Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.6 #277
Expected Predictive Rating -8.1 #296
Pace 71.4 #111
Improvement +1.6 #111

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #191 C- D+ D- C- C
Defense #332 F+ C- D B- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% #347 1.13 #208 -5.2 #339
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #274 0.62 #342 -2.8 #312
Three Pointers 54% #11 1.03 #164 +6.8 #18
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #215 -1.2 #217
Freethrows 0.26 #302 76% #53 0.20 #253
Second Chance 27.7% #263 1.00 #239 0.28 #267
Turnovers 19.3% #337
Total Offense -1.0 #191

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #151 1.34 #355 -4.4 #322
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #352 0.75 #152 +2.5 #16
Three Pointers 46% #46 1.13 #326 -5.4 #348
1st FG Attempt 1.16 #356 -7.2 #357
Freethrows 0.27 #70 72% #182 0.19 #65
Second Chance 32.7% #275 1.05 #187 0.34 #241
Turnovers 14.2% #309
Total Defense -5.6 #332

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.0% #198 1.9% #334
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.2% #210 12.0% #354
Possession Length 17.1 #144 17.0 #123
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #175 0.22 #333
Improvement +1.1 #128 +0.5 #163

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 3.5% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 5.2% 13.0% 3.1%
.500 or above in Conference 38.4% 63.5% 31.6%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four1.6% 1.7% 1.6%
First Round1.7% 2.7% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 21.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 411 - 1013 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 122 @Duquesne L 80 - 92 13% -7  0 - 1 -7 +5 D C- C+ -11 A- F F
 Tue, Nov 11 36 @Villanova L 60 - 94 2% -21  0 - 2 -17 -1 C+ C+ F -18 F D+ A
 Sat, Nov 15 199 @Queens L 64 - 81 25% -13  0 - 3 -17 -13 F+ F D- -4 F C A+
 Fri, Nov 21 325 Holy Cross W 79 - 66 73% +9  1 - 3 +0 +3 B- F+ D+ -3 F+ C A+
 Mon, Nov 24 296 @Central Connecticut St. L 106 - 108 OT 42% -2  1 - 4 -7 +14 B C+ D+ -21 F F D
 Sat, Nov 29 110 @Penn St. L 59 - 90 11% -21  1 - 5 -24 -19 D- F F -3 D- F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 286 @Mount St. Mary's W 87 - 80 41% +3  2 - 5 1 - 0 +3 +18 F+ A+ D -15 F F F
 Sun, Dec 7 225 Iona L 69 - 81 50% -4  2 - 6 1 - 1 -19 -6 B F+ F -13 D+ D- D-
 Sat, Dec 13 339 @NJIT W 65 - 49 56% +4  3 - 6 +8 -3 F+ C+ D +12 A- B+ C-
 Tue, Dec 16 319 @Umass Lowell L 82 - 87 49% +0  3 - 7 -11 +2 B+ F+ F -14 F C F
 Fri, Dec 19 237 Dartmouth W 85 - 63 52% +8  4 - 7 +15 +4 F+ A+ D+ +10 A+ C- A+
 Mon, Dec 22 163 @Towson L 47 - 72 19% -9  4 - 8 -22 -18 F D+ F -6 F A+ C
 Mon, Dec 29 206 Merrimack L 72 - 80 47% -8  4 - 9 1 - 2 -14 +2 B- D D+ -16 F C- D+
 Fri, Jan 2 349 @Niagara L 61 - 64 60% -9  4 - 10 1 - 3 -12 -3 F C F -10 F B+ D
 Sun, Jan 4 342 @Canisius L 78 - 82 58% +4  4 - 11 1 - 4 -13 +6 C+ C- D- -18 F+ F D
 Fri, Jan 9 159 Marist L 72 - 76 36% +2  4 - 12 1 - 5 -7 +10 A- B D- -18 F F D-
 Sun, Jan 11 176 Quinnipiac L 60 - 70 41% -0  4 - 13 1 - 6 -14 -9 D- D+ F -6 D+ A F
 Wed, Jan 14 173 @Siena W 86 - 80 20% +4  5 - 13 2 - 6 +8 +18 D- A+ A+ -10 C D+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 352 @Rider W 105 - 85 63% +12  6 - 13 3 - 6 +10 +19 A+ F C+ -11 F A F
 Thu, Jan 22 342 Canisius W 69 - 66 78% -2  7 - 13 4 - 6 -12 -7 C F D -4 F A+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 349 Niagara W 71 - 70 79% -5  8 - 13 5 - 6 -14 -4 B- F B- -10 F F B+
 Fri, Jan 30 176 @Quinnipiac L 76 - 84 21%
 Sun, Feb 1 206 @Merrimack L 69 - 76 26%
 Thu, Feb 5 272 Fairfield W 80 - 77 60%
 Sat, Feb 7 326 @Manhattan W 81 - 80 52%
 Fri, Feb 13 226 St. Peter's W 73 - 72 50%
 Sun, Feb 15 352 Rider W 78 - 68 81%
 Fri, Feb 20 272 @Fairfield L 77 - 80 37%
 Sun, Feb 22 159 @Marist L 66 - 76 18%
 Fri, Feb 27 286 Mount St. Mary's W 78 - 74 63%
Totals 12 - 18 9 - 11 -7 -1 C- D+ D- -6 F+ C- D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.2 1.3 0.3 1.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.0 1.8 0.1 4.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.9 5.4 1.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 7.9 12.3 3.8 0.2 24.9 7th
8th 0.4 6.4 13.3 4.6 0.2 24.9 8th
9th 0.1 3.7 9.8 4.6 0.2 18.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.7 5.6 3.2 0.2 10.9 10th
11th 0.2 1.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 2.9 11th
12th 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.4 3.3 11.0 20.2 26.6 21.1 11.7 4.5 1.0 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 18.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.1% 7.4% 7.4% 14.0 0.0 0.1
13-7 1.0% 9.0% 9.0% 15.2 0.1 0.0 0.9
12-8 4.5% 6.8% 6.8% 15.6 0.1 0.2 4.2
11-9 11.7% 4.5% 4.5% 15.9 0.1 0.5 11.2
10-10 21.1% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.6 20.5
9-11 26.6% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.5 26.1
8-12 20.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 20.0
7-13 11.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 10.9
6-14 3.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.3
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 15.9 97.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%