Wyoming
Mountain West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +3.1 #116
Expected Predictive Rating +2.0 #135
Pace 66.9 #232
Improvement -7.2 #365

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #107 C+ B- C B- B
Defense #141 C B+ C- D- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #39 1.12 #215 +2.9 #89
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #307 0.96 #10 -0.9 #226
Three Pointers 41% #184 1.01 #192 -0.1 #186
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #127 +1.8 #126
Freethrows 0.33 #116 76% #68 0.25 #84
Second Chance 36.7% #31 0.98 #262 0.36 #94
Turnovers 16.2% #164
Total Offense +2.5 #107

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #51 1.13 #141 -2.3 #257
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #306 0.80 #262 +1.3 #97
Three Pointers 40% #211 0.96 #105 +1.6 #122
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #164 +0.5 #164
Freethrows 0.38 #353 70% #82 0.27 #337
Second Chance 24.6% #20 0.98 #92 0.24 #24
Turnovers 15.9% #213
Total Defense +0.6 #141

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.5% #35 1.8% #333
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.0% #157 -2.7% #130
Possession Length 18.1 #250 17.3 #167
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #255 0.13 #53
Improvement -2.4 #308 -4.7 #356

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.7% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.5 12.0 13.1
.500 or above 59.3% 74.3% 42.1%
.500 or above in Conference 8.9% 14.2% 2.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.6% 0.7% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colorado St. (Home) - 53.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 21 - 62 - 12
Quad 34 - 35 - 15
Quad 411 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 216 Cal St. Fullerton W 92 - 82 81% +3  1 - 0 +4 +1 C- C- A+ +1 B A- A
 Tue, Nov 11 172 Austin Peay W 79 - 65 75% +5  2 - 0 +10 -1 C- C D+ +10 B+ A- A+
 Sat, Nov 15 218 Portland W 93 - 56 81% +16  3 - 0 +31 +18 B A+ B +13 A+ A+ D+
 Wed, Nov 19 115 @Sam Houston St. L 70 - 78 38% -3  3 - 1 -2 -1 B F+ D -1 B+ D B+
 Sun, Nov 23 298 Norfolk St. W 75 - 67 90% +11  4 - 1 -3 +2 F A+ F -5 C B+ C-
 Wed, Nov 26 284 Denver W 101 - 59 89% +16  5 - 1 +32 +17 C+ A+ C +15 A+ B- B
 Sun, Nov 30 15 @Texas Tech L 72 - 76 6% -2  5 - 2 +17 +10 B+ C- D +7 A- A- C+
 Sat, Dec 6 237 Dartmouth W 93 - 80 83% +1  6 - 2 +6 +13 A+ D- B- -8 F+ C A
 Tue, Dec 9 287 South Dakota W 106 - 79 89% +15  7 - 2 +17 +20 A+ B C+ -4 B- D- C+
 Mon, Dec 15 180 South Dakota St. W 87 - 72 67% +13  8 - 2 +14 +17 A A+ C- -3 C+ A- F
 Sat, Dec 20 75 Grand Canyon L 70 - 82 44% -14  8 - 3 0 - 1 -7 -0 D- A- B- -7 F A+ A
 Tue, Dec 30 347 @Air Force W 68 - 56 87% +5  9 - 3 1 - 1 +3 -5 F A- F +8 C- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 43 @New Mexico L 58 - 78 14% -6  9 - 4 1 - 2 -5 +3 C A- D+ -11 C F C+
 Tue, Jan 6 125 UNLV W 98 - 66 65% +20  10 - 4 2 - 2 +31 +22 A+ A C- +9 A- B+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 74 @Nevada L 83 - 92 23% -4  10 - 5 2 - 3 +2 +26 A+ A A+ -26 F F C
 Wed, Jan 14 41 San Diego St. L 57 - 74 29% -11  10 - 6 2 - 4 -8 -6 D+ F+ A- -3 C A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 149 @Fresno St. L 60 - 63 49% +2  10 - 7 2 - 5 +1 +1 C F F+ -1 C+ A+ F
 Tue, Jan 20 58 Boise St. L 65 - 81 37% -10  10 - 8 2 - 6 -10 +1 C+ B- C- -12 F+ A+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 249 San Jose St. W 66 - 62 85% +3  11 - 8 3 - 6 -4 -5 D- F B +1 B- A+ D-
 Wed, Jan 28 38 @Utah St. L 62 - 94 11% -22  11 - 9 3 - 7 -16 -0 F+ B B -17 F+ C F
 Sat, Jan 31 102 Colorado St. W 72 - 71 53%
 Tue, Feb 3 41 @San Diego St. L 67 - 79 13%
 Sat, Feb 7 38 Utah St. L 72 - 79 25%
 Sat, Feb 14 102 @Colorado St. L 69 - 74 32%
 Tue, Feb 17 149 Fresno St. W 75 - 69 70%
 Sat, Feb 21 75 @Grand Canyon L 67 - 75 24%
 Tue, Feb 24 58 @Boise St. L 67 - 76 20%
 Sat, Feb 28 347 Air Force W 77 - 59 95%
 Tue, Mar 3 74 Nevada L 71 - 73 44%
 Sat, Mar 7 249 @San Jose St. W 74 - 69 68%
Totals 15 - 15 7 - 13 +3 +2 C+ B- C +1 C B+ C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.2 1.1 0.1 4.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 6.2 3.5 0.3 12.0 7th
8th 0.1 2.6 10.4 7.3 0.8 0.0 21.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 4.4 14.2 9.8 1.3 0.0 30.0 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 6.7 13.1 8.4 1.3 0.0 30.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.1 1.5 7.7 17.7 25.3 23.5 15.4 6.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 3.4% 3.4% 11.0 0.0 0.3
11-9 1.8% 2.7% 2.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 1.8
10-10 6.7% 1.0% 1.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 6.6
9-11 15.4% 1.0% 1.0% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 15.3
8-12 23.5% 0.5% 0.5% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 23.3
7-13 25.3% 0.4% 0.4% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 25.1
6-14 17.7% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 17.7
5-15 7.7% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 7.6
4-16 1.5% 1.5
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 12.5 99.4 0.0%