Wagner
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#292
Expected Predictive Rating-6.7#268
Pace69.1#194
Improvement-1.1#258

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#292
First Shot-6.7#345
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#49
Layup/Dunks-6.3#347
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#116
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#201
Freethrows-0.8#233
Improvement-0.1#185

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#259
First Shot-0.9#208
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#307
Layups/Dunks+0.1#161
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#122
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#137
Freethrows-3.3#341
Improvement-1.0#260
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.0% 20.6% 13.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.3 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 51.8% 65.1% 36.6%
.500 or above in Conference 86.4% 92.7% 79.3%
Conference Champion 24.6% 33.6% 14.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 0.6% 3.2%
First Four12.9% 14.2% 11.3%
First Round10.6% 13.4% 7.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Chicago St. (Away) - 53.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 413 - 814 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 50 @Virginia Commonwealth L 74-103 4%     0 - 1 -15.1 +3.1 -15.9
  Fri, Nov 7 58 @Seton Hall L 61-68 4%     0 - 2 +5.7 +1.8 +3.2
  Tue, Nov 11 196 @Fordham L 61-63 23%     0 - 3 -1.4 -0.4 -1.3
  Sun, Nov 16 285 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 70-71 OT 37%     0 - 4 -4.6 -11.0 +6.4
  Sat, Nov 22 89 @Georgetown L 75-92 7%     0 - 5 -8.0 +1.0 -7.9
  Wed, Nov 26 319 @Manhattan W 103-101 OT 47%     1 - 5 -4.4 +13.8 -18.4
  Tue, Dec 2 95 @Maryland L 63-89 8%     1 - 6 -17.5 -8.9 -7.2
  Wed, Dec 17 346 Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-64 77%     2 - 6 -0.8 +5.1 -4.9
  Fri, Jan 2 341 @Chicago St. W 74-73 53%    
  Sun, Jan 4 339 Stonehill W 72-65 74%    
  Thu, Jan 8 363 St. Francis (PA) W 78-66 86%    
  Sat, Jan 10 328 Mercyhurst W 71-65 70%    
  Sat, Jan 17 336 @New Haven W 68-67 53%    
  Mon, Jan 19 359 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 77-72 66%    
  Fri, Jan 23 315 @Le Moyne L 76-77 46%    
  Sun, Jan 25 201 @LIU Brooklyn L 71-78 24%    
  Thu, Jan 29 240 Central Connecticut St. W 69-68 53%    
  Sat, Jan 31 359 Fairleigh Dickinson W 80-69 83%    
  Thu, Feb 5 315 Le Moyne W 79-74 67%    
  Sat, Feb 7 240 @Central Connecticut St. L 66-71 32%    
  Thu, Feb 12 201 LIU Brooklyn L 74-75 45%    
  Sat, Feb 14 339 @Stonehill W 69-68 53%    
  Thu, Feb 19 328 @Mercyhurst L 67-68 49%    
  Sat, Feb 21 363 @St. Francis (PA) W 75-69 69%    
  Thu, Feb 26 336 New Haven W 71-64 72%    
  Sat, Feb 28 341 Chicago St. W 77-70 73%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 3.6 6.4 6.5 4.4 2.1 23.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 6.0 7.6 4.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 21.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.6 6.2 5.9 2.1 0.3 0.0 16.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 5.1 5.0 1.1 0.0 12.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.9 0.7 0.0 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.3 0.7 0.0 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.4 0.7 0.0 4.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.4 0.6 0.0 3.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.0 3.3 5.8 8.5 11.5 13.7 13.8 13.3 11.1 7.8 4.6 2.1 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 98.6% 2.1    2.0 0.1
15-1 94.5% 4.4    3.9 0.4
14-2 83.3% 6.5    4.9 1.6 0.1
13-3 57.6% 6.4    3.4 2.6 0.5 0.0
12-4 26.8% 3.6    1.1 1.6 0.7 0.1
11-5 5.8% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 23.8% 23.8 15.3 6.6 1.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 2.1% 41.0% 41.0% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.2
15-1 4.6% 38.6% 38.6% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.8
14-2 7.8% 32.1% 32.1% 15.9 0.2 2.3 5.3
13-3 11.1% 28.5% 28.5% 16.0 0.1 3.1 8.0
12-4 13.3% 21.5% 21.5% 16.0 0.0 2.8 10.4
11-5 13.8% 16.9% 16.9% 16.0 0.0 2.3 11.5
10-6 13.7% 11.2% 11.2% 16.0 1.5 12.2
9-7 11.5% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 1.0 10.5
8-8 8.5% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.5 8.0
7-9 5.8% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.3 5.6
6-10 3.3% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.1 3.2
5-11 2.0% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.1 2.0
4-12 0.9% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.9
3-13 0.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 17.0% 17.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 1.0 16.0 83.0 0.0%