Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.6#334
Expected Predictive Rating-13.1#336
Pace71.8#120
Improvement-0.2#206

Offense
Total Offense-7.5#346
First Shot-8.3#359
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#128
Layup/Dunks-9.0#363
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#112
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#207
Freethrows+0.5#146
Improvement+0.7#113

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#277
First Shot-3.1#277
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#199
Layups/Dunks-3.7#307
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#221
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#192
Freethrows+1.1#114
Improvement-1.0#261
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.8
.500 or above 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 6.9% 15.9% 4.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 29.7% 14.1% 33.3%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Southern (Away) - 18.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 101 - 13
Quad 45 - 96 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 226 @Eastern Michigan L 49-71 18%     0 - 1 -22.8 -22.0 -1.2
  Fri, Nov 7 78 @Cincinnati L 64-74 4%     0 - 2 +0.5 -2.8 +4.0
  Mon, Nov 10 263 Presbyterian L 61-63 42%     0 - 3 -10.5 -3.9 -6.9
  Mon, Nov 17 61 @Arizona St. L 62-75 3%     0 - 4 -0.9 -7.0 +6.3
  Fri, Nov 21 160 @South Dakota St. L 58-105 10%     0 - 5 -43.9 -13.5 -29.3
  Tue, Nov 25 237 Samford L 63-78 27%     0 - 6 -19.1 -13.2 -5.9
  Wed, Nov 26 133 New Mexico St. L 58-77 13%     0 - 7 -17.3 -17.0 +0.7
  Tue, Dec 2 168 @Mercer L 67-78 12%     0 - 8 -8.8 -6.7 -1.8
  Sat, Dec 6 162 @Kennesaw St. L 69-92 11%     0 - 9 -20.0 -15.3 -0.8
  Sat, Dec 13 254 Jacksonville St. W 77-73 40%     1 - 9 -4.1 +7.2 -11.1
  Thu, Dec 18 230 @Georgia Southern L 73-83 18%    
  Sat, Dec 20 231 @Appalachian St. L 61-71 18%    
  Wed, Dec 31 161 @Marshall L 67-81 10%    
  Sat, Jan 3 244 @Coastal Carolina L 68-77 21%    
  Thu, Jan 8 231 Appalachian St. L 64-68 37%    
  Sat, Jan 10 161 Marshall L 70-78 24%    
  Sat, Jan 17 358 @Louisiana Monroe W 75-74 52%    
  Thu, Jan 22 201 Southern Miss L 71-76 33%    
  Sat, Jan 24 153 Arkansas St. L 74-82 23%    
  Thu, Jan 29 325 @Louisiana L 64-68 36%    
  Sat, Jan 31 179 @South Alabama L 63-75 13%    
  Wed, Feb 4 143 Troy L 68-77 21%    
  Thu, Feb 12 182 @James Madison L 67-79 13%    
  Sat, Feb 14 215 @Old Dominion L 69-79 18%    
  Thu, Feb 19 230 Georgia Southern L 76-80 37%    
  Sat, Feb 21 182 James Madison L 70-76 29%    
  Tue, Feb 24 244 Coastal Carolina L 71-74 39%    
  Fri, Feb 27 215 Old Dominion L 72-76 35%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 4th
5th 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 0.6 0.0 1.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 1.4 0.2 2.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.1 1.0 0.0 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.4 2.2 0.2 5.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.0 1.1 0.0 8.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.5 2.3 0.2 11.9 11th
12th 0.1 1.5 5.6 7.5 4.0 0.5 0.0 19.1 12th
13th 0.7 4.0 8.8 8.7 4.1 0.7 0.0 26.9 13th
14th 1.5 4.6 6.3 4.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 18.7 14th
Total 1.5 5.2 10.4 14.9 16.3 15.6 13.1 9.7 6.4 3.6 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 83.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 23.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.2% 10.6% 10.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4
11-7 0.9% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.9
10-8 1.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.8
9-9 3.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.6
8-10 6.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.4
7-11 9.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.7
6-12 13.1% 13.1
5-13 15.6% 15.6
4-14 16.3% 16.3
3-15 14.9% 14.9
2-16 10.4% 10.4
1-17 5.2% 5.2
0-18 1.5% 1.5
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.5%