Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.4#358
Expected Predictive Rating-19.6#360
Pace73.5#72
Improvement-0.9#240

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#335
First Shot-3.9#287
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#325
Layup/Dunks-4.6#326
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#17
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#341
Freethrows+2.7#46
Improvement-0.3#206

Defense
Total Defense-8.2#360
First Shot-5.2#337
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#345
Layups/Dunks-1.5#234
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#67
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#255
Freethrows-3.4#345
Improvement-0.5#224
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 6.9% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.6% 6.2% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 34.9% 49.5% 34.8%
Conference Champion 2.4% 10.3% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 19.7% 13.1% 19.8%
First Four3.2% 6.9% 3.2%
First Round0.9% 1.6% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: California (Away) - 1.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 47 - 147 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 89 @Georgetown L 70-87 3%     0 - 1 -8.0 -4.4 -2.4
  Tue, Nov 11 285 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 79-81 32%     0 - 2 -11.6 -1.5 -10.1
  Sat, Nov 15 328 @Mercyhurst L 72-86 24%     0 - 3 -20.9 -0.6 -20.8
  Tue, Nov 18 304 N.C. A&T L 73-79 36%     0 - 4 -16.7 -3.5 -13.3
  Fri, Nov 21 205 @Old Dominion L 56-88 10%     0 - 5 -32.0 -14.3 -19.3
  Tue, Nov 25 287 Drexel L 66-71 32%     0 - 6 -14.7 -6.1 -8.9
  Sat, Dec 6 293 Longwood L 80-84 34%     0 - 7 -14.2 -3.2 -10.7
  Tue, Dec 9 109 @DePaul L 49-92 4%     0 - 8 -36.4 -17.2 -20.8
  Sat, Dec 13 353 Niagara W 81-73 57%     1 - 8 -8.1 +5.1 -12.9
  Fri, Dec 19 80 @California L 65-90 1%    
  Sun, Dec 21 94 @San Francisco L 64-87 2%    
  Tue, Dec 23 145 @Loyola Marymount L 63-81 4%    
  Sat, Jan 3 346 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 67-73 30%    
  Sat, Jan 10 361 South Carolina St. W 79-75 63%    
  Mon, Jan 12 350 NC Central W 74-73 52%    
  Sat, Jan 17 349 @Delaware St. L 71-76 31%    
  Sat, Jan 24 283 @Howard L 71-82 16%    
  Mon, Jan 26 226 @Norfolk St. L 65-78 11%    
  Sat, Jan 31 364 @Coppin St. W 77-76 54%    
  Sat, Feb 7 346 Maryland Eastern Shore W 71-70 52%    
  Sat, Feb 14 361 @South Carolina St. L 76-78 41%    
  Mon, Feb 16 350 @NC Central L 71-76 32%    
  Sat, Feb 21 349 Delaware St. W 74-73 52%    
  Sat, Feb 28 283 Howard L 74-79 34%    
  Mon, Mar 2 226 Norfolk St. L 68-75 26%    
  Thu, Mar 5 364 Coppin St. W 80-73 74%    
Projected Record 7 - 19 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 2.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 2.9 1.8 0.5 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.0 5.4 2.6 0.3 0.0 11.6 3rd
4th 0.3 4.0 7.7 2.9 0.3 15.1 4th
5th 0.3 4.8 8.6 3.3 0.2 17.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 5.0 9.2 3.6 0.2 18.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 5.2 7.4 3.1 0.2 0.0 17.1 7th
8th 0.4 1.9 4.0 3.9 1.3 0.1 11.4 8th
Total 0.4 1.9 5.2 9.6 14.0 17.4 16.7 14.2 9.9 6.2 3.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
12-2 94.5% 0.3    0.3 0.1 0.0
11-3 56.8% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0
10-4 29.3% 0.9    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
9-5 6.8% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.1% 31.0% 31.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.4% 22.7% 22.7% 16.0 0.1 0.3
11-3 1.1% 15.6% 15.6% 16.0 0.2 0.9
10-4 3.0% 14.6% 14.6% 16.0 0.4 2.6
9-5 6.2% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 0.5 5.7
8-6 9.9% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.5 9.4
7-7 14.2% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.5 13.7
6-8 16.7% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.5 16.3
5-9 17.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.3 17.1
4-10 14.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 13.8
3-11 9.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 9.5
2-12 5.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.2
1-13 1.9% 1.9
0-14 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 16.0 3.2 96.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%