IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.4	#320
Expected Predictive Rating	-9.6	#307

Pace	70.0	#168
Improvement	-0.9	#239

Offense
Total Offense	-1.6	#211

First Shot	-0.2	#174
After Offensive Rebound	-1.5	#274

Layup/Dunks	-2.2	#263
2 Pt Jumpshots	-1.0	#232
3 Pt Jumpshots	+0.4	#164
Freethrows	+2.7	#43

Improvement	-3.2	#357

Defense
Total Defense	-7.8	#357

First Shot	-5.6	#343
After Offensive Rebounds	-2.2	#314

Layups/Dunks	-5.2	#335
2 Pt Jumpshots	-0.8	#256
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.1	#294
Freethrows	+3.6	#13

Improvement	+2.3	#36

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.9%	1.3%	0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.8	15.9

.500 or above	8.6%	17.0%	5.8%
.500 or above in Conference	30.6%	38.2%	28.1%
Conference Champion	0.4%	0.6%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	7.7%	5.3%	8.6%

First Four	0.7%	0.8%	0.6%
First Round	0.6%	0.9%	0.5%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Furman (Home) - 25.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 9
Quad 4	10 - 10	11 - 20

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Sun, Nov 9	37 @USC	L	83-114	2%	0 - 1			-15.6	+4.8	-15.8
Wed, Nov 12	264 Utah Tech	W	79-75	35%	1 - 1			-1.5	+10.8	-12.1
Fri, Nov 14	110 @Hawaii	L	56-86	8%	1 - 2			-23.5	-11.4	-11.1
Sat, Nov 15	365 Mississippi Valley	W	80-73	89%	2 - 2			-15.7	+5.4	-20.5
Fri, Nov 21	45 @Texas A&M	L	68-109	2%	2 - 3			-26.7	-2.9	-21.3
Wed, Nov 26	301 Wagner	L	101-103 OT	55%	2 - 4			-12.8	+14.1	-26.7
Sat, Nov 29	332 @Army	L	78-81 OT	42%	2 - 5			-10.5	-2.2	-8.1
Fri, Dec 5	294 Fairfield	W	70-66	54%	3 - 5	1 - 0		-6.4	-10.0	+3.5
Sun, Dec 7	156 @Marist	L	68-80	12%	3 - 6	1 - 1		-8.8	-2.7	-5.2
Sat, Dec 13	196 @Fordham	L	53-82	17%	3 - 7			-28.4	-14.8	-15.9
Thu, Dec 18	151 Furman	L	73-80	26%
Sun, Dec 21	263 Presbyterian	L	69-70	46%
Mon, Dec 29	348 @Rider	L	70-71	48%
Fri, Jan 2	169 Quinnipiac	L	77-83	30%
Sun, Jan 4	271 @Merrimack	L	69-76	27%
Fri, Jan 9	340 Canisius	W	73-68	67%
Sun, Jan 11	353 Niagara	W	76-69	73%
Wed, Jan 14	294 @Fairfield	L	74-79	32%
Sat, Jan 17	165 Siena	L	70-76	28%
Mon, Jan 19	169 @Quinnipiac	L	74-86	15%
Sat, Jan 24	171 @Iona	L	75-87	15%
Fri, Jan 30	348 Rider	W	74-68	69%
Sun, Feb 1	298 @Mount St. Mary's	L	73-78	33%
Thu, Feb 5	293 St. Peter's	W	72-71	53%
Sat, Feb 7	257 Sacred Heart	L	80-81	46%
Fri, Feb 13	353 @Niagara	W	73-72	52%
Sun, Feb 15	340 @Canisius	L	70-71	46%
Fri, Feb 20	156 Marist	L	67-74	27%
Fri, Feb 27	293 @St. Peter's	L	69-74	32%
Sun, Mar 1	171 Iona	L	78-84	31%
Projected Record					11 - 19	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.4	1st
2nd												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0					1.0	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.0	0.5	1.1	0.6	0.1	0.0						2.4	3rd
4th											0.1	0.8	1.9	1.2	0.3	0.0							4.3	4th
5th										0.2	1.2	2.9	2.1	0.5	0.1								6.9	5th
6th									0.2	1.5	4.1	3.3	0.8	0.0									9.9	6th
7th								0.1	1.7	4.9	4.5	1.2	0.1										12.4	7th
8th							0.1	1.5	5.2	5.4	1.5	0.1											13.9	8th
9th						0.1	1.2	5.2	5.6	1.9	0.2	0.0											14.1	9th
10th					0.0	1.0	4.3	5.5	2.0	0.2	0.0												13.0	10th
11th				0.1	0.8	3.3	4.4	1.7	0.2	0.0													10.5	11th
12th			0.1	0.6	2.3	2.9	1.2	0.1	0.0														7.2	12th
13th		0.1	0.6	1.2	1.4	0.6	0.1	0.0															4.0	13th

Total		0.1	0.6	1.9	4.5	7.9	11.3	14.2	14.9	14.0	11.5	8.3	5.4	3.1	1.5	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0				Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-3	91.7%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-4	62.1%	0.1		0.1	0.1	0.0
15-5	22.7%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	5.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.5%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.4%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%																							0.0
18-2	0.0%																							0.0
17-3	0.1%		12.5%	12.5%		14.0														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
16-4	0.2%		15.5%	15.5%		15.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
15-5	0.6%		9.1%	9.1%		15.5																0.0	0.0	0.5
14-6	1.5%		5.1%	5.1%		15.8																0.0	0.1	1.4
13-7	3.1%		4.2%	4.2%		15.8																0.0	0.1	3.0
12-8	5.4%		3.4%	3.4%		16.0																0.0	0.2	5.2
11-9	8.3%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.1	8.2
10-10	11.5%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	11.4
9-11	14.0%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	14.0
8-12	14.9%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	14.8
7-13	14.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	14.2
6-14	11.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.3
5-15	7.9%																							7.9
4-16	4.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
3-17	1.9%																							1.9
2-18	0.6%																							0.6
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20

Total	100%		0.9%	0.9%	0.0%	15.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.8	99.1		0.0%