Massachusetts
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#152
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#153
Pace78.5#18
Improvement+2.2#56

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#184
First Shot-5.5#327
After Offensive Rebound+4.7#8
Layup/Dunks+1.6#115
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#136
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#340
Freethrows-1.4#273
Improvement+4.0#3

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#125
First Shot-0.2#183
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#80
Layups/Dunks-5.2#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#104
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.9#10
Freethrows-3.0#335
Improvement-1.8#311
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.5% 7.8% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.3 13.6
.500 or above 93.5% 96.9% 89.1%
.500 or above in Conference 77.6% 85.9% 66.9%
Conference Champion 6.0% 8.8% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.3% 1.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round6.5% 7.8% 4.7%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kent St. (Home) - 56.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 2
Quad 36 - 57 - 8
Quad 412 - 419 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 161 Marshall L 72-78 63%     0 - 1 -8.9 -12.9 +4.8
  Sat, Nov 8 328 Albany W 83-62 89%     1 - 1 +7.9 -1.5 +8.3
  Thu, Nov 13 307 Le Moyne W 94-80 86%     2 - 1 +2.7 +4.3 -2.8
  Sun, Nov 16 242 Central Connecticut St. W 84-77 78%     3 - 1 -0.6 +0.6 -2.0
  Fri, Nov 21 170 College of Charleston L 65-69 55%     3 - 2 -4.8 -6.9 +2.0
  Sat, Nov 22 276 Green Bay L 75-79 74%     3 - 3 -10.1 +0.6 -10.9
  Mon, Nov 24 159 Oregon St. W 73-65 51%     4 - 3 +8.2 +4.1 +4.5
  Wed, Dec 3 200 Harvard W 78-71 72%     5 - 3 +1.4 -0.4 +1.6
  Sat, Dec 6 302 Umass Lowell W 80-60 85%     6 - 3 +9.2 -4.7 +12.2
  Wed, Dec 10 148 Boston College W 76-74 49%     7 - 3 +2.7 +5.8 -3.1
  Sat, Dec 13 104 Florida St. W 103-95 36%     8 - 3 +12.1 +17.6 -6.7
  Sat, Dec 20 131 Kent St. W 86-84 56%    
  Tue, Dec 30 226 @Eastern Michigan W 75-74 55%    
  Sat, Jan 3 124 Bowling Green W 77-76 54%    
  Tue, Jan 6 175 @Ohio L 81-82 44%    
  Sat, Jan 10 306 Ball St. W 78-66 86%    
  Tue, Jan 13 253 @Western Michigan W 80-77 60%    
  Sat, Jan 17 327 @Northern Illinois W 83-76 75%    
  Tue, Jan 20 167 Toledo W 83-79 65%    
  Sat, Jan 24 216 @Buffalo W 79-78 53%    
  Tue, Jan 27 106 @Miami (OH) L 77-83 28%    
  Sat, Jan 31 226 Eastern Michigan W 78-71 75%    
  Tue, Feb 3 323 Central Michigan W 83-70 89%    
  Sat, Feb 14 65 @Akron L 82-93 16%    
  Tue, Feb 17 106 Miami (OH) L 80-81 49%    
  Sat, Feb 21 216 Buffalo W 82-75 73%    
  Tue, Feb 24 306 @Ball St. W 75-69 69%    
  Sat, Feb 28 124 @Bowling Green L 74-79 33%    
  Tue, Mar 3 175 Ohio W 84-79 65%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 6.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.0 3.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.4 6.4 3.8 0.8 0.0 14.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.9 3.6 0.6 0.0 14.5 4th
5th 0.1 2.2 6.2 4.0 0.5 0.0 13.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 5.1 3.9 0.6 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.7 4.1 0.7 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.1 3.4 0.9 0.0 6.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 2.6 1.0 0.0 5.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.6 0.8 0.1 3.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.7 6.3 9.6 12.7 14.5 15.3 13.2 10.3 6.5 3.3 1.4 0.3 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 97.9% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 81.0% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
15-3 55.1% 1.8    0.9 0.8 0.1
14-4 28.6% 1.9    0.6 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.0
13-5 7.9% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.0% 6.0 2.8 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 25.0% 25.0% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.4% 23.6% 23.6% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1
15-3 3.3% 16.3% 16.3% 12.5 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.7
14-4 6.5% 14.6% 14.6% 12.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.6
13-5 10.3% 11.5% 11.5% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 9.1
12-6 13.2% 8.3% 8.3% 13.5 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 12.1
11-7 15.3% 6.2% 6.2% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 14.4
10-8 14.5% 5.3% 5.3% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 13.7
9-9 12.7% 3.2% 3.2% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 12.3
8-10 9.6% 1.4% 1.4% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.5
7-11 6.3% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 6.3
6-12 3.7% 3.7
5-13 1.8% 1.8
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.4 2.0 0.8 0.1 93.5 0.0%