Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#215
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#270
Pace70.6#161
Improvement+1.7#72

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#200
First Shot-0.4#183
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#235
Layup/Dunks-2.5#267
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#132
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#121
Freethrows-0.6#218
Improvement+0.2#169

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#245
First Shot+1.5#122
After Offensive Rebounds-3.6#350
Layups/Dunks-5.5#341
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#68
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.5#6
Freethrows-2.0#303
Improvement+1.6#68
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.0% 6.8% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.2 15.4
.500 or above 17.3% 24.6% 8.6%
.500 or above in Conference 65.0% 76.4% 51.3%
Conference Champion 5.8% 8.8% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.5% 2.4%
First Four1.0% 1.1% 0.7%
First Round4.6% 6.3% 2.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: James Madison (Home) - 54.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 8
Quad 33 - 63 - 14
Quad 49 - 412 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 106 @Miami (OH) L 72-87 17%     0 - 1 -8.1 -3.2 -3.9
  Tue, Nov 11 233 Norfolk St. W 60-57 64%     1 - 1 -4.1 -2.5 -1.1
  Sat, Nov 15 82 @George Washington L 73-96 11%     1 - 2 -12.7 -1.2 -10.4
  Tue, Nov 18 76 @Xavier L 69-99 10%     1 - 3 -19.3 -2.2 -15.3
  Fri, Nov 21 359 Morgan St. W 88-56 90%     2 - 3 +14.4 +9.9 +6.1
  Sun, Nov 23 272 @Drexel L 71-75 48%     2 - 4 -6.8 +2.1 -9.1
  Tue, Nov 25 36 @Villanova L 75-89 5%     2 - 5 +1.4 +12.6 -12.0
  Sun, Nov 30 121 @William & Mary L 75-88 19%     2 - 6 -7.0 -3.3 -2.2
  Sat, Dec 6 102 @Richmond L 77-86 15%     2 - 7 -1.3 +2.4 -3.1
  Sat, Dec 13 77 @George Mason L 61-73 10%     2 - 8 -1.3 -7.2 +6.1
  Wed, Dec 17 182 James Madison W 75-74 55%    
  Sat, Dec 20 244 Coastal Carolina W 76-72 66%    
  Sun, Dec 28 94 @Maryland L 70-82 14%    
  Wed, Dec 31 231 Appalachian St. W 70-66 63%    
  Sat, Jan 3 230 Georgia Southern W 82-78 63%    
  Thu, Jan 8 244 @Coastal Carolina L 73-75 44%    
  Sat, Jan 10 182 @James Madison L 72-77 33%    
  Thu, Jan 15 230 @Georgia Southern L 79-81 41%    
  Sat, Jan 17 231 @Appalachian St. L 67-69 42%    
  Wed, Jan 21 143 Troy L 74-75 44%    
  Sat, Jan 24 325 Louisiana W 72-63 80%    
  Wed, Jan 28 153 @Arkansas St. L 76-83 27%    
  Sat, Jan 31 240 @Texas St. L 70-72 43%    
  Wed, Feb 4 358 Louisiana Monroe W 83-69 89%    
  Wed, Feb 11 161 Marshall L 76-77 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 334 Georgia St. W 79-69 82%    
  Sat, Feb 21 201 @Southern Miss L 73-77 37%    
  Tue, Feb 24 161 @Marshall L 73-79 28%    
  Fri, Feb 27 334 @Georgia St. W 76-72 65%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.8 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.8 1st
2nd 0.4 2.2 3.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 7.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 2.0 4.2 1.9 0.2 8.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 4.7 2.8 0.3 0.0 9.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.4 4.3 0.6 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.1 2.6 5.4 1.3 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 5.6 2.9 0.1 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.2 4.4 0.5 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.8 1.4 0.0 9.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.9 2.0 0.1 7.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.9 2.0 0.2 0.0 6.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.0 13th
14th 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 14th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.6 6.4 9.6 12.7 14.6 14.5 12.8 10.1 6.7 3.5 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 98.4% 0.6    0.5 0.1
15-3 83.7% 1.6    1.1 0.4 0.1
14-4 52.9% 1.8    0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 19.5% 1.3    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.8% 5.8 2.7 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 26.8% 26.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 33.7% 33.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.9% 25.5% 25.5% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.4
14-4 3.5% 23.0% 23.0% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 2.7
13-5 6.7% 18.2% 18.2% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 5.5
12-6 10.1% 9.8% 9.8% 15.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 9.1
11-7 12.8% 4.9% 4.9% 15.8 0.1 0.5 12.2
10-8 14.5% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.4 14.2
9-9 14.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 14.5
8-10 12.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.7
7-11 9.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.6
6-12 6.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.4
5-13 3.6% 3.6
4-14 1.7% 1.7
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 2.1 95.0 0.0%