Arkansas
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +18.2 20
Results Rating +19.8 14
Consistency 0.16 252
Pace 75.9 22
Improvement +1.2 138

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A 5 A- A A B- B-
Defense B 49 B+ C- C+ B+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 25 A 69% 8 +8.9 4
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 164 C- 37% 202 -0.3 197
Three Pointers 34% 308 A- 39% 14 -0.7 201
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.5 107 A +7.1 14
1st FG Attempt A- 1.18 15
Second Chance B 35.1% 51 A+ 1.30 2 A 0.46 7
Opponents' Steals A+ 5.8% 1
Other Turnovers B+ 5.9% 37
Turnovers A 11.7% 1
Freethrows B- 0.33 112 B- 75% 85 B- 0.24 91
Total Offense A +13.0 5

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 55% 83 A 5.2% 2
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 34% 63 B+ 2.3% 19
Three Pointers C- 81% 253 B+ 0.1% 15
Total C+ 58% 110 A 2.8% 4


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 140 B- 55% 88 -0.5 156
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 99 C+ 36% 108 +0.4 224
Three Pointers 37% 283 A 28% 2 -5.2 7
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.1 131 B+ -5.1 26
1st FG Attempt B+ 0.91 35
Second Chance B- 27.4% 75 F+ 1.18 354 C- 0.32 225
Turnovers from Steals B- 11.0% 68
Other Turnovers D+ 6.5% 297
Turnovers C+ 17.4% 131
Freethrows B+ 0.25 32 B+ 69% 19 B+ 0.17 25
Total Defense B +5.2 49

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 207 A- 17.1% 25
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 120 B 7.6% 46
Three Pointers B 78% 42 B 1.6% 55
Total B- 51% 95 A 9.2% 13

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 14.8 8 18.4 321
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.33 1 0.13 58
Consistency 0.12 181 0.12 186
Improvement +2.2 79 -0.9 236

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 20 18 12
Results Rating Rank 14 14 7
Conference Record 13 - 5 13 - 5 13 - 5
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed 6 5 3
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Round 2nd Round Final 4

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 1% 0%
Top 2 Seed 5% 10% 1%
Top 4 Seed 40% 66% 19%
Top 6 Seed 97% 100% 95%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 100%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% n/a 100%
Average Seed 4.6 4.0 5.2
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 100%
Second Round87% 90% 85%
Sweet Sixteen45% 50% 42%
Elite Eight16% 17% 14%
Final Four6% 7% 6%
Championship Game2% 2% 2%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b5 - 17 - 9
Quad 28 - 015 - 9
Quad 34 - 019 - 9
Quad 46 - 025 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 278 Southern W 109 - 77 99% +21  96% 1 - 0 A +22 A +13 B- B- A+ B +4 B F+ D+
 Sat, Nov 8 11 @Michigan St. L 66 - 69 34% -2  25% 1 - 1 A +20 C+ +4 C- A F+ A+ +16 A+ C- A-
 Tue, Nov 11 169 Central Arkansas W 93 - 56 97% +16  98% 2 - 1 A+ +34 A- +10 A- C- A+ A+ +21 A+ D+ F
 Fri, Nov 14 207 Samford W 79 - 75 98% +8  97% 3 - 1 C -1 D+ -3 C F+ C+ C+ +2 B- C- D-
 Tue, Nov 18 156 Winthrop W 84 - 83 96% +1  50% 4 - 1 C -2 B- +5 C A+ A- D- -7 D F C-
 Fri, Nov 21 346 Jackson St. W 115 - 61 100% +30  90% 5 - 1 A+ +38 A+ +21 A+ A- A+ A+ +12 A+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 27 2 Duke L 71 - 80 22% -1  45% 5 - 2 A- +17 B+ +9 A- A- B A- +8 A+ F B-
 Wed, Dec 3 19 Louisville W 89 - 80 61% +10  99% 6 - 2 A+ +24 A +13 D+ A+ A A +10 A+ A F+
 Sat, Dec 6 133 Fresno St. W 82 - 58 95% +15  95% 7 - 2 A +23 B- +5 A- D+ A+ A+ +17 A+ B- A+
 Sat, Dec 13 18 Texas Tech W 93 - 86 50% -2  17% 8 - 2 A+ +25 A+ +30 A+ A+ A+ D+ -4 B- F+ F
 Tue, Dec 16 192 Queens W 108 - 80 97% +20  90% 9 - 2 A +23 A +12 A A+ D- A- +8 A F+ A+
 Sat, Dec 20 5 Houston L 85 - 94 33% -10  3% 9 - 3 B+ +14 A+ +17 A+ A+ A+ D+ -3 D F+ C
 Mon, Dec 29 209 James Madison W 103 - 74 98% +17  89% 10 - 3 A +23 A+ +24 A+ A+ A- C -1 C- D+ B+
 Sat, Jan 3 17 Tennessee W 86 - 75 61% +1  51% 11 - 3 1 - 0 A+ +26 A +14 B- A+ C- A+ +12 B+ A- B
 Wed, Jan 7 63 @Mississippi W 94 - 87 71% +7  94% 12 - 3 2 - 0 A +19 A+ +23 A+ A B+ D+ -4 F A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 39 @Auburn L 73 - 95 56% -15  5% 12 - 4 2 - 1 D+ -5 C +0 C D+ B+ D -5 F+ F C
 Wed, Jan 14 94 South Carolina W 108 - 74 92% +18  95% 13 - 4 3 - 1 A+ +37 A+ +30 A+ A+ A+ B+ +5 B C A+
 Sat, Jan 17 29 @Georgia L 76 - 90 50% -10  0% 13 - 5 3 - 2 C+ +4 D -6 D- A+ D A+ +12 B+ C- A+
 Tue, Jan 20 9 Vanderbilt W 93 - 68 56% +15  96% 14 - 5 4 - 2 A+ +42 A+ +27 A+ A+ A+ A+ +16 A+ F B
 Sat, Jan 24 59 LSU W 85 - 81 86% -1  27% 15 - 5 5 - 2 B +11 A +12 A+ C A- C -1 A+ F D+
 Tue, Jan 27 32 @Oklahoma W 83 - 79 55% -2  29% 16 - 5 6 - 2 A +21 A +14 B+ A A+ A- +8 A- C- A-
 Sat, Jan 31 25 Kentucky L 77 - 85 69% -5  10% 16 - 6 6 - 3 B- +5 A- +11 A+ C- A+ D- -7 F+ B F+
 Sat, Feb 7 95 @Mississippi St. W 88 - 68 82% +12  88% 17 - 6 7 - 3 A+ +29 A+ +17 A+ B- A A+ +12 A- A- C+
 Tue, Feb 10 59 @LSU W 91 - 62 70% +18  99% 18 - 6 8 - 3 A+ +42 A +14 A B B A+ +26 A+ A+ A-
 Sat, Feb 14 39 Auburn W 88 - 75 76% +8  85% 19 - 6 9 - 3 A+ +24 A+ +18 A+ A A+ B+ +6 A+ B F+
 Wed, Feb 18 16 @Alabama L 115 - 117 2OT 38% +4  60% 19 - 7 9 - 4 A +19 A+ +22 A+ A A+ C- -3 F+ B- B-
 Sat, Feb 21 47 Missouri W 94 - 86 82% +2  64% 20 - 7 10 - 4 A- +17 A+ +23 A A+ A+ D- -7 D A D-
 Wed, Feb 25 35 Texas A&M W 99 - 84 76% +7  82% 21 - 7 11 - 4 A+ +26 A+ +19 B A+ A+ B+ +6 D- A+ A+
 Sat, Feb 28 4 @Florida L 77 - 111 19% -18  13% 21 - 8 11 - 5 D+ -6 B- +5 D A+ A+ D- -7 D- F C-
 Wed, Mar 4 37 Texas W 105 - 85 76% +16  96% 22 - 8 12 - 5 A+ +31 A+ +19 A+ B- B A +10 B- A+ D-
 Sat, Mar 7 47 @Missouri W 88 - 84 OT 64% +3  64% 23 - 8 13 - 5 A +19 A- +11 B+ A A- A- +8 A- A C-
 Fri, Mar 13 32 Oklahoma W 82 - 79 66% -0  38% 24 - 8 A- +17 A- +10 C- A+ A+ A- +7 A C- D
 Sat, Mar 14 63 Mississippi W 93 - 90 OT 80% +3  75% 25 - 8 B+ +12 A +14 C- A+ A+ C- -2 C- C- C+
 Sun, Mar 15 9 Vanderbilt L 87 - 88 45%
Totals 25 - 9 13 - 5 +18 A +13 B A B- B +5 A- B- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A A C- A- A 45% 39% 34% B- A- B A+ A A B- B- B- B B- C+ A B+ 40% 23% 37% C+ B+ B- F+ C- C+ B+ B+ B+
1.27 69% 37% 39% +7 +1 1.18 35% 1.3 .46 12% .33 75% .24 1.01 55% 36% 28% -5 0 0.91 27% 1.2 .32 17% .25 69% .22
Nov
3		 Southern A A+ C- D B- 40% 23% 37% C- B- B- C B- A+ B+ A+ A B C+ A+ F B- 26% 33% 41% A B C+ F F+ D+ D+ A+ A-
1.34 79% 36% 32% +7 0 1.15 36% 1.1 .41 11% .40 86% .35 0.95 53% 11% 42% -5 -2 0.86 28% 1.4 .40 15% .35 46% .16
Nov
8		 Michigan St. C+ A F F C- 30% 17% 52% B- C- A+ B+ A F+ A+ F+ A+ A+ C- A- A+ A+ 48% 28% 24% C- A+ F A- C- A- F A- F+
0.97 64% 25% 25% -7 0 0.87 33% 0.9 .31 21% .42 65% .28 1.01 64% 31% 0% -12 0 0.78 49% 0.9 .46 21% .48 69% .33
Nov
11		 Central Arkansas A- A+ D B+ A 29% 16% 55% D+ A- D B C- A+ B+ A+ A A+ C B+ A+ A+ 21% 12% 67% B- A+ A F D+ F D- B D+
1.25 81% 33% 39% +10 0 1.21 24% 1.3 .30 11% .33 82% .27 0.75 58% 29% 8% -27 0 0.47 20% 1.6 .31 11% .32 67% .21
Nov
14		 Samford D+ D+ B+ A- C+ 31% 41% 28% F+ C C- F F+ C+ A- B- A- C+ B B- C+ B 39% 20% 41% D+ B- C C- C- D- A+ F A+
1.10 53% 45% 40% +4 -3 1.04 24% 0.8 .19 12% .35 77% .27 1.04 54% 33% 32% -4 0 0.95 24% 1.1 .26 11% .16 90% .14
Nov
18		 Winthrop B- A+ F B- B- 37% 31% 33% D- C D+ A+ A+ A- B- A+ A D- D A+ F D- 31% 19% 51% A- D A+ F F C- A+ A A+
1.18 79% 19% 35% +2 -1 1.04 24% 2.0 .48 13% .35 91% .32 1.17 61% 0% 43% +1 0 1.03 24% 2.3 .53 14% .10 67% .07
Nov
21		 Jackson St. A+ A+ F A+ A+ 54% 15% 31% B A+ C A+ A- A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 25% 33% 42% B+ A+ C- F F A+ A B- A
1.51 79% 25% 53% +18 +2 1.43 38% 1.3 .50 8% .51 78% .40 0.80 31% 35% 23% -15 -2 0.67 29% 1.6 .46 26% .20 73% .14
Nov
27		 Duke B+ B+ C- C+ A- 28% 22% 50% C+ A- B+ A A- B C- A+ C+ A- A F A+ A+ 42% 19% 40% A A+ B- F F B- C- A- C+
1.01 60% 33% 33% -1 -1 0.98 29% 1.0 .29 17% .19 82% .15 1.14 50% 56% 26% -5 0 0.94 39% 2.1 .81 17% .36 67% .24
Dec
3		 Louisville A F B F D 37% 33% 30% C- D+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A- A+ A C D A+ A+ 42% 7% 51% C- A+ B+ A+ A F+ B C- B
1.18 45% 39% 25% -9 -2 0.81 43% 1.5 .64 13% .53 77% .41 1.06 64% 50% 23% -5 +2 0.97 30% 0.8 .23 12% .27 78% .21
Dec
6		 Fresno St. B- A D A+ A 26% 26% 48% D- A- D+ C- D+ A+ C+ F C- A+ A- B A+ A+ 42% 12% 46% F+ A+ C A- B- A+ B+ C- B
1.12 73% 33% 39% +7 -2 1.12 26% 1.0 .26 11% .26 65% .17 0.79 50% 33% 17% -16 +1 0.73 29% 0.8 .24 23% .23 77% .18
Dec
13		 Texas Tech A+ C+ C A+ A+ 52% 16% 32% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ D+ C A+ D+ A- 47% 9% 45% F B- C- F F+ F A+ A+ A+
1.40 58% 38% 50% +7 +2 1.20 46% 1.3 .57 11% .44 65% .29 1.29 63% 20% 38% +4 +2 1.14 37% 1.3 .47 11% .17 30% .05
Dec
16		 Queens A B A+ A+ A 47% 7% 45% A- A C+ A+ A+ D- A- A A+ A- D F A+ A- 31% 30% 39% A+ A F B F+ A+ C B+ C+
1.36 65% 50% 44% +11 +2 1.29 36% 1.9 .68 18% .41 81% .34 1.00 65% 50% 19% -3 -2 0.93 41% 1.0 .41 21% .32 70% .22
Dec
20		 Houston A+ A- B A A+ 40% 23% 38% B- A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ D+ D+ A- F D+ 33% 23% 44% D- D A F F+ C F C+ F
1.16 63% 36% 39% +4 0 1.10 34% 1.3 .43 16% .57 60% .34 1.28 68% 31% 44% +8 -1 1.18 31% 1.6 .50 12% .39 76% .30
Dec
29		 James Madison A+ A+ D A+ A+ 34% 17% 49% C A+ A A+ A+ A- A+ F A- C C- F+ C- D+ 27% 14% 59% B- C- D C D+ B+ D D D-
1.47 72% 33% 50% +16 0 1.34 40% 1.4 .57 9% .49 65% .31 1.06 62% 43% 34% +2 0 1.06 32% 1.1 .35 20% .34 74% .25
Jan
3		 Tennessee A A F C+ B+ 29% 31% 40% D B- A A- A+ C- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- F A 56% 20% 24% D- B+ A+ F A- B D+ A+ B+
1.15 67% 25% 33% -2 -2 0.94 35% 1.1 .38 19% .54 88% .48 1.00 46% 40% 42% -3 +1 0.98 31% 1.3 .40 19% .38 52% .20
Jan
7		 Mississippi A+ A+ A A+ A+ 20% 35% 45% F A+ A+ D+ A B+ A+ B A+ D+ F F C- F 21% 36% 43% B F B A+ A+ C+ D D- D-
1.30 80% 47% 41% +12 -3 1.20 42% 1.0 .42 15% .49 73% .36 1.21 91% 53% 35% +13 -3 1.21 26% 0.8 .19 14% .34 81% .27
Jan
10		 Auburn C C F A C+ 35% 27% 38% D+ C D B D+ B+ A- C- B+ D D- A+ F F+ 53% 11% 36% F+ F+ A F F C C B+ B-
1.02 56% 29% 40% 0 -1 1.00 22% 1.1 .25 15% .35 71% .25 1.33 68% 17% 47% +10 +2 1.26 31% 2.0 .62 14% .39 71% .28
Jan
14		 South Carolina A+ A+ A+ A A+ 52% 17% 31% A- A+ A A- A+ A+ C- A+ B- B+ D+ D+ A B 33% 17% 50% C B F+ A- C A+ A C A
1.48 73% 55% 40% +13 +1 1.31 38% 1.2 .44 5% .25 82% .20 1.02 65% 44% 27% -2 0 0.98 35% 0.9 .32 22% .25 79% .19
Jan
17		 Georgia D D- F F F 51% 18% 31% B+ D- B+ A+ A+ D C- A+ B- A+ B F C+ B+ 43% 10% 47% C- B+ A+ F C- A+ A F B
0.91 48% 27% 26% -10 +1 0.84 38% 1.3 .48 22% .25 81% .20 1.08 56% 50% 33% 0 +2 1.05 25% 1.7 .42 20% .24 88% .21
Jan
20		 Vanderbilt A+ A+ C- A+ A+ 46% 25% 30% B A+ A- A+ A+ A+ F A+ F A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 25% 51% A+ A+ A+ F F B C+ A- B-
1.38 81% 36% 41% +13 0 1.28 36% 1.2 .43 10% .20 83% .17 1.01 67% 15% 19% -15 -2 0.69 24% 2.2 .53 15% .33 74% .24
Jan
24		 LSU A A+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 24% 38% C A+ D+ B C A- C F F C C+ D+ A+ A 33% 40% 27% A+ A+ D- F F D+ F+ F F
1.24 79% 67% 42% +19 0 1.40 26% 1.0 .26 12% .30 39% .12 1.18 59% 43% 21% -3 -3 0.90 39% 1.5 .61 13% .42 88% .37
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Oklahoma A A+ A+ F B 50% 21% 29% A- B+ D- A+ A A+ F+ A+ D+ A- A+ F B- A+ 46% 11% 43% F A- B F C- A- A+ F A-
1.20 76% 50% 12% +2 +1 1.07 23% 1.9 .43 9% .21 85% .17 1.15 46% 67% 33% -3 +2 1.00 31% 1.5 .46 17% .21 92% .19
Jan
31		 Kentucky A- A A+ F A+ 51% 25% 24% A- A+ C+ D+ C- A+ A+ F B+ D- F C+ F F 43% 30% 28% B+ F+ C- A- B F+ F A+ F
1.15 65% 54% 25% +5 0 1.12 26% 0.8 .21 6% .41 62% .25 1.27 75% 36% 46% +12 -1 1.23 37% 1.0 .37 10% .50 63% .32
Feb
7		 Mississippi St. A+ A B+ A A+ 41% 26% 33% B A+ B C B- A F+ F F A+ B- F A+ A 49% 25% 25% D A- A- B- A- C+ B+ B B+
1.25 68% 44% 40% +9 -1 1.18 31% 1.0 .31 10% .19 67% .13 0.97 59% 50% 14% -4 0 0.95 25% 1.0 .25 16% .24 64% .15
Feb
10		 LSU A A D+ F A- 64% 16% 20% A+ A C- A+ B B A- A- A A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 50% 15% 35% D- A+ F A+ A+ A- F A+ C-
1.22 69% 33% 27% +4 +2 1.15 27% 1.3 .33 13% .37 75% .28 0.83 46% 25% 11% -20 +2 0.65 43% 0.6 .27 19% .45 63% .28
Feb
14		 Auburn A+ A+ F B A+ 50% 15% 35% A A+ C- A+ A A+ D F+ D- B+ A+ C B A+ 38% 32% 30% A+ A+ C+ B B F+ B+ C B+
1.32 81% 25% 37% +11 +2 1.28 27% 1.6 .42 7% .24 67% .16 1.12 45% 41% 31% -5 -2 0.89 38% 1.0 .38 10% .33 75% .25
Feb
18		 Alabama A+ C+ B A+ A+ 36% 36% 27% D A+ B A+ A A+ C- A+ B- C- F F D+ F 42% 13% 45% C+ F+ C- A B- B- F D+ F
1.31 56% 41% 50% +7 -2 1.11 33% 1.3 .41 8% .24 84% .20 1.34 76% 63% 37% +13 +1 1.30 36% 1.0 .36 14% .45 79% .36
Feb
21		 Missouri A+ A+ F A+ A 47% 22% 31% A- A A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D- D+ F D+ D+ 52% 10% 38% F+ D A+ C A D- C- D- D
1.37 71% 18% 44% +6 +1 1.16 37% 1.4 .50 7% .39 88% .35 1.26 65% 60% 37% +8 +2 1.22 26% 1.1 .30 15% .39 74% .29
Feb
25		 Texas A&M A+ A+ D+ F A- 36% 36% 27% F+ B A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ F F D F 41% 18% 41% A- D- A+ A+ A+ A+ D B+ C-
1.28 80% 35% 27% +4 -2 1.05 37% 1.4 .51 12% .48 88% .42 1.09 71% 56% 38% +11 +1 1.25 21% 0.7 .14 21% .38 70% .26
Feb
28		 Florida B- D F F D- 54% 29% 17% B+ D A- A+ A+ A+ A- F C- D- D- D+ F F 42% 24% 35% A D- D F F C- F F+ F
0.95 47% 22% 27% -12 0 0.78 29% 1.2 .35 11% .33 54% .18 1.37 70% 46% 42% +11 0 1.24 48% 1.4 .67 15% .47 78% .36
Mar
4		 Texas A+ A+ F A+ A+ 42% 24% 35% B- A+ D+ A+ B- B A+ A A+ A A- F D- B 56% 22% 22% D B- A+ A+ A+ D- C+ A+ A+
1.33 78% 23% 58% +17 0 1.36 19% 1.4 .27 13% .43 80% .35 1.08 52% 54% 38% +1 +1 1.07 25% 1.0 .25 11% .39 52% .20
Mar
7		 Missouri A- D C+ A+ B+ 50% 23% 27% A- B+ B+ A A A- B+ F C+ A- C A+ A A 57% 9% 33% F A- A B- A C- C F+ D+
1.15 50% 38% 53% +4 +1 1.11 35% 1.1 .38 14% .34 64% .21 1.10 61% 20% 28% -3 +3 1.02 29% 1.1 .31 17% .38 75% .28
Mar
13		 Oklahoma A- C F C+ D+ 42% 21% 38% B C- B- A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A- C+ A+ A+ A+ 55% 23% 21% D A B F C- D C F D
1.17 55% 18% 35% -5 0 0.92 34% 1.5 .50 10% .35 82% .29 1.13 58% 31% 25% -5 +1 0.95 31% 1.5 .46 11% .32 85% .27
Mar
14		 Mississippi A B+ F F D+ 53% 23% 25% A- C- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ C- F F+ A- C- 27% 34% 39% C C- A- F C- C+ A D+ A
1.20 61% 17% 23% -7 +1 0.89 42% 1.6 .66 12% .45 74% .33 1.16 76% 48% 29% +5 -2 1.08 24% 1.4 .35 14% .21 79% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 44.5% 55.5% 4.6 0.4 4.3 11.8 23.5 37.4 19.8 2.7 0.1 100.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 44.5% 55.5% 4.6 100.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 44.5% 100.0% 4.0 0.9 8.9 21.5 34.2 29.6 4.8 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 55.5% 100.0% 5.2 0.1 0.5 4.0 14.8 43.7 31.9 4.9 0.1