New Hampshire
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -9.8 #320
Expected Predictive Rating -9.9 #327
Pace 68.7 #178
Improvement +1.7 #109

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #339 D D D+ D B-
Defense #268 C C D+ D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #134 1.03 #323 -1.5 #238
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #284 0.64 #330 -2.8 #312
Three Pointers 44% #127 0.91 #310 -0.8 #212
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #323 -5.1 #323
Freethrows 0.26 #316 69% #278 0.18 #328
Second Chance 25.9% #309 0.97 #254 0.25 #308
Turnovers 18.4% #290
Total Offense -6.8 #339

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #23 1.16 #183 -3.9 #309
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #119 0.75 #153 -0.5 #226
Three Pointers 33% #355 0.99 #140 +4.6 #20
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #174 +0.2 #174
Freethrows 0.34 #299 75% #321 0.25 #316
Second Chance 31.8% #231 1.03 #192 0.33 #225
Turnovers 14.8% #297
Total Defense -3.0 #268

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.5% #78 0.6% #215
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -11.3% #343 -0.9% #169
Possession Length 17.5 #204 16.9 #118
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #207 0.14 #85
Improvement +3.0 #49 -1.3 #257

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.1% 9.7% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.9% 9.4% 1.4%
.500 or above in Conference 62.6% 86.8% 57.3%
Conference Champion 1.5% 7.0% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.1% 1.3%
First Four6.8% 8.7% 6.4%
First Round3.4% 4.4% 3.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Away) - 17.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 411 - 1011 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 33 @Clemson L 38 - 88 1% -26  0 - 1 -33 -24 F D- C -10 C B F
 Sun, Nov 9 165 @Harvard L 75 - 86 13% +6  0 - 2 -8 +3 B- D F+ -12 F A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 81 @George Mason L 44 - 61 4% -7  0 - 3 -7 -22 F B- F +14 A+ C B
 Tue, Nov 18 67 @Providence L 66 - 98 4% -13  0 - 4 -21 -5 F A F -16 F A- D
 Wed, Nov 26 280 Brown L 47 - 59 50% -5  0 - 5 -22 -23 F D- F+ +0 D+ B- C
 Sun, Nov 30 268 @Fairfield L 68 - 72 26% -0  0 - 6 -7 -2 F+ F A -5 D C C+
 Wed, Dec 3 229 @Dartmouth L 68 - 69 20% +2  0 - 7 -2 -5 D- F+ C+ +3 C A- C+
 Sat, Dec 6 289 Boston University W 88 - 82 OT 52% -6  1 - 7 -4 -1 C D C -4 A- F D+
 Wed, Dec 17 328 Stonehill W 59 - 58 63% +1  2 - 7 -12 -13 F D- D+ +1 C+ B A+
 Sun, Dec 21 24 @Saint Louis L 79 - 93 1% -3  2 - 8 +5 +11 A+ F+ A- -5 A- B F
 Tue, Dec 30 12 @Nebraska L 55 - 86 1% -10  2 - 9 -9 -6 D+ C- D- -4 A+ F C+
 Sat, Jan 3 211 Vermont L 61 - 80 36% -9  2 - 10 0 - 1 -25 -10 C- D+ F -17 F+ F D
 Thu, Jan 8 324 @NJIT L 76 - 80 39% +1  2 - 11 0 - 2 -11 -0 C+ D- F -11 C F F
 Sat, Jan 10 261 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 74 - 75 24% +3  2 - 12 0 - 3 -4 +8 B B D -12 F A+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 346 @Maine W 65 - 48 46% +12  3 - 12 1 - 3 +8 -1 C- F A- +11 A+ A+ C-
 Thu, Jan 22 361 Binghamton W 88 - 82 3OT 81% -6  4 - 12 2 - 3 -13 -9 F D C- -5 C- F+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 315 Albany W 80 - 72 60% +3  5 - 12 3 - 3 -5 +7 B B- D -11 F D+ A-
 Thu, Jan 29 314 Umass Lowell W 66 - 61 59% +3  6 - 12 4 - 3 -7 -12 F F+ C- +5 A- C+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 347 @Bryant L 84 - 92 46% -1  6 - 13 4 - 4 -17 +4 C- D C+ -20 F+ F D-
 Sat, Feb 7 211 @Vermont L 64 - 74 18%
 Thu, Feb 12 324 NJIT W 73 - 70 62%
 Sat, Feb 14 261 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 70 - 71 45%
 Thu, Feb 19 314 @Umass Lowell L 72 - 76 36%
 Sat, Feb 21 346 Maine W 67 - 62 68%
 Thu, Feb 26 361 @Binghamton W 71 - 68 63%
 Sat, Feb 28 315 @Albany L 69 - 72 38%
 Tue, Mar 3 347 Bryant W 71 - 66 68%
Totals 10 - 17 8 - 8 -10 -7 D D D+ -3 C C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.3 0.9 0.4 1.5 1st
2nd 0.6 3.5 2.0 0.1 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 8.2 6.1 0.6 16.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 12.2 11.2 1.6 0.0 26.5 4th
5th 0.6 9.0 11.0 1.3 0.0 21.9 5th
6th 0.1 4.0 9.2 1.4 14.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 5.5 1.8 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.5 2.3 1.4 0.0 4.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
Total 0.6 3.8 11.6 21.4 25.9 21.3 11.5 3.4 0.4 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 85.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.0
11-5 25.3% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1
10-6 2.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.4% 24.4% 24.4% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3
11-5 3.4% 11.1% 11.1% 15.9 0.0 0.4 3.0
10-6 11.5% 11.7% 11.7% 16.0 1.3 10.2
9-7 21.3% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 1.9 19.4
8-8 25.9% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 1.7 24.1
7-9 21.4% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 1.2 20.3
6-10 11.6% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.4 11.2
5-11 3.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 3.8
4-12 0.6% 0.6
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 16.0 92.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 15.6 45.0 55.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 0.5%