UT Rio Grande Valley
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#193
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#215
Pace73.0#86
Improvement-0.3#195

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#227
First Shot-1.2#210
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#228
Layup/Dunks-0.6#201
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#331
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#32
Freethrows-3.1#330
Improvement-1.4#294

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#164
First Shot-1.3#219
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#87
Layups/Dunks+1.8#116
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#145
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#241
Freethrows-2.3#313
Improvement+1.2#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 6.3% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.7
.500 or above 50.2% 57.8% 31.5%
.500 or above in Conference 72.1% 78.9% 55.4%
Conference Champion 4.1% 5.1% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 1.3% 5.4%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round5.3% 6.2% 3.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Home) - 71.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 412 - 615 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 32 @Baylor L 81-96 5%     0 - 1 +1.3 +5.0 -2.2
  Sat, Nov 8 316 @Southern Utah W 95-72 66%     1 - 1 +16.9 +15.6 +0.3
  Tue, Nov 11 47 @Boise St. L 65-85 7%     1 - 2 -5.9 -3.8 -0.5
  Sat, Nov 22 260 @Missouri St. L 67-74 52%     1 - 3 -9.5 +1.3 -11.5
  Mon, Nov 24 12 @Illinois L 73-87 3%     1 - 4 +6.9 +7.8 -0.8
  Wed, Dec 3 137 @Stephen F. Austin L 60-73 27%     1 - 5 0 - 1 -8.5 -8.1 -0.6
  Sun, Dec 7 194 Austin Peay W 63-50 62%     2 - 5 +8.0 -8.8 +16.9
  Thu, Dec 11 176 Texas Arlington L 50-58 58%     2 - 6 -12.1 -11.8 -1.9
  Tue, Dec 16 246 @Lamar W 83-72 49%     3 - 6 1 - 1 +9.2 +12.3 -3.1
  Mon, Dec 29 247 New Orleans W 81-75 71%    
  Wed, Dec 31 257 Nicholls St. W 76-70 72%    
  Sat, Jan 3 213 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 73-69 65%    
  Mon, Jan 5 175 Incarnate Word W 74-72 58%    
  Sat, Jan 10 295 @East Texas A&M W 75-73 58%    
  Mon, Jan 12 274 @Northwestern St. W 74-73 53%    
  Sat, Jan 17 71 McNeese St. L 69-76 26%    
  Mon, Jan 19 273 SE Louisiana W 74-67 74%    
  Sat, Jan 24 272 @Houston Christian W 73-72 53%    
  Mon, Jan 26 213 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 70-72 44%    
  Sat, Jan 31 175 @Incarnate Word L 71-75 36%    
  Mon, Feb 2 272 Houston Christian W 76-69 73%    
  Sat, Feb 7 247 @New Orleans L 77-78 49%    
  Mon, Feb 9 257 @Nicholls St. W 74-73 51%    
  Sat, Feb 14 137 Stephen F. Austin L 72-73 48%    
  Mon, Feb 16 246 Lamar W 72-66 70%    
  Sat, Feb 21 273 @SE Louisiana W 71-70 54%    
  Mon, Feb 23 71 @McNeese St. L 66-79 12%    
  Sat, Feb 28 295 East Texas A&M W 78-70 77%    
  Mon, Mar 2 274 Northwestern St. W 77-70 74%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 12 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 2.3 4.0 4.1 2.4 0.7 0.1 14.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 4.4 6.0 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.0 18.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 5.1 5.7 2.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 15.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.5 5.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 13.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.8 1.4 0.1 0.0 7.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 2.9 1.6 0.1 5.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.0 1.5 0.2 4.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.6 3.1 4.9 7.4 9.7 11.9 13.3 12.8 11.5 9.4 6.5 3.9 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
19-3 84.8% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
18-4 61.5% 1.1    0.6 0.4 0.0
17-5 29.1% 1.1    0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
16-6 11.8% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-7 2.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-8 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 2.2 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.2% 36.2% 36.2% 12.2 0.1 0.0 0.1
19-3 0.7% 28.0% 28.0% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
18-4 1.8% 22.3% 22.3% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.4
17-5 3.9% 17.1% 17.1% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.2
16-6 6.5% 16.5% 16.5% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 5.4
15-7 9.4% 10.4% 10.4% 14.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 8.4
14-8 11.5% 6.9% 6.9% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 10.7
13-9 12.8% 4.6% 4.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 12.2
12-10 13.3% 2.3% 2.3% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 13.0
11-11 11.9% 1.4% 1.4% 15.6 0.1 0.1 11.8
10-12 9.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.6
9-13 7.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.4
8-14 4.9% 4.9
7-15 3.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.1
6-16 1.6% 1.6
5-17 0.8% 0.8
4-18 0.2% 0.2
3-19 0.1% 0.1
2-20 0.0% 0.0
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.9 0.6 94.6 0.0%