James Madison
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.1 #210
Expected Predictive Rating -3.5 #221
Pace 64.6 #292
Improvement +1.1 #133

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #142 C C C C- C+
Defense #289 C C F D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #256 1.13 #205 -2.1 #257
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #253 0.65 #325 -2.3 #290
Three Pointers 47% #58 1.07 #106 +4.5 #50
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #173 +0.1 #171
Freethrows 0.28 #250 72% #203 0.20 #236
Second Chance 28.4% #244 1.08 #125 0.31 #201
Turnovers 16.7% #197
Total Offense +0.7 #142

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #143 1.10 #107 +0.2 #164
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #281 0.72 #115 +1.6 #74
Three Pointers 43% #129 1.07 #258 -2.0 #279
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #187 -0.2 #187
Freethrows 0.36 #322 72% #187 0.26 #322
Second Chance 31.4% #219 1.00 #114 0.31 #166
Turnovers 11.7% #361
Total Defense -3.8 #289

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.6% #154 1.1% #270
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -0.4% #178 -0.6% #174
Possession Length 18.7 #313 17.4 #191
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #273 0.15 #120
Improvement -0.5 #210 +1.6 #84

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 4.3% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.6
.500 or above 44.3% 68.8% 38.7%
.500 or above in Conference 39.1% 65.9% 33.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.0% 4.3% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Troy (Away) - 18.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 33 - 63 - 10
Quad 412 - 615 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 62 @Akron L 71 - 85 9% -0  0 - 1 -2 -1 C F+ F -0 A+ C F+
 Sun, Nov 9 364 Coppin St. W 84 - 70 96% +13  1 - 1 -9 +0 C- F D+ -9 C- F A-
 Wed, Nov 12 257 @Longwood L 72 - 82 47% -8  1 - 2 -12 -2 D D B- -10 B B F
 Sat, Nov 15 227 @LIU Brooklyn L 79 - 88 41% -10  1 - 3 -10 +0 C+ D D -9 F A+ D
 Tue, Nov 18 163 Towson W 81 - 75 51% +3  2 - 3 +3 +20 A+ F A+ -17 D+ D+ F
 Mon, Nov 24 190 @Florida International W 80 - 72 35% -1  3 - 3 +9 +11 F A+ A+ -2 B- A+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 243 Nebraska Omaha W 88 - 77 56% +13  4 - 3 +6 +20 A+ A+ C -12 F D C+
 Sat, Nov 29 86 @George Mason L 66 - 82 12% -1  4 - 4 -6 +1 D C+ A+ -8 F+ A C
 Wed, Dec 3 343 NC Central W 67 - 62 86% +4  5 - 4 -10 -7 F D- C+ -3 B- D C-
 Sat, Dec 6 298 Norfolk St. W 68 - 67 77% +4  6 - 4 -10 -3 F C+ A- -7 F C- A-
 Wed, Dec 17 222 @Old Dominion L 68 - 77 41% -6  6 - 5 0 - 1 -10 -1 C D- D- -9 C A- F
 Sat, Dec 20 245 @Georgia Southern L 92 - 96 OT 45% +3  6 - 6 0 - 2 -6 +6 D- A- C+ -11 C B- F
 Mon, Dec 29 21 @Arkansas L 74 - 103 3% -17  6 - 7 -9 +8 A C- D -17 F+ F D-
 Sat, Jan 3 156 @Arkansas St. W 78 - 74 28% -2  7 - 7 1 - 2 +7 +5 A- D F +3 B A+ F
 Wed, Jan 7 168 Marshall L 64 - 66 52% -8  7 - 8 1 - 3 -6 -3 D- C+ D+ -3 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 222 Old Dominion W 70 - 69 64% -9  8 - 8 2 - 3 -6 -4 B F+ F -1 A- C+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 200 @Appalachian St. L 65 - 80 37% -11  8 - 9 2 - 4 -15 +6 F+ C A- -24 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 168 @Marshall L 72 - 77 30% +0  8 - 10 2 - 5 -3 +2 C- A- F -4 B+ D+ C+
 Thu, Jan 22 192 South Alabama L 83 - 90 58% -2  8 - 11 2 - 6 -12 +3 B+ C- F -14 C+ F F
 Sat, Jan 24 271 Texas St. W 82 - 57 72% +17  9 - 11 3 - 6 +16 +16 A B+ C +3 A- A F
 Thu, Jan 29 113 @Troy L 69 - 78 18%
 Sat, Jan 31 259 @Southern Miss L 73 - 74 48%
 Wed, Feb 4 314 Louisiana W 71 - 62 80%
 Sat, Feb 7 164 Toledo W 78 - 77 51%
 Thu, Feb 12 270 Georgia St. W 75 - 69 71%
 Sat, Feb 14 200 Appalachian St. W 69 - 66 60%
 Wed, Feb 18 236 @Coastal Carolina L 72 - 74 43%
 Sat, Feb 21 270 @Georgia St. L 72 - 73 50%
 Wed, Feb 25 245 Georgia Southern W 81 - 76 67%
 Fri, Feb 27 236 Coastal Carolina W 75 - 71 66%
Totals 15 - 15 8 - 10 -3 +1 C C C -4 C C F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 0.4 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 2.2 0.2 3.3 3rd
4th 0.0 3.8 1.2 0.0 5.0 4th
5th 1.1 5.0 0.2 6.3 5th
6th 0.0 5.2 2.3 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.7 8.6 0.6 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 4.4 5.1 0.0 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 10.0 1.3 12.1 9th
10th 0.1 4.7 7.2 0.1 12.1 10th
11th 0.0 1.7 9.1 2.2 12.9 11th
12th 0.1 1.6 6.4 5.3 0.2 13.7 12th
13th 0.1 1.0 2.6 2.4 0.3 6.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.1 1.1 4.2 10.6 20.2 24.7 21.5 12.6 4.3 0.7 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 6.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.7% 20.9% 20.9% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 4.3% 15.1% 15.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 3.6
10-8 12.6% 4.5% 4.5% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 12.1
9-9 21.5% 2.1% 2.1% 14.8 0.1 0.3 0.0 21.1
8-10 24.7% 0.8% 0.8% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 24.5
7-11 20.2% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 20.2
6-12 10.6% 10.6
5-13 4.2% 4.2
4-14 1.1% 1.1
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 14.4 98.0 0.0%