Bradley
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.3#116
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#171
Pace68.1#219
Improvement+2.6#36

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#155
First Shot+3.0#94
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#330
Layup/Dunks-1.5#239
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#207
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#78
Freethrows+1.6#95
Improvement+0.8#112

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#87
First Shot+0.5#152
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#40
Layups/Dunks+4.4#48
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#157
Freethrows-2.0#304
Improvement+1.8#56
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.5% 11.1% 7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.5 12.8
.500 or above 80.0% 87.6% 70.0%
.500 or above in Conference 72.8% 82.0% 60.7%
Conference Champion 10.6% 14.6% 5.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 0.5% 3.4%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round9.5% 11.1% 7.4%
Second Round1.3% 1.7% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Indiana St. (Away) - 56.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 52 - 6
Quad 37 - 59 - 12
Quad 410 - 218 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 111 St. Bonaventure L 63-69 49%     0 - 1 -2.6 -4.3 +1.4
  Sat, Nov 8 323 Central Michigan W 85-54 92%     1 - 1 +18.3 +7.2 +11.9
  Wed, Nov 12 252 Tennessee Martin L 67-78 86%     1 - 2 -19.1 -11.2 -7.5
  Sat, Nov 15 95 @San Francisco L 64-75 31%     1 - 3 -2.5 -2.9 +0.0
  Wed, Nov 19 302 Umass Lowell W 87-77 90%     2 - 3 -0.8 +12.5 -12.9
  Mon, Nov 24 261 Princeton W 88-64 80%     3 - 3 +18.6 +14.7 +4.0
  Tue, Nov 25 89 UC San Diego L 77-87 40%     3 - 4 -4.1 +5.8 -10.0
  Wed, Nov 26 109 Liberty W 74-64 48%     4 - 4 +13.8 +8.4 +6.3
  Tue, Dec 2 155 Washington St. W 64-60 72%     5 - 4 +1.2 -9.8 +11.1
  Sat, Dec 6 327 Northern Illinois W 84-55 93%     6 - 4 +16.1 +0.8 +14.2
  Thu, Dec 18 181 @Indiana St. W 74-72 57%    
  Sun, Dec 21 129 Southern Illinois W 75-71 66%    
  Mon, Dec 29 275 Evansville W 75-63 87%    
  Thu, Jan 1 85 @Belmont L 73-79 28%    
  Sun, Jan 4 99 @Murray St. L 76-81 34%    
  Wed, Jan 7 136 Drake W 73-68 67%    
  Sat, Jan 10 93 Northern Iowa W 65-64 53%    
  Tue, Jan 13 275 @Evansville W 72-66 72%    
  Sat, Jan 17 90 @Illinois St. L 69-75 31%    
  Wed, Jan 21 181 Indiana St. W 77-69 76%    
  Sat, Jan 24 189 Illinois-Chicago W 77-69 77%    
  Sat, Jan 31 136 @Drake L 70-71 45%    
  Tue, Feb 3 213 Valparaiso W 74-64 81%    
  Fri, Feb 6 93 @Northern Iowa L 62-67 32%    
  Mon, Feb 9 85 Belmont L 75-76 49%    
  Sun, Feb 15 129 @Southern Illinois L 72-74 44%    
  Wed, Feb 18 213 @Valparaiso W 71-67 63%    
  Sat, Feb 21 90 Illinois St. W 72-71 52%    
  Tue, Feb 24 189 @Illinois-Chicago W 74-72 58%    
  Sun, Mar 1 99 Murray St. W 79-78 55%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.1 2.9 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 10.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.0 4.5 3.0 0.8 0.1 12.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.0 5.3 2.7 0.6 0.0 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 4.0 5.7 2.5 0.4 0.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.1 5.9 2.7 0.4 13.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.7 5.3 2.4 0.2 0.0 12.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 2.9 3.9 1.9 0.2 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.2 2.8 1.3 0.1 7.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.9 5.0 7.2 9.9 12.2 13.3 13.4 11.6 9.2 6.7 3.7 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.8    0.7 0.0
17-3 93.1% 1.6    1.4 0.2 0.0
16-4 78.5% 2.9    1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0
15-5 46.2% 3.1    1.4 1.3 0.4 0.0
14-6 17.8% 1.6    0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 10.6% 10.6 6.1 3.2 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 45.5% 41.8% 3.6% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.3%
18-2 0.8% 31.1% 31.1% 11.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5
17-3 1.7% 30.5% 30.5% 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.2
16-4 3.7% 24.1% 24.1% 12.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.8
15-5 6.7% 20.8% 20.8% 12.2 0.1 0.9 0.4 0.0 5.3
14-6 9.2% 16.6% 16.6% 12.4 0.1 0.9 0.6 0.0 7.6
13-7 11.6% 13.2% 13.2% 12.6 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 10.1
12-8 13.4% 8.9% 8.9% 12.8 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 12.2
11-9 13.3% 7.2% 7.2% 13.1 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 12.4
10-10 12.2% 4.7% 4.7% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 11.6
9-11 9.9% 3.1% 3.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.5
8-12 7.2% 1.7% 1.7% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.0
7-13 5.0% 1.5% 1.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 4.9
6-14 2.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.9
5-15 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 1.3
4-16 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-17 0.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 9.5% 9.5% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 4.2 3.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 90.5 0.0%