Oral Roberts
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.2 #335
Expected Predictive Rating -13.4 #345
Pace 68.1 #201
Improvement -6.6 #363

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #330 D D C- C B-
Defense #315 C- D D+ C- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #165 1.02 #327 -2.3 #260
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #281 0.73 #217 -2.0 #280
Three Pointers 45% #96 0.91 #323 -0.4 #199
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #320 -4.7 #319
Freethrows 0.30 #204 72% #178 0.22 #191
Second Chance 25.7% #313 0.97 #263 0.25 #313
Turnovers 18.2% #259
Total Offense -6.2 #330

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 48% #4 1.09 #91 -4.0 #312
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #290 0.88 #339 +0.3 #164
Three Pointers 35% #337 1.10 #295 +1.8 #115
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #239 -1.9 #239
Freethrows 0.32 #232 71% #129 0.23 #223
Second Chance 32.9% #283 1.15 #324 0.38 #323
Turnovers 14.9% #304
Total Defense -4.9 #315

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.3% #102 2.2% #350
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -10.4% #337 1.5% #209
Possession Length 17.2 #172 16.5 #59
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #163 0.16 #128
Improvement -4.6 #352 -2.0 #291

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.9% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 56.0% 31.7% 57.7%
First Four0.4% 0.9% 0.4%
First Round0.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Thomas (Away) - 6.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 82 - 15
Quad 43 - 105 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 56 @Oklahoma St. L 71 - 95 2% -9  0 - 1 -11 -10 F D+ C- +3 A- F B
 Wed, Nov 12 69 Tulsa L 87 - 88 7% +2  0 - 2 +4 +9 A- C B -5 A- C C+
 Sat, Nov 15 73 Belmont L 60 - 83 8% -6  0 - 3 -18 -17 F F C+ +1 C+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 55 @Oklahoma L 71 - 95 2% -19  0 - 4 -11 +2 D A+ F -13 C+ F F
 Mon, Nov 24 223 @Florida Gulf Coast L 88 - 93 16% -0  0 - 5 -5 +9 A+ C+ F -14 F F D+
 Tue, Nov 25 144 Kennesaw St. W 91 - 83 13% -1  1 - 5 +9 +9 A+ F+ F -1 C C+ B-
 Wed, Nov 26 232 Rice L 62 - 81 25% -10  1 - 6 -23 -6 F A- D+ -19 F F D+
 Wed, Dec 3 230 @Weber St. L 66 - 92 17% -17  1 - 7 -27 -13 D F D- -13 F C+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 166 Montana St. W 72 - 68 23% -6  2 - 7 +1 +4 D- C D+ -3 D+ B- A-
 Tue, Dec 16 184 @Missouri St. L 62 - 63 12% -2  2 - 8 +0 -4 F+ D- C+ +4 C+ A+ D+
 Thu, Dec 18 50 @TCU L 53 - 72 2% -15  2 - 9 -6 -3 B F D+ -6 B- F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 161 Texas Arlington L 57 - 69 23% -6  2 - 10 -15 -11 F D+ D- -4 D+ D- C
 Thu, Jan 1 282 @North Dakota L 61 - 72 24% -10  2 - 11 0 - 1 -15 -15 F D B+ -0 C+ D+ B+
 Sat, Jan 3 141 @North Dakota St. L 77 - 79 2OT 8% +0  2 - 12 0 - 2 +2 +0 D- C B- +2 A F B+
 Sat, Jan 10 135 St. Thomas L 71 - 82 18% -2  2 - 13 0 - 3 -12 +1 C D- A+ -14 C C F
 Wed, Jan 14 289 @Denver L 87 - 98 26% -6  2 - 14 0 - 4 -15 +7 C+ D A -22 F D- D
 Sat, Jan 17 240 Nebraska Omaha L 62 - 73 36% -6  2 - 15 0 - 5 -19 -12 F D D- -7 D- A+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 282 North Dakota L 62 - 79 45% -8  2 - 16 0 - 6 -27 -14 F B F -14 C- F F
 Sat, Jan 24 141 North Dakota St. L 58 - 86 19% -19  2 - 17 0 - 7 -30 -9 D+ C- D- -24 F F+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 287 @South Dakota L 69 - 77 25% -1  2 - 18 0 - 8 -12 -9 D F B -3 A- F+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 177 @South Dakota St. L 72 - 95 12% -14  2 - 19 0 - 9 -21 -4 F D- A- -16 F F D-
 Sat, Feb 7 135 @St. Thomas L 67 - 83 7%
 Thu, Feb 12 358 UMKC W 76 - 69 73%
 Sat, Feb 14 177 South Dakota St. L 71 - 78 26%
 Wed, Feb 18 240 @Nebraska Omaha L 68 - 78 19%
 Sat, Feb 21 287 South Dakota L 79 - 80 46%
 Thu, Feb 26 289 Denver L 79 - 80 46%
 Sat, Feb 28 358 @UMKC W 73 - 72 51%
Totals 5 - 23 3 - 13 -11 -6 D D C- -5 C- D D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.2 6th
7th 1.3 5.2 3.8 0.5 10.8 7th
8th 12.0 23.7 12.7 1.8 0.0 50.3 8th
9th 3.2 14.8 15.6 3.8 0.3 37.7 9th
Total 3.2 14.8 27.7 28.9 18.2 6.1 1.2 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 0.1% 0.0 0.0
6-10 1.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.2
5-11 6.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 6.0
4-12 18.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.2 18.1
3-13 28.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 28.8
2-14 27.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 27.6
1-15 14.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.8
0-16 3.2% 3.2
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.8%