sat, Feb 14 267 Charleston Southern W 81-78 62%    
  Thu, Feb 19 357 Gardner-Webb W 89-77 86%    
  Sat, Feb 21 222 @UNC Asheville L 76-81 34%    
  Thu, Feb 26 262 South Carolina Upstate W 80-77 62%    
  Sat, Feb 28 308 @Longwood W 82-81 50%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.1 2.0 0.5 0.0 8.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 6.1 6.4 2.8 0.5 0.0 17.7 3rd
4th 0.2 2.8 7.7 6.4 1.7 0.1 18.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.9 7.9 5.4 1.1 0.0 17.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.5 6.6 4.5 0.7 0.0 14.5 6th
7th 0.3 2.2 5.0 3.4 0.6 11.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.0 1.9 0.3 7.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.9 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.6 5.7 9.5 13.3 16.0 15.7 14.1 10.3 6.5 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 95.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
13-3 64.2% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.0
12-4 27.2% 0.9    0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-5 6.8% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
10-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 18.2% 18.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.4% 21.5% 21.5% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-3 1.3% 20.5% 20.5% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0
12-4 3.3% 15.1% 15.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 2.8
11-5 6.5% 9.4% 9.4% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 5.8
10-6 10.3% 6.7% 6.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 9.6
9-7 14.1% 4.7% 4.7% 15.9 0.0 0.6 13.4
8-8 15.7% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.6 15.1
7-9 16.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.4 15.6
6-10 13.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 13.1
5-11 9.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.5
4-12 5.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.7
3-13 2.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.6
2-14 0.9% 0.9
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.2 95.9 0.0%