Oakland
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#144
Expected Predictive Rating+3.7#118
Pace76.8#31
Improvement-1.0#256

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#73
First Shot+4.4#69
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#177
Layup/Dunks+5.8#26
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#194
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#259
Freethrows+1.2#106
Improvement-1.6#299

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#288
First Shot-2.8#267
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#237
Layups/Dunks-2.0#259
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#252
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#273
Freethrows+2.4#52
Improvement+0.5#145
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.8% 31.8% 23.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.1 13.9
.500 or above 85.5% 96.0% 84.9%
.500 or above in Conference 97.3% 98.6% 97.2%
Conference Champion 45.6% 59.2% 44.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
First Round23.7% 31.8% 23.3%
Second Round1.3% 2.8% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Michigan St. (Neutral) - 5.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 35 - 45 - 10
Quad 413 - 319 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 1 @Michigan L 78-121 1%     0 - 1 -13.2 +13.1 -22.1
  Fri, Nov 7 7 @Purdue L 77-87 3%     0 - 2 +13.5 +13.1 +0.4
  Wed, Nov 12 8 @Houston L 45-78 3%     0 - 3 -10.0 -9.6 -4.7
  Mon, Nov 17 55 @Central Florida L 83-87 14%     0 - 4 +8.9 +11.6 -2.6
  Fri, Nov 21 224 @Eastern Michigan L 91-97 57%     0 - 5 -6.8 +13.6 -20.0
  Mon, Nov 24 242 Lamar W 83-68 71%     1 - 5 +10.3 +9.8 +0.2
  Tue, Nov 25 204 @Montana W 95-87 54%     2 - 5 +8.1 +11.5 -4.2
  Wed, Dec 3 220 Purdue Fort Wayne W 101-92 77%     3 - 5 1 - 0 +2.4 +13.7 -12.1
  Sat, Dec 6 167 Toledo W 98-97 68%     4 - 5 -2.8 +10.0 -12.9
  Sat, Dec 13 93 @Northern Iowa L 63-75 23%     4 - 6 -3.3 -3.6 +0.8
  Wed, Dec 17 195 @Northern Kentucky W 82-77 51%     5 - 6 2 - 0 +5.7 +6.7 -1.1
  Sat, Dec 20 11 Michigan St. L 70-87 5%    
  Mon, Dec 29 153 @Wright St. L 79-81 41%    
  Thu, Jan 1 166 @Youngstown St. L 79-80 45%    
  Sun, Jan 4 183 Robert Morris W 82-76 70%    
  Fri, Jan 9 329 Cleveland St. W 93-79 90%    
  Sun, Jan 11 153 Wright St. W 82-78 64%    
  Thu, Jan 15 233 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 85-83 57%    
  Sun, Jan 18 264 @Green Bay W 81-77 63%    
  Wed, Jan 21 357 IU Indianapolis W 105-87 95%    
  Sat, Jan 24 296 @Detroit Mercy W 84-79 69%    
  Wed, Jan 28 220 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 87-85 56%    
  Sun, Feb 1 195 Northern Kentucky W 86-80 71%    
  Wed, Feb 4 329 @Cleveland St. W 90-82 77%    
  Thu, Feb 12 166 Youngstown St. W 82-77 66%    
  Sun, Feb 15 183 @Robert Morris L 78-79 49%    
  Fri, Feb 20 264 Green Bay W 84-74 81%    
  Sun, Feb 22 233 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 88-80 77%    
  Wed, Feb 25 357 @IU Indianapolis W 102-90 86%    
  Sat, Feb 28 296 Detroit Mercy W 87-76 84%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 3.4 9.2 12.4 10.5 6.4 2.6 0.5 45.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.7 8.3 6.2 2.2 0.2 0.0 21.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.9 3.4 0.6 0.1 12.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 3.9 2.3 0.4 0.0 8.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 2.6 1.6 0.2 5.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.5 5.9 8.8 12.6 15.5 16.1 14.7 10.7 6.4 2.6 0.5 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
19-1 100.0% 2.6    2.6
18-2 99.8% 6.4    6.3 0.1
17-3 97.7% 10.5    9.5 1.0 0.0
16-4 84.7% 12.4    8.8 3.4 0.2
15-5 57.3% 9.2    4.6 3.8 0.8 0.1
14-6 22.0% 3.4    0.7 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.0
13-7 4.0% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 45.6% 45.6 33.2 9.7 2.3 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.5% 61.3% 61.3% 12.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2
19-1 2.6% 43.2% 43.2% 12.7 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 1.5
18-2 6.4% 41.5% 41.5% 13.1 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.8 0.0 3.8
17-3 10.7% 35.5% 35.5% 13.4 0.3 1.7 1.5 0.2 6.9
16-4 14.7% 30.7% 30.7% 13.8 0.1 1.3 2.4 0.7 10.2
15-5 16.1% 25.8% 25.8% 14.1 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.1 0.0 12.0
14-6 15.5% 19.8% 19.8% 14.2 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.0 0.1 12.4
13-7 12.6% 17.0% 17.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.1 10.4
12-8 8.8% 13.6% 13.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.1 7.6
11-9 5.9% 9.8% 9.8% 15.4 0.3 0.2 5.3
10-10 3.5% 5.1% 5.1% 15.8 0.0 0.2 3.3
9-11 1.7% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.1 1.6
8-12 0.7% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7
7-13 0.2% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
6-14 0.1% 0.1
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 23.8% 23.8% 0.0% 13.9 0.1 1.6 6.3 9.4 5.6 0.8 76.2 0.0%