Wyoming
Mountain West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.2#97
Expected Predictive Rating+4.8#102
Pace71.0#142
Improvement+0.7#137

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#106
First Shot+1.7#127
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#102
Layup/Dunks+1.8#110
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#142
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#194
Freethrows-0.1#185
Improvement+2.2#40

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#102
First Shot+1.3#126
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#114
Layups/Dunks-0.2#177
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#237
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.7#2
Freethrows-6.9#364
Improvement-1.6#294
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.2% 6.1% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 1.0% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.1 11.0 11.5
.500 or above 85.5% 90.2% 75.2%
.500 or above in Conference 62.4% 65.9% 54.8%
Conference Champion 4.2% 5.0% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.5% 1.0%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round5.0% 5.8% 3.1%
Second Round1.2% 1.4% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota St. (Neutral) - 68.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 5
Quad 23 - 54 - 10
Quad 35 - 38 - 12
Quad 411 - 119 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 269 Cal St. Fullerton W 92-82 90%     1 - 0 +1.3 -0.4 +0.0
  Tue, Nov 11 192 Austin Peay W 79-65 83%     2 - 0 +8.9 -0.5 +8.2
  Sat, Nov 15 243 Portland W 93-56 88%     3 - 0 +29.3 +16.4 +12.7
  Wed, Nov 19 125 @Sam Houston St. L 70-78 49%     3 - 1 -2.7 -2.4 -0.1
  Sun, Nov 23 233 Norfolk St. W 75-67 87%     4 - 1 +0.9 +5.7 -4.4
  Wed, Nov 26 312 Denver W 101-59 94%     5 - 1 +30.0 +15.7 +14.1
  Sun, Nov 30 24 @Texas Tech L 72-76 12%     5 - 2 +14.0 +8.9 +4.9
  Sat, Dec 6 245 Dartmouth W 93-80 88%     6 - 2 +5.2 +13.6 -8.8
  Tue, Dec 9 278 South Dakota W 106-79 90%     7 - 2 +17.8 +20.2 -4.0
  Mon, Dec 15 160 South Dakota St. W 78-73 69%    
  Sat, Dec 20 91 Grand Canyon W 74-72 58%    
  Tue, Dec 30 324 @Air Force W 75-63 86%    
  Sat, Jan 3 71 @New Mexico L 75-81 30%    
  Tue, Jan 6 141 UNLV W 83-76 74%    
  Sat, Jan 10 98 @Nevada L 72-75 40%    
  Wed, Jan 14 52 San Diego St. L 75-77 42%    
  Sat, Jan 17 183 @Fresno St. W 78-74 63%    
  Tue, Jan 20 47 Boise St. L 70-73 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 188 San Jose St. W 78-68 82%    
  Wed, Jan 28 46 @Utah St. L 71-80 21%    
  Sat, Jan 31 72 Colorado St. W 75-74 51%    
  Tue, Feb 3 52 @San Diego St. L 72-80 23%    
  Sat, Feb 7 46 Utah St. L 74-77 39%    
  Sat, Feb 14 72 @Colorado St. L 71-77 30%    
  Tue, Feb 17 183 Fresno St. W 81-71 81%    
  Sat, Feb 21 91 @Grand Canyon L 71-75 37%    
  Tue, Feb 24 47 @Boise St. L 67-76 21%    
  Sat, Feb 28 324 Air Force W 78-60 94%    
  Tue, Mar 3 98 Nevada W 75-72 61%    
  Sat, Mar 7 188 @San Jose St. W 75-71 64%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 2.5 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 3.7 2.7 0.6 0.0 8.5 3rd
4th 0.2 1.5 5.1 3.4 0.6 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 5.5 4.2 0.8 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 5.5 5.0 1.1 0.0 13.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.1 5.2 1.5 0.0 13.6 7th
8th 0.2 1.7 4.9 4.9 1.6 0.1 13.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.5 3.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 9.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.1 1.7 0.5 0.0 5.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 4.4 7.1 10.2 12.6 14.1 13.7 12.0 9.2 6.4 3.9 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 97.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 87.9% 0.7    0.6 0.1
16-4 67.7% 1.3    0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 33.2% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.2% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 66.2% 33.8% 32.4% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 48.9%
17-3 0.8% 40.4% 23.8% 16.7% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 21.9%
16-4 1.9% 30.2% 21.4% 8.9% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.3 11.3%
15-5 3.9% 19.7% 15.1% 4.6% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.0 3.2 5.4%
14-6 6.4% 11.9% 10.8% 1.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.1 5.6 1.3%
13-7 9.2% 8.0% 7.8% 0.3% 11.2 0.0 0.5 0.2 8.5 0.3%
12-8 12.0% 5.6% 5.6% 11.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 11.3
11-9 13.7% 3.4% 3.4% 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 13.2
10-10 14.1% 2.7% 2.7% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 13.7
9-11 12.6% 1.2% 1.2% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.4
8-12 10.2% 0.7% 0.7% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.1
7-13 7.1% 0.4% 0.4% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1
6-14 4.4% 0.5% 0.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 4.3
5-15 2.1% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 2.1
4-16 0.9% 0.9
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 5.2% 4.5% 0.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 2.8 1.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 94.8 0.7%