Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#257
Expected Predictive Rating-5.7#250
Pace71.7#124
Improvement+1.2#102

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#188
First Shot-0.6#189
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#196
Layup/Dunks-7.1#351
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.8#5
Freethrows+0.8#126
Improvement-0.4#219

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#316
First Shot-3.2#282
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#277
Layups/Dunks-2.7#276
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#42
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#334
Freethrows+2.2#63
Improvement+1.6#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 6.0% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 42.2% 55.5% 29.5%
.500 or above in Conference 71.1% 76.3% 66.1%
Conference Champion 3.7% 4.8% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.8% 1.5%
First Four1.5% 1.4% 1.6%
First Round4.2% 5.3% 3.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Away) - 48.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 62 - 10
Quad 413 - 715 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 138 @Duquesne L 80-92 18%     0 - 1 -7.5 +4.3 -11.1
  Tue, Nov 11 36 @Villanova L 60-94 4%     0 - 2 -18.6 -2.5 -18.4
  Sat, Nov 15 202 @Queens L 64-81 30%     0 - 3 -16.8 -13.5 -3.4
  Fri, Nov 21 289 Holy Cross W 79-66 68%     1 - 3 +3.0 +4.4 -0.8
  Mon, Nov 24 242 @Central Connecticut St. L 106-108 OT 36%     1 - 4 -3.6 +19.1 -22.4
  Sat, Nov 29 103 @Penn St. L 59-90 12%     1 - 5 -23.8 -18.8 -2.0
  Wed, Dec 3 298 @Mount St. Mary's W 87-80 47%     2 - 5 1 - 0 +2.5 +15.9 -13.1
  Sun, Dec 7 171 Iona L 69-81 45%     2 - 6 1 - 1 -15.9 -6.4 -9.4
  Sat, Dec 13 352 @NJIT W 65-49 67%     3 - 6 +6.1 -2.2 +10.1
  Tue, Dec 16 302 @Umass Lowell L 78-79 49%    
  Fri, Dec 19 245 Dartmouth W 80-78 59%    
  Mon, Dec 22 139 @Towson L 66-76 18%    
  Mon, Dec 29 271 Merrimack W 74-70 62%    
  Fri, Jan 2 353 @Niagara W 74-69 67%    
  Sun, Jan 4 340 @Canisius W 72-69 61%    
  Fri, Jan 9 156 Marist L 69-71 40%    
  Sun, Jan 11 169 Quinnipiac L 78-80 44%    
  Wed, Jan 14 165 @Siena L 69-77 23%    
  Mon, Jan 19 348 @Rider W 72-68 64%    
  Thu, Jan 22 340 Canisius W 75-66 79%    
  Sat, Jan 24 353 Niagara W 77-66 84%    
  Fri, Jan 30 169 @Quinnipiac L 75-83 25%    
  Sun, Feb 1 271 @Merrimack L 71-73 41%    
  Thu, Feb 5 294 Fairfield W 78-73 67%    
  Sat, Feb 7 320 @Manhattan W 81-80 54%    
  Fri, Feb 13 293 St. Peter's W 73-68 67%    
  Sun, Feb 15 348 Rider W 75-65 81%    
  Fri, Feb 20 294 @Fairfield L 75-76 46%    
  Sun, Feb 22 156 @Marist L 66-74 22%    
  Fri, Feb 27 298 Mount St. Mary's W 78-73 68%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 3.5 3.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 4.9 5.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 13.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.0 6.2 6.0 2.3 0.3 0.0 16.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.4 5.5 1.7 0.1 0.0 14.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.3 4.7 1.4 0.1 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.9 3.7 1.2 0.1 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.1 2.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.8 5.1 8.1 10.9 13.5 14.9 13.8 11.8 8.4 4.9 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 95.2% 0.3    0.2 0.0
17-3 82.1% 0.8    0.5 0.2 0.0
16-4 51.9% 1.3    0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
15-5 19.6% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 3.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.7% 3.7 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 29.8% 29.8% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
17-3 1.0% 20.6% 20.6% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
16-4 2.5% 19.4% 19.4% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 2.0
15-5 4.9% 14.1% 14.1% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 4.2
14-6 8.4% 9.5% 9.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 7.6
13-7 11.8% 7.4% 7.4% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 10.9
12-8 13.8% 5.6% 5.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 13.1
11-9 14.9% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.1 0.5 14.3
10-10 13.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.2
9-11 10.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.8
8-12 8.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 8.0
7-13 5.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.1
6-14 2.8% 2.8
5-15 1.4% 1.4
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.9 95.1 0.0%