San Francisco
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.5#95
Expected Predictive Rating+3.6#115
Pace66.2#271
Improvement-1.2#259

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#105
First Shot+0.1#165
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#31
Layup/Dunks-3.2#287
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#234
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#45
Freethrows-0.5#214
Improvement-0.7#238

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#97
First Shot+5.6#35
After Offensive Rebounds-3.1#345
Layups/Dunks+0.9#143
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#194
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#135
Freethrows+3.3#20
Improvement-0.4#222
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.0% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.1 11.1 11.7
.500 or above 81.0% 82.8% 58.1%
.500 or above in Conference 73.2% 74.1% 62.4%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.5% 0.8%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round1.8% 1.9% 1.0%
Second Round0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Home) - 92.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 31 - 5
Quad 23 - 44 - 10
Quad 36 - 310 - 13
Quad 48 - 218 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 75 @Memphis L 70-76 31%     0 - 1 +4.7 -0.5 +5.5
  Wed, Nov 12 177 Portland St. W 80-70 82%     1 - 1 +5.8 +9.8 -3.8
  Sat, Nov 15 116 Bradley W 75-64 69%     2 - 1 +11.3 +5.8 +5.9
  Tue, Nov 18 273 Northwestern St. W 84-64 90%     3 - 1 +11.1 +15.6 -1.9
  Sat, Nov 22 96 Minnesota W 77-65 51%     4 - 1 +17.3 +15.4 +3.2
  Thu, Nov 27 62 Colorado L 69-79 37%     4 - 2 -1.2 -0.8 -0.6
  Fri, Nov 28 98 Nevada L 65-81 52%     4 - 3 -11.0 -0.2 -12.2
  Wed, Dec 3 195 North Alabama L 63-65 85%     4 - 4 -7.4 -7.2 -0.4
  Sun, Dec 7 80 Mississippi St. W 65-62 43%     5 - 4 +10.4 +4.2 +6.5
  Sat, Dec 13 43 @Saint Louis L 75-85 19%     5 - 5 +4.7 +8.9 -4.2
  Wed, Dec 17 287 Loyola Chicago W 79-64 93%    
  Sun, Dec 21 359 Morgan St. W 87-64 98%    
  Sun, Dec 28 118 @Seattle L 69-70 47%    
  Tue, Dec 30 159 @Oregon St. W 70-68 58%    
  Fri, Jan 2 248 San Diego W 83-70 89%    
  Sun, Jan 4 243 Portland W 80-67 88%    
  Thu, Jan 8 134 @Loyola Marymount W 69-68 53%    
  Sat, Jan 10 292 @Pepperdine W 74-64 81%    
  Tue, Jan 13 39 St. Mary's L 67-71 37%    
  Sun, Jan 18 155 Washington St. W 77-69 77%    
  Sat, Jan 24 5 @Gonzaga L 66-85 4%    
  Wed, Jan 28 74 @Santa Clara L 72-77 31%    
  Sat, Jan 31 128 Pacific W 73-67 71%    
  Tue, Feb 3 134 Loyola Marymount W 72-65 73%    
  Sat, Feb 7 39 @St. Mary's L 64-74 19%    
  Thu, Feb 12 159 Oregon St. W 73-65 77%    
  Sun, Feb 15 248 @San Diego W 80-73 74%    
  Wed, Feb 18 5 Gonzaga L 69-82 11%    
  Sat, Feb 21 74 Santa Clara W 75-74 52%    
  Sat, Feb 28 128 @Pacific W 70-69 51%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.4 3.2 1.3 0.2 10.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.5 6.9 4.2 0.9 0.0 17.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.7 7.9 3.2 0.4 18.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 5.1 7.5 2.7 0.2 0.0 16.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.8 6.4 2.4 0.2 13.1 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 5.0 2.2 0.2 9.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 3.6 2.0 0.2 7.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.0 1.3 0.1 4.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.1 4.3 7.6 11.7 14.8 16.6 15.5 11.9 8.0 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-2 50.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-3 16.8% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 38.1% 19.0% 19.0% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.5%
16-2 0.4% 31.3% 11.6% 19.6% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 22.2%
15-3 1.6% 15.1% 8.9% 6.2% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4 6.8%
14-4 4.2% 8.7% 7.4% 1.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 3.8 1.5%
13-5 8.0% 4.4% 4.0% 0.3% 11.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 7.6 0.3%
12-6 11.9% 2.8% 2.7% 0.1% 11.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 11.6 0.1%
11-7 15.5% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 11.5 0.1 0.1 15.3 0.0%
10-8 16.6% 0.8% 0.8% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 16.5
9-9 14.8% 0.4% 0.4% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.8
8-10 11.7% 0.1% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 11.7
7-11 7.6% 0.2% 0.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.6
6-12 4.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.3
5-13 2.1% 2.1
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 1.9% 1.7% 0.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.1 0.3%