Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -0.1 #162
Expected Predictive Rating -1.4 #189
Pace 68.3 #197
Improvement -5.4 #353

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #252 C C- D+ F+ D+
Defense #94 B+ C C C+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #321 1.20 #124 -2.7 #277
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #112 0.72 #232 +0.8 #140
Three Pointers 44% #133 1.05 #125 +2.1 #113
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #165 +0.2 #165
Freethrows 0.24 #334 66% #346 0.16 #352
Second Chance 27.2% #274 1.06 #145 0.29 #246
Turnovers 17.8% #268
Total Offense -2.9 #252

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #185 0.99 #17 +3.2 #78
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #37 0.74 #146 -2.1 #329
Three Pointers 35% #338 0.96 #94 +4.3 #34
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #38 +5.4 #39
Freethrows 0.28 #123 74% #264 0.21 #148
Second Chance 31.5% #225 1.04 #174 0.33 #210
Turnovers 16.1% #201
Total Defense +2.8 #94

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.6% #291 -1.5% #64
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 2.1% #142 -9.2% #37
Possession Length 17.4 #177 17.0 #121
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #146 0.13 #59
Improvement -1.4 #257 -4.0 #348

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.3 14.0
.500 or above 20.7% 39.7% 15.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.4% 7.7% 0.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 11.6% 4.4% 13.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Home) - 23.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 36 - 67 - 13
Quad 47 - 414 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 241 Eastern Washington W 70 - 62 76% +1  1 - 0 +1 -8 F B D+ +9 B A+ C+
 Sat, Nov 8 327 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 94 - 72 89% +9  2 - 0 +9 +13 A+ F+ A+ -5 D+ C+ C
 Tue, Nov 11 266 @UTEP W 71 - 58 61% +3  3 - 0 +10 +6 A- A+ F +6 B+ B+ F+
 Fri, Nov 14 113 Troy W 74 - 63 48% +3  4 - 0 +11 +1 A- F C+ +10 B+ A- A+
 Mon, Nov 17 146 @UC Santa Barbara W 78 - 74 OT 35% -3  5 - 0 +8 -1 C D- D- +8 A+ C- F
 Mon, Nov 24 101 Florida Atlantic L 65 - 76 31% -7  5 - 1 -6 +0 C- D B- -7 D C+ B+
 Tue, Nov 25 214 Ohio W 70 - 58 62% +4  6 - 1 +9 -6 D D F +14 A+ B- A+
 Fri, Nov 28 238 Stony Brook L 68 - 71 75% -6  6 - 2 -10 -7 D+ B- F -4 C+ C- D+
 Tue, Dec 2 26 Saint Louis L 70 - 91 13% -12  6 - 3 -9 -3 C+ C D- -4 B+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 112 UC San Diego L 57 - 67 48% -3  6 - 4 -10 -16 C F F +7 B C- A+
 Fri, Dec 19 330 North Alabama W 91 - 57 89% +22  7 - 4 +20 +12 B+ A+ C +9 A+ B- F
 Tue, Dec 23 356 Morgan St. W 83 - 56 93% +16  8 - 4 +10 +2 B+ D+ F +8 A+ F A+
 Sun, Dec 28 42 St. Mary's L 73 - 78 20% -1  8 - 5 0 - 1 +4 +18 A A+ A -15 D+ F F
 Tue, Dec 30 123 Pacific W 80 - 71 52% -1  9 - 5 1 - 1 +8 +7 A+ F C+ +1 A+ C- C-
 Fri, Jan 2 131 @Washington St. L 76 - 78 32% +1  9 - 6 1 - 2 +3 +4 C- D+ B+ -1 D A+ C
 Sun, Jan 4 11 @Gonzaga L 47 - 82 3% -15  9 - 7 1 - 3 -12 -14 F D B- +1 C+ C+ D+
 Thu, Jan 8 98 San Francisco W 84 - 82 2OT 41% +1  10 - 7 2 - 3 +4 +2 C+ D A- +2 A+ D- C
 Sat, Jan 10 50 @Santa Clara L 72 - 103 10% -17  10 - 8 2 - 4 -17 -1 D C+ C -13 C+ D- F
 Wed, Jan 14 182 @Oregon St. L 70 - 76 45% -1  10 - 9 2 - 5 -5 -3 F A+ F -2 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 218 Portland L 58 - 71 73% -11  10 - 10 2 - 6 -19 -17 F D+ F -3 C+ B+ D
 Wed, Jan 21 124 @Seattle L 59 - 69 31% -12  10 - 11 2 - 7 -5 -4 B+ F F -1 A- D+ F
 Wed, Jan 28 182 Oregon St. L 69 - 72 67% -0  10 - 12 2 - 8 -8 -3 C+ D+ C+ -5 D- D- A+
 Sat, Jan 31 50 Santa Clara L 70 - 78 23%
 Tue, Feb 3 98 @San Francisco L 65 - 73 22%
 Sat, Feb 7 208 San Diego W 78 - 72 70%
 Wed, Feb 11 123 @Pacific L 66 - 71 31%
 Sat, Feb 14 281 @Pepperdine W 70 - 66 64%
 Sat, Feb 21 208 @San Diego L 74 - 75 49%
 Wed, Feb 25 131 Washington St. W 74 - 73 55%
 Sat, Feb 28 124 Seattle W 66 - 65 52%
Totals 14 - 16 6 - 12 +0 -3 C C- D+ +3 B+ C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.3 0.7 0.2 1.2 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 1.2 0.0 3.3 5th
6th 1.4 3.6 0.3 5.2 6th
7th 0.2 5.9 1.8 0.0 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 3.9 7.6 0.3 11.8 8th
9th 0.0 2.4 13.9 2.7 0.0 19.0 9th
10th 0.1 2.6 13.7 7.7 0.1 24.2 10th
11th 0.1 3.3 10.7 8.4 0.4 23.0 11th
12th 0.8 2.0 1.4 0.1 4.3 12th
Total 0.9 5.4 14.8 24.6 26.1 17.7 8.1 2.1 0.3 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.3% 0.3
9-9 2.1% 0.5% 0.5% 13.0 0.0 2.1
8-10 8.1% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 8.1
7-11 17.7% 17.7
6-12 26.1% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 26.1
5-13 24.6% 24.6
4-14 14.8% 14.8
3-15 5.4% 5.4
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.4 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 0.9%