LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.8 #227
Expected Predictive Rating -0.2 #165
Pace 70.1 #148
Improvement -1.3 #247

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #232 C B- F+ D C-
Defense #224 C- D C+ C D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #45 1.12 #222 +2.5 #102
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #78 0.84 #68 +3.1 #49
Three Pointers 30% #355 1.05 #144 -5.3 #332
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #163 +0.3 #163
Freethrows 0.28 #247 64% #362 0.18 #311
Second Chance 36.1% #38 1.01 #225 0.36 #86
Turnovers 19.9% #347
Total Offense -2.3 #232

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #10 1.13 #140 -4.2 #316
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #218 0.77 #204 +0.4 #155
Three Pointers 34% #348 1.08 #268 +2.5 #89
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #217 -1.2 #218
Freethrows 0.32 #242 68% #24 0.22 #172
Second Chance 33.7% #307 1.13 #290 0.38 #317
Turnovers 17.4% #110
Total Defense -1.4 #224

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.5% #228 1.6% #319
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.1% #156 0.8% #199
Possession Length 17.2 #158 17.1 #137
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 #38 0.20 #266
Improvement -1.9 #284 +0.6 #153

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 53.4% 55.2% 49.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 99.5% 99.9% 98.6%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 99.9%
Conference Champion 69.5% 81.5% 41.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four11.3% 9.6% 15.0%
First Round48.2% 50.7% 42.3%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Le Moyne (Home) - 70.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 420 - 421 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 81 @Notre Dame L 67 - 89 10% -15  0 - 1 -12 -2 D+ C+ F -10 D+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 6 340 @IU Indianapolis W 94 - 90 68% -1  1 - 1 -5 -3 B- C+ F -2 B- D- C
 Tue, Nov 11 347 @Air Force W 76 - 72 69% +0  2 - 1 -5 +3 C B- F -7 C F D+
 Sat, Nov 15 210 James Madison W 88 - 79 59% +10  3 - 1 +3 +3 A+ F F -1 D+ C B
 Thu, Nov 20 195 @Fordham L 53 - 69 33% -11  3 - 2 -15 -14 F F F+ -2 F+ A+ D
 Sat, Nov 22 6 @Illinois L 58 - 98 1% -26  3 - 3 -16 -7 B D- F -8 F+ F B+
 Mon, Nov 24 183 @Missouri St. W 75 - 61 31% -1  4 - 3 +15 +12 A+ B- F+ +5 A+ F+ D+
 Tue, Dec 2 126 Winthrop L 92 - 94 OT 39% -4  4 - 4 -3 +10 B+ A- D+ -13 B F D+
 Sat, Dec 6 304 @Lehigh W 87 - 82 56% +7  5 - 4 -0 +9 C A+ D- -10 C- F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 202 La Salle W 70 - 60 58% +5  6 - 4 +4 -1 D A+ F +6 B+ F+ A+
 Tue, Dec 16 73 @Mississippi St. L 83 - 87 9% -3  6 - 5 +7 +14 A B- A+ -8 C F D
 Sat, Dec 20 190 @Florida International L 79 - 86 32% -2  6 - 6 -6 +1 C C+ F -6 F C- B+
 Mon, Dec 29 29 @Georgia L 74 - 89 3% -1  6 - 7 +3 +4 C+ C+ D +0 B D+ A-
 Fri, Jan 2 296 Central Connecticut St. W 84 - 78 75% +1  7 - 7 1 - 0 -5 +21 B A+ A -24 F D- D
 Sun, Jan 4 358 @Chicago St. W 74 - 55 78% +11  8 - 7 2 - 0 +7 +2 B- C F +7 B+ A D
 Thu, Jan 8 308 Mercyhurst W 60 - 58 77% +4  9 - 7 3 - 0 -10 -6 D+ D- C -3 C+ F+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 354 St. Francis (PA) W 67 - 63 88% +1  10 - 7 4 - 0 -13 -15 F A+ F +2 D A B
 Sat, Jan 17 346 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 66 - 59 69% +2  11 - 7 5 - 0 -2 -6 C- C F +5 B B C+
 Mon, Jan 19 275 @Le Moyne L 77 - 83 49% -4  11 - 8 5 - 1 -9 +0 D A D -10 F A C+
 Fri, Jan 23 334 @Stonehill W 66 - 63 66% -3  12 - 8 6 - 1 -5 -1 D- D B -4 D F+ B-
 Thu, Jan 29 275 Le Moyne W 79 - 73 70%
 Sat, Jan 31 296 @Central Connecticut St. W 74 - 73 53%
 Thu, Feb 5 333 New Haven W 72 - 62 82%
 Sat, Feb 7 334 Stonehill W 73 - 63 83%
 Thu, Feb 12 324 @Wagner W 75 - 72 62%
 Sat, Feb 14 333 @New Haven W 69 - 65 65%
 Thu, Feb 19 354 @St. Francis (PA) W 78 - 71 74%
 Sat, Feb 21 308 @Mercyhurst W 69 - 67 58%
 Thu, Feb 26 358 Chicago St. W 80 - 66 90%
 Sat, Feb 28 346 Fairleigh Dickinson W 79 - 68 86%
Totals 19 - 11 13 - 4 -4 -2 C B- F+ -1 C- D C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 6.7 18.0 23.0 16.2 4.9 69.5 1st
2nd 0.4 4.3 9.3 6.1 1.7 0.1 21.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 2.9 1.1 0.1 5.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.3 8.4 17.1 24.2 24.7 16.3 4.9 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 4.9    4.9
15-1 99.4% 16.2    15.4 0.8
14-2 93.1% 23.0    18.9 4.0 0.1
13-3 74.4% 18.0    10.3 7.0 0.8
12-4 39.1% 6.7    1.8 3.4 1.4 0.1
11-5 8.7% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 69.5% 69.5 51.3 15.3 2.5 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 4.9% 64.9% 64.9% 14.1 0.0 0.5 1.9 0.7 0.0 1.7
15-1 16.3% 61.6% 61.6% 15.1 0.0 1.4 6.6 2.0 6.2
14-2 24.7% 58.0% 58.0% 15.5 0.0 0.4 6.5 7.4 10.4
13-3 24.2% 53.8% 53.8% 15.8 0.1 3.1 9.9 11.2
12-4 17.1% 47.3% 47.3% 15.8 0.0 1.2 6.8 9.0
11-5 8.4% 41.4% 41.4% 15.9 0.0 0.3 3.2 4.9
10-6 3.3% 31.7% 31.7% 16.0 0.0 1.0 2.3
9-7 1.0% 24.5% 24.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 0.7
8-8 0.2% 13.9% 13.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2
7-9 0.0% 0.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 53.4% 53.4% 0.0% 15.5 46.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.2% 100.0% 14.1 0.6 16.6 59.4 23.0 0.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.8%