Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#204
Expected Predictive Rating-6.7#267
Pace79.4#14
Improvement+0.4#144

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#249
First Shot-2.9#262
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#180
Layup/Dunks-0.8#211
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#210
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#196
Freethrows-1.2#260
Improvement-1.1#267

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#160
First Shot-1.5#230
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#68
Layups/Dunks+3.2#73
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#77
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#309
Freethrows-2.4#317
Improvement+1.5#82
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 27.3% 33.3% 27.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 14.8 15.6
.500 or above 55.6% 79.3% 54.8%
.500 or above in Conference 94.1% 96.5% 94.1%
Conference Champion 51.1% 64.0% 50.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four10.9% 5.2% 11.1%
First Round22.8% 31.6% 22.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Baylor (Away) - 3.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 20 - 7
Quad 31 - 31 - 9
Quad 415 - 615 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 21 @Arkansas L 77-109 3%     0 - 1 -13.4 +1.7 -10.6
  Wed, Nov 5 98 @Marquette L 82-100 15%     0 - 2 -9.9 +4.3 -12.1
  Tue, Nov 18 49 @Washington L 93-99 2OT 7%     0 - 3 +8.0 +3.2 +6.2
  Fri, Nov 21 187 @San Jose St. L 66-80 35%     0 - 4 -12.8 -7.4 -5.5
  Sat, Nov 29 273 @Northwestern St. W 75-73 51%     1 - 4 -1.0 -0.3 -0.7
  Mon, Dec 8 40 @Texas L 69-95 5%     1 - 5 -10.6 +0.4 -10.4
  Wed, Dec 10 257 @Texas St. L 83-86 48%     1 - 6 -5.4 +0.7 -5.7
  Tue, Dec 16 126 @California Baptist L 67-75 22%     1 - 7 -2.7 -2.6 -0.2
  Sun, Dec 21 32 @Baylor L 73-92 3%    
  Mon, Dec 29 12 @Illinois L 69-93 1%    
  Wed, Dec 31 331 @Alcorn St. W 81-76 67%    
  Sat, Jan 3 320 Texas Southern W 83-73 82%    
  Mon, Jan 5 327 Prairie View W 85-75 82%    
  Sat, Jan 10 335 @Florida A&M W 80-75 67%    
  Mon, Jan 12 261 @Bethune-Cookman L 76-77 48%    
  Sat, Jan 17 258 @Grambling St. L 73-74 48%    
  Sat, Jan 24 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 88-75 88%    
  Mon, Jan 26 365 Mississippi Valley W 87-64 98%    
  Sat, Jan 31 331 @Alcorn St. W 81-76 66%    
  Mon, Feb 2 318 @Jackson St. W 78-75 63%    
  Sat, Feb 7 281 Alabama A&M W 76-70 72%    
  Mon, Feb 9 282 Alabama St. W 82-75 72%    
  Sat, Feb 14 327 @Prairie View W 82-78 64%    
  Mon, Feb 16 320 @Texas Southern W 80-76 63%    
  Sat, Feb 21 258 Grambling St. W 77-71 69%    
  Thu, Feb 26 335 Florida A&M W 83-72 83%    
  Sat, Feb 28 261 Bethune-Cookman W 80-74 70%    
  Tue, Mar 3 282 @Alabama St. W 79-78 52%    
  Thu, Mar 5 281 @Alabama A&M W 74-73 51%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 13 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.9 6.8 11.6 12.0 9.7 5.8 2.5 50.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 5.9 6.1 2.9 0.7 0.1 17.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.0 4.0 1.2 0.1 10.1 3rd
4th 0.2 2.5 3.3 0.8 0.1 6.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 2.6 0.8 0.0 4.6 5th
6th 0.5 2.2 1.1 0.1 3.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 1.1 0.1 2.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.8 4.8 7.1 10.0 12.7 14.2 14.6 12.7 9.8 5.8 2.5 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 2.5    2.5 0.0
17-1 100.0% 5.8    5.7 0.0
16-2 99.4% 9.7    9.4 0.3
15-3 94.6% 12.0    10.5 1.5 0.0
14-4 79.2% 11.6    7.5 3.7 0.4 0.0
13-5 48.0% 6.8    2.7 2.9 1.1 0.1
12-6 14.9% 1.9    0.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1
11-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 50.5% 50.5 38.5 9.2 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 2.5% 53.2% 53.2% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.2
17-1 5.8% 44.8% 44.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.5 3.2
16-2 9.8% 41.7% 41.7% 15.3 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.7 5.7
15-3 12.7% 36.9% 36.9% 15.6 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.9 8.0
14-4 14.6% 31.7% 31.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.6 10.0
13-5 14.2% 27.1% 27.1% 15.9 0.4 3.5 10.3
12-6 12.7% 21.3% 21.3% 16.0 0.0 2.7 10.0
11-7 10.0% 16.8% 16.8% 16.0 1.7 8.3
10-8 7.1% 13.8% 13.8% 16.0 1.0 6.1
9-9 4.8% 11.8% 11.8% 16.0 0.6 4.2
8-10 2.8% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.1 2.7
7-11 1.3% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 1.3
6-12 0.7% 0.7
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 27.3% 27.3% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.3 1.8 6.8 18.3 72.7 0.0%