Fordham
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.1 #195
Expected Predictive Rating -6.2 #265
Pace 62.7 #334
Improvement +3.7 #36

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #258 D+ C C- F C
Defense #133 B- B- D B B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #179 1.10 #245 -1.1 #221
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #153 0.95 #14 +2.5 #62
Three Pointers 40% #204 0.84 #354 -4.2 #317
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #258 -2.8 #258
Freethrows 0.20 #363 71% #241 0.14 #363
Second Chance 35.4% #51 0.92 #327 0.33 #155
Turnovers 17.6% #257
Total Offense -3.1 #258

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #306 1.14 #151 +3.0 #83
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #55 0.68 #58 -0.6 #230
Three Pointers 41% #187 0.98 #132 +0.7 #149
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #81 +3.0 #81
Freethrows 0.24 #29 73% #235 0.18 #35
Second Chance 27.3% #71 1.05 #191 0.29 #100
Turnovers 14.1% #312
Total Defense +1.0 #133

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.3% #208 -1.7% #48
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.1% #263 -4.2% #101
Possession Length 19.4 #343 17.1 #136
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #238 0.15 #136
Improvement +1.0 #133 +2.7 #45

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.3 14.4
.500 or above 5.1% 16.6% 3.9%
.500 or above in Conference 2.4% 9.7% 1.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 9.9% 3.0% 10.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Washington (Away) - 9.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 33 - 74 - 14
Quad 48 - 312 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 339 NJIT L 61 - 72 87% -5  0 - 1 -25 -12 F C B- -14 F B D+
 Tue, Nov 11 324 Wagner W 63 - 61 84% -2  1 - 1 -11 -7 F C B- -3 A- D D+
 Fri, Nov 14 225 @Iona L 71 - 76 45% +0  1 - 2 -6 +0 F A- C -6 F+ A+ F
 Thu, Nov 20 227 LIU Brooklyn W 69 - 53 67% +11  2 - 2 +9 -3 B- F B +13 A+ A+ D+
 Sat, Nov 29 309 Albany W 88 - 68 73% +11  3 - 2 +11 +14 B+ A+ F -2 B+ D+ F
 Sun, Nov 30 213 Colgate L 62 - 72 54% -9  3 - 3 -13 -8 D- C F -6 D+ B+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 325 Holy Cross L 69 - 70 84% +7  3 - 4 -14 -4 C- C D -10 C- F C
 Wed, Dec 10 346 Fairleigh Dickinson W 75 - 54 88% +11  4 - 4 +6 -0 C B F+ +8 C- A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 13 326 Manhattan W 82 - 53 85% +11  5 - 4 +16 +7 B- C D +11 A+ C+ D+
 Mon, Dec 22 333 New Haven W 65 - 47 86% +5  6 - 4 +4 -5 C- B F +11 B A+ B+
 Wed, Dec 31 85 @Dayton L 56 - 63 14% -5  6 - 5 0 - 1 +3 -3 D+ D+ C- +5 A+ F D-
 Sun, Jan 4 117 Richmond L 75 - 83 42% -2  6 - 6 0 - 2 -8 +8 C+ A- F -17 D D+ F
 Wed, Jan 7 86 George Mason L 58 - 67 29% -1  6 - 7 0 - 3 -5 -7 D C- B- +0 A B C
 Sat, Jan 10 141 @St. Bonaventure W 81 - 77 27% +2  7 - 7 1 - 3 +8 +12 A- F B+ -4 C- D- C+
 Wed, Jan 14 26 @Saint Louis L 56 - 78 4% -12  7 - 8 1 - 4 -4 +1 C- D B -8 C D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 122 Duquesne L 63 - 74 44% -6  7 - 9 1 - 5 -12 -11 F C D -0 C+ B+ C
 Wed, Jan 21 136 @Davidson L 63 - 68 26% +1  7 - 10 1 - 6 -0 -2 B+ B- F +1 B B+ C
 Wed, Jan 28 202 La Salle W 64 - 58 64% -1  8 - 10 2 - 6 +0 -2 F+ B- B- +3 A+ C D-
 Sat, Jan 31 65 @George Washington L 66 - 80 10%
 Tue, Feb 3 51 Virginia Commonwealth L 67 - 77 18%
 Sat, Feb 7 141 St. Bonaventure L 69 - 70 48%
 Tue, Feb 10 139 @Saint Joseph's L 64 - 70 28%
 Sat, Feb 14 109 @Rhode Island L 61 - 70 21%
 Wed, Feb 18 280 Loyola Chicago W 72 - 64 77%
 Sat, Feb 21 136 Davidson L 64 - 65 48%
 Sat, Feb 28 51 @Virginia Commonwealth L 64 - 80 8%
 Wed, Mar 4 202 @La Salle L 65 - 67 41%
 Sat, Mar 7 109 Rhode Island L 64 - 67 40%
Totals 11 - 17 5 - 13 -2 -3 D+ C C- +1 B- B- D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 5th
6th 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 0.7 0.0 2.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 2.5 0.3 3.9 8th
9th 0.7 4.8 1.7 0.0 7.3 9th
10th 0.7 5.6 5.9 0.3 12.5 10th
11th 0.3 5.4 10.1 1.9 0.0 17.7 11th
12th 0.3 4.5 11.9 5.8 0.1 22.6 12th
13th 0.4 6.5 13.1 7.8 0.9 28.6 13th
14th 1.3 1.8 0.6 0.0 3.8 14th
Total 1.7 8.6 18.5 25.7 23.2 13.8 6.1 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.1
10-8 0.4% 2.5% 2.5% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.4
9-9 1.9% 0.3% 0.3% 13.0 0.0 1.9
8-10 6.1% 0.4% 0.4% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0
7-11 13.8% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 13.8
6-12 23.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 23.2
5-13 25.7% 25.7
4-14 18.5% 18.5
3-15 8.6% 8.6
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 14.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%