Bradley
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +2.0 #127
Expected Predictive Rating +2.3 #129
Pace 68.7 #184
Improvement -1.6 #258

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #131 C C- B+ B- C-
Defense #140 C- C+ B+ D+ A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #290 1.22 #104 -1.1 #220
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #138 0.65 #322 -0.4 #194
Three Pointers 43% #147 1.03 #174 +1.2 #140
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #185 -0.3 #186
Freethrows 0.33 #105 75% #103 0.25 #95
Second Chance 26.8% #284 1.09 #114 0.29 #240
Turnovers 13.6% #32
Total Offense +1.4 #131

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% #343 1.16 #184 +4.6 #48
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% #23 0.76 #192 -2.8 #349
Three Pointers 42% #158 1.13 #323 -2.8 #298
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #208 -1.1 #210
Freethrows 0.33 #282 72% #161 0.24 #277
Second Chance 30.6% #179 0.96 #70 0.29 #111
Turnovers 19.5% #37
Total Defense +0.6 #140

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.0% #256 -2.9% #17
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 0.5% #168 5.1% #274
Possession Length 16.9 #132 17.3 #175
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #196 0.16 #141
Improvement +2.2 #75 -3.8 #345

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.6% 7.9% 5.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.7 13.0
.500 or above 90.5% 96.7% 85.5%
.500 or above in Conference 84.2% 94.2% 76.2%
Conference Champion 3.3% 6.0% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round6.6% 7.9% 5.6%
Second Round0.5% 0.5% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drake (Away) - 44.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 62 - 6
Quad 38 - 610 - 12
Quad 48 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 141 St. Bonaventure L 63 - 69 53% -4  0 - 1 -5 -8 C+ F B +3 B B+ A-
 Sat, Nov 8 302 Central Michigan W 85 - 54 89% +14  1 - 1 +20 +8 A+ F C+ +12 A B+ A-
 Wed, Nov 12 231 Tennessee Martin L 67 - 78 80% +9  1 - 2 -18 -10 F D+ D- -8 F C A+
 Sat, Nov 15 98 @San Francisco L 64 - 75 28% -2  1 - 3 -3 -3 F D+ C -0 F A+ A+
 Wed, Nov 19 319 Umass Lowell W 87 - 77 91% -0  2 - 3 -2 +12 B A- D+ -14 D+ C C-
 Mon, Nov 24 212 Princeton W 88 - 64 69% +8  3 - 3 +21 +15 A+ F B- +6 D+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 112 UC San Diego L 77 - 87 45% -3  3 - 4 -7 +6 C A+ F -13 C+ F D+
 Wed, Nov 26 94 Liberty W 74 - 64 36% +10  4 - 4 +16 +8 B A+ F +8 B B A+
 Tue, Dec 2 131 Washington St. W 64 - 60 63% -3  5 - 4 +3 -10 F C+ A +13 B+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 310 Northern Illinois W 84 - 55 90% +14  6 - 4 +17 +4 B D- B+ +12 A+ C- B
 Thu, Dec 18 196 @Indiana St. W 108 - 99 3OT 55% +1  7 - 4 1 - 0 +10 +8 C- C A+ -1 B- A- F+
 Sun, Dec 21 134 Southern Illinois W 73 - 69 63% +4  8 - 4 2 - 0 +3 +1 C B- D- +1 B+ C+ B-
 Mon, Dec 29 267 Evansville W 76 - 68 85% -2  9 - 4 3 - 0 -1 +3 D+ F A+ -3 B- D D-
 Thu, Jan 1 78 @Belmont L 78 - 88 21% -3  9 - 5 3 - 1 +0 +9 A- C F -9 C F A
 Sun, Jan 4 103 @Murray St. L 66 - 86 29% -14  9 - 6 3 - 2 -12 -4 F C- A+ -8 F B B
 Wed, Jan 7 152 Drake W 93 - 66 67% +20  10 - 6 4 - 2 +24 +14 A B- A- +9 B A+ A-
 Sat, Jan 10 114 Northern Iowa W 75 - 69 56% +2  11 - 6 5 - 2 +6 +11 B C A+ -4 B C F
 Tue, Jan 13 267 @Evansville W 94 - 90 OT 68% -3  12 - 6 6 - 2 +1 +15 B D A+ -14 F C- C-
 Sat, Jan 17 88 @Illinois St. L 62 - 88 24% -13  12 - 7 6 - 3 -17 -2 F D+ D+ -16 F+ D F+
 Wed, Jan 21 196 Indiana St. W 75 - 68 76% -3  13 - 7 7 - 3 +2 -1 F C A+ +3 D A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 138 Illinois-Chicago L 70 - 85 64% -8  13 - 8 7 - 4 -17 +2 C+ D- A+ -20 F B+ D
 Sat, Jan 31 152 @Drake L 73 - 74 45%
 Tue, Feb 3 167 Valparaiso W 74 - 68 70%
 Fri, Feb 6 114 @Northern Iowa L 62 - 66 35%
 Mon, Feb 9 78 Belmont L 77 - 79 41%
 Sun, Feb 15 134 @Southern Illinois L 72 - 75 41%
 Wed, Feb 18 167 @Valparaiso L 71 - 72 48%
 Sat, Feb 21 88 Illinois St. L 72 - 73 45%
 Tue, Feb 24 138 @Illinois-Chicago L 71 - 73 42%
 Sun, Mar 1 103 Murray St. W 83 - 82 51%
Totals 17 - 13 11 - 9 +2 +1 C C- B+ +1 C- C+ B+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.2 0.2 3.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 5.4 3.9 0.5 0.0 11.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.6 8.4 6.0 0.7 16.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 9.6 9.1 1.2 0.0 21.1 4th
5th 0.2 6.3 9.5 1.8 0.0 17.9 5th
6th 0.1 3.0 9.0 2.3 0.0 14.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 5.6 2.5 0.1 9.1 7th
8th 0.2 2.2 2.2 0.1 4.7 8th
9th 0.4 0.9 0.1 1.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.6 4.0 11.2 19.1 23.3 20.9 12.9 6.2 1.7 0.2 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 97.7% 0.2    0.2 0.1
15-5 70.8% 1.2    0.5 0.6 0.1
14-6 26.1% 1.6    0.2 0.8 0.4 0.2
13-7 2.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 0.9 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.2% 4.7% 4.7% 12.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 1.7% 15.2% 15.2% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.4
14-6 6.2% 13.4% 13.4% 12.2 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 5.3
13-7 12.9% 11.8% 11.8% 12.6 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.1 11.4
12-8 20.9% 8.0% 8.0% 12.9 0.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 19.2
11-9 23.3% 5.9% 5.9% 13.1 0.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 21.9
10-10 19.1% 3.6% 3.6% 13.4 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 18.4
9-11 11.2% 2.2% 2.2% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 10.9
8-12 4.0% 0.6% 0.6% 14.6 0.0 0.0 4.0
7-13 0.6% 0.6
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 12.9 93.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%