Umass Lowell
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#303
Expected Predictive Rating-10.0#313
Pace73.2#80
Improvement+2.8#37

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#258
First Shot-3.3#271
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#200
Layup/Dunks-1.3#234
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#148
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#226
Freethrows-1.3#270
Improvement-0.5#228

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#307
First Shot-3.1#285
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#246
Layups/Dunks-3.1#292
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#214
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#187
Freethrows+0.2#165
Improvement+3.3#11
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.0% 13.3% 9.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 17.2% 28.1% 10.9%
.500 or above in Conference 67.8% 74.0% 64.3%
Conference Champion 9.7% 12.5% 8.1%
Last Place in Conference 5.0% 3.0% 6.1%
First Four9.3% 10.1% 8.8%
First Round6.5% 8.4% 5.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Away) - 36.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 412 - 912 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 6 @Connecticut L 47-110 1%     0 - 1 -38.9 -16.3 -18.5
  Mon, Nov 10 336 New Haven L 67-73 73%     0 - 2 -19.8 -8.9 -11.1
  Thu, Nov 13 133 @Columbia L 72-86 13%     0 - 3 -9.3 +1.9 -11.3
  Sun, Nov 16 53 @Wake Forest L 75-109 4%     0 - 4 -20.8 +3.1 -21.2
  Wed, Nov 19 114 @Bradley L 77-87 10%     0 - 5 -3.6 +11.5 -15.5
  Sat, Nov 22 290 @St. Peter's L 66-68 37%     0 - 6 -6.0 -8.2 +2.2
  Wed, Nov 26 339 @Stonehill W 75-64 52%     1 - 6 +3.1 +3.0 +0.3
  Sat, Dec 6 154 @Massachusetts L 60-80 15%     1 - 7 -16.6 -15.0 +0.2
  Sat, Dec 13 157 @Quinnipiac L 71-75 16%     1 - 8 -0.9 -3.8 +3.2
  Tue, Dec 16 268 Sacred Heart W 87-82 55%     2 - 8 -3.8 +3.7 -7.7
  Sun, Dec 21 288 @Boston University L 72-76 37%    
  Mon, Dec 29 22 @Iowa L 59-85 1%    
  Sat, Jan 3 306 Albany W 78-74 63%    
  Thu, Jan 8 299 @Bryant L 71-74 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 360 @Binghamton W 76-72 66%    
  Thu, Jan 15 352 NJIT W 78-69 79%    
  Thu, Jan 22 175 Vermont L 73-76 38%    
  Sat, Jan 24 285 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 73-77 36%    
  Thu, Jan 29 338 @New Hampshire W 73-72 51%    
  Sat, Jan 31 335 @Maine W 69-68 51%    
  Thu, Feb 5 352 @NJIT W 75-72 59%    
  Sat, Feb 7 306 @Albany L 75-77 41%    
  Thu, Feb 12 299 Bryant W 74-71 60%    
  Thu, Feb 19 338 New Hampshire W 75-69 72%    
  Sat, Feb 21 360 Binghamton W 79-69 83%    
  Thu, Feb 26 175 @Vermont L 70-79 20%    
  Sat, Feb 28 285 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 76-74 57%    
  Tue, Mar 3 335 @Maine W 69-68 51%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.0 2.6 1.6 0.4 0.0 9.7 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 5.2 6.5 3.6 1.0 0.1 17.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 6.3 7.1 2.5 0.2 0.0 17.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 6.2 6.7 1.6 0.2 15.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 5.1 6.2 1.5 0.0 13.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 4.0 5.1 1.1 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.8 1.0 0.0 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.1 0.7 0.0 5.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.0 2.4 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 3.0 5.6 9.4 12.4 14.6 15.7 14.2 10.8 6.8 3.5 1.7 0.4 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 96.4% 1.6    1.3 0.3
13-3 72.9% 2.6    1.8 0.8 0.0
12-4 44.1% 3.0    1.2 1.4 0.3 0.0
11-5 16.0% 1.7    0.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.7% 9.7 5.1 3.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.4% 46.2% 46.2% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2
14-2 1.7% 27.8% 27.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2
13-3 3.5% 28.4% 28.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5
12-4 6.8% 21.3% 21.3% 16.0 0.0 1.4 5.3
11-5 10.8% 18.7% 18.7% 16.0 0.0 2.0 8.8
10-6 14.2% 14.1% 14.1% 16.0 2.0 12.2
9-7 15.7% 9.9% 9.9% 16.0 1.6 14.2
8-8 14.6% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 1.1 13.5
7-9 12.4% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.6 11.7
6-10 9.4% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.4 9.0
5-11 5.6% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.2 5.5
4-12 3.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.0
3-13 1.2% 1.2
2-14 0.5% 0.5
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.0% 11.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 10.6 89.0 0.0%