West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#314
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#218
Pace69.5#186
Improvement-2.2#318

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#290
First Shot-4.8#306
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#148
Layup/Dunks-4.1#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#10
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#319
Freethrows-1.4#270
Improvement+0.0#187

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#327
First Shot-3.2#287
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#285
Layups/Dunks-5.4#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#165
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#79
Freethrows-1.1#256
Improvement-2.2#320
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 18.4% 55.8% 18.2%
.500 or above in Conference 28.7% 55.8% 28.6%
Conference Champion 1.0% 7.0% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 15.1% 5.4% 15.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia (Away) - 0.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 49 - 911 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 25 @Nebraska L 53-86 1%     0 - 1 -15.1 -12.3 -2.5
  Mon, Nov 10 30 @UCLA L 62-83 2%     0 - 2 -4.1 +1.0 -6.6
  Fri, Nov 14 361 The Citadel W 100-92 80%     1 - 2 -9.8 +8.6 -19.1
  Mon, Nov 17 266 @Tennessee Tech W 61-59 27%     2 - 2 -0.6 -9.3 +8.8
  Fri, Nov 21 262 South Carolina Upstate W 72-64 48%     3 - 2 -0.5 -4.6 +4.0
  Sun, Nov 23 130 @Georgia Tech L 66-82 10%     3 - 3 -11.2 -2.6 -8.1
  Mon, Dec 1 143 @Troy W 93-89 2OT 11%     4 - 3 +8.1 +4.8 +2.6
  Sat, Dec 6 266 Tennessee Tech L 59-87 48%     4 - 4 -36.6 -17.0 -19.6
  Sat, Dec 13 230 Georgia Southern L 85-91 42%     4 - 5 -13.0 +4.1 -16.9
  Mon, Dec 22 19 @Georgia L 68-96 0.4%   
  Thu, Jan 1 295 Bellarmine W 76-75 55%    
  Sat, Jan 3 260 Eastern Kentucky L 75-76 48%    
  Thu, Jan 8 344 @North Florida L 80-81 49%    
  Sat, Jan 10 305 @Jacksonville L 70-74 35%    
  Thu, Jan 15 347 @Stetson L 73-74 49%    
  Sat, Jan 17 185 @Florida Gulf Coast L 71-81 17%    
  Thu, Jan 22 283 Central Arkansas W 74-73 52%    
  Sat, Jan 24 202 Queens L 78-81 39%    
  Wed, Jan 28 295 @Bellarmine L 73-78 33%    
  Sat, Jan 31 192 Austin Peay L 69-73 36%    
  Thu, Feb 5 344 North Florida W 84-78 69%    
  Sat, Feb 7 305 Jacksonville W 73-71 57%    
  Wed, Feb 11 195 @North Alabama L 67-77 19%    
  Sat, Feb 14 283 @Central Arkansas L 71-76 30%    
  Wed, Feb 18 260 @Eastern Kentucky L 72-79 27%    
  Sat, Feb 21 202 @Queens L 75-84 20%    
  Wed, Feb 25 142 Lipscomb L 71-78 27%    
  Sat, Feb 28 195 North Alabama L 70-74 37%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.3 2.5 5.4 2.6 0.2 11.0 7th
8th 0.2 2.2 6.1 3.7 0.5 0.0 12.7 8th
9th 0.2 2.0 5.8 4.5 0.7 0.0 13.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.2 4.7 1.0 0.0 13.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.8 3.8 1.0 0.0 12.4 11th
12th 0.2 0.9 2.4 2.9 2.0 0.6 0.0 8.9 12th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.8 5.4 9.1 11.7 14.1 14.4 12.8 10.4 8.0 5.1 2.9 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 90.5% 0.1    0.1
15-3 75.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 48.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 22.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.1
15-3 0.2% 0.2
14-4 0.6% 0.6
13-5 1.4% 1.4
12-6 2.9% 2.9
11-7 5.1% 5.1
10-8 8.0% 8.0
9-9 10.4% 10.4
8-10 12.8% 12.8
7-11 14.4% 14.4
6-12 14.1% 14.1
5-13 11.7% 11.7
4-14 9.1% 9.1
3-15 5.4% 5.4
2-16 2.8% 2.8
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%