South Dakota St.
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#164
Expected Predictive Rating-2.5#208
Pace71.6#126
Improvement-1.3#278

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#177
First Shot+0.6#160
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#258
Layup/Dunks-1.1#225
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#104
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#141
Freethrows-0.7#229
Improvement+0.7#117

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#154
First Shot-1.2#222
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#69
Layups/Dunks+1.6#119
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#231
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#228
Freethrows-1.6#291
Improvement-2.1#317
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.7% 23.4% 18.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 76.2% 84.0% 62.4%
.500 or above in Conference 92.2% 94.0% 88.9%
Conference Champion 27.1% 29.4% 23.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.3% 0.7%
First Four1.5% 0.9% 2.5%
First Round21.1% 23.1% 17.5%
Second Round0.7% 0.7% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Neutral) - 63.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 53 - 10
Quad 414 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 266 Merrimack W 75-66 70%     1 - 0 +3.3 +0.3 +2.9
  Sun, Nov 9 93 @Northern Iowa L 58-65 20%     1 - 1 +1.7 -0.2 +1.2
  Wed, Nov 12 62 @Oregon L 69-83 13%     1 - 2 -2.1 +0.8 -2.8
  Fri, Nov 21 337 Georgia St. W 105-58 89%     2 - 2 +33.2 +25.0 +7.1
  Tue, Nov 25 82 Utah Valley L 52-75 25%     2 - 3 -16.2 -15.8 -0.4
  Wed, Nov 26 121 UC Irvine L 52-64 38%     2 - 4 -9.1 -16.7 +8.3
  Wed, Dec 3 271 @Northern Arizona W 75-62 60%     3 - 4 +10.1 +3.2 +7.2
  Sat, Dec 6 168 Idaho L 81-84 63%     3 - 5 -6.8 +5.2 -12.1
  Tue, Dec 9 307 @Ball St. W 68-64 69%     4 - 5 -1.3 +1.2 -2.1
  Mon, Dec 15 90 Wyoming L 72-87 27%     4 - 6 -9.1 +4.6 -14.3
  Fri, Dec 19 233 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 78-74 64%    
  Mon, Dec 29 3 @Arizona L 65-91 1%    
  Thu, Jan 1 231 Nebraska Omaha W 79-72 74%    
  Sat, Jan 3 344 @North Dakota W 78-70 77%    
  Thu, Jan 8 314 Denver W 86-74 86%    
  Wed, Jan 14 148 @North Dakota St. L 73-77 35%    
  Sat, Jan 17 347 UMKC W 80-65 91%    
  Thu, Jan 22 131 @St. Thomas L 72-77 32%    
  Wed, Jan 28 231 @Nebraska Omaha W 76-75 53%    
  Sat, Jan 31 300 Oral Roberts W 82-72 82%    
  Wed, Feb 4 131 St. Thomas W 75-74 54%    
  Sat, Feb 7 274 South Dakota W 86-77 79%    
  Thu, Feb 12 314 @Denver W 83-77 69%    
  Sat, Feb 14 300 @Oral Roberts W 79-75 64%    
  Wed, Feb 18 148 North Dakota St. W 76-74 57%    
  Sat, Feb 21 344 North Dakota W 81-67 89%    
  Thu, Feb 26 347 @UMKC W 77-68 78%    
  Sat, Feb 28 274 @South Dakota W 83-80 60%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.7 6.0 8.7 6.7 3.1 0.8 27.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.2 8.6 8.8 3.7 0.6 25.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.3 8.7 6.4 1.5 0.1 21.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.6 3.3 0.5 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.1 1.4 0.1 7.0 5th
6th 0.2 1.0 1.6 0.7 0.0 3.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 4.2 7.9 11.7 15.4 17.2 16.3 12.5 7.2 3.1 0.8 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.8    0.8
15-1 100.0% 3.1    3.0 0.1
14-2 92.4% 6.7    5.4 1.2 0.0
13-3 69.5% 8.7    5.2 3.1 0.4
12-4 36.9% 6.0    2.1 2.9 1.0 0.1
11-5 9.8% 1.7    0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 27.1% 27.1 16.7 8.0 2.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.8% 51.1% 51.1% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4
15-1 3.1% 41.1% 41.1% 13.3 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.8
14-2 7.2% 39.3% 39.3% 13.9 0.1 0.8 1.4 0.5 0.0 4.4
13-3 12.5% 33.8% 33.8% 14.3 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.6 0.1 8.3
12-4 16.3% 26.8% 26.8% 14.6 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.2 0.3 11.9
11-5 17.2% 19.4% 19.4% 14.9 0.1 0.8 1.9 0.6 13.9
10-6 15.4% 16.0% 16.0% 15.3 0.0 0.2 1.4 0.8 13.0
9-7 11.7% 12.8% 12.8% 15.6 0.0 0.6 0.9 10.2
8-8 7.9% 10.3% 10.3% 15.9 0.1 0.8 7.1
7-9 4.2% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.3 4.0
6-10 2.1% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.1 2.1
5-11 1.0% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.1 1.0
4-12 0.3% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3
3-13 0.1% 0.1
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 21.7% 21.7% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.3 2.5 6.5 8.4 4.0 78.3 0.0%