Albany
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.8#325
Expected Predictive Rating-9.4#305
Pace68.4#223
Improvement+1.3#79

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#312
First Shot-7.5#357
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#56
Layup/Dunks-4.0#308
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#76
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#254
Freethrows-3.4#338
Improvement+2.0#32

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#304
First Shot-2.5#260
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#275
Layups/Dunks-2.0#259
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#70
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#107
Freethrows-3.8#347
Improvement-0.7#258
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.6% 12.1% 7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 11.9% 22.3% 8.4%
.500 or above in Conference 57.4% 67.9% 53.9%
Conference Champion 9.0% 12.6% 7.8%
Last Place in Conference 10.7% 6.7% 12.0%
First Four6.8% 8.1% 6.4%
First Round5.0% 7.8% 4.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colgate (Neutral) - 25.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 31 - 51 - 11
Quad 49 - 910 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 73 @Marquette L 53-80 5%     0 - 1 -16.2 -18.2 +4.3
  Sat, Nov 8 181 @Massachusetts L 62-83 17%     0 - 2 -19.5 -12.0 -6.3
  Fri, Nov 14 106 @Rhode Island L 61-80 8%     0 - 3 -11.7 -4.6 -8.3
  Fri, Nov 21 177 @Siena L 63-73 16%     0 - 4 -8.4 +0.3 -10.2
  Fri, Nov 28 182 Colgate L 68-75 25%    
  Sat, Nov 29 212 Fordham L 65-70 31%    
  Sat, Dec 6 134 @Columbia L 66-80 10%    
  Wed, Dec 10 69 Yale L 67-84 6%    
  Sat, Dec 13 111 @Florida Atlantic L 67-82 8%    
  Wed, Dec 17 251 @Stony Brook L 66-73 27%    
  Sun, Dec 21 161 Cornell L 77-82 33%    
  Tue, Dec 30 88 @South Carolina L 62-80 5%    
  Sat, Jan 3 309 @Umass Lowell L 72-76 37%    
  Sat, Jan 10 302 Bryant W 72-70 57%    
  Thu, Jan 15 352 Binghamton W 73-66 73%    
  Mon, Jan 19 171 Vermont L 70-75 34%    
  Thu, Jan 22 321 @Maine L 64-67 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 354 @New Hampshire W 70-69 54%    
  Thu, Jan 29 349 NJIT W 75-69 70%    
  Sat, Jan 31 289 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 74-73 55%    
  Thu, Feb 5 302 @Bryant L 69-73 37%    
  Sat, Feb 7 309 Umass Lowell W 75-73 58%    
  Sat, Feb 14 352 @Binghamton W 70-69 53%    
  Thu, Feb 19 349 @NJIT W 72-71 50%    
  Sat, Feb 21 289 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 71-76 35%    
  Thu, Feb 26 321 Maine W 67-64 60%    
  Sat, Feb 28 354 New Hampshire W 73-66 73%    
  Tue, Mar 3 171 @Vermont L 67-78 18%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.6 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 9.0 1st
2nd 0.0 1.3 4.0 4.8 2.7 0.8 0.1 13.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 5.3 5.5 1.9 0.3 14.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 6.1 5.4 1.3 0.1 14.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 5.1 5.3 1.2 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.4 4.8 1.0 0.1 11.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 3.8 4.7 1.1 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.4 3.1 0.8 0.1 8.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.0 1.6 0.6 0.0 6.0 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.1 5.8 8.3 11.1 12.3 13.8 13.2 11.2 8.3 5.6 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 93.9% 1.3    1.2 0.2
13-3 76.3% 2.6    1.8 0.8 0.0
12-4 46.9% 2.6    1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0
11-5 17.8% 1.5    0.3 0.8 0.4 0.1
10-6 3.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.0% 9.0 4.9 3.0 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 44.0% 44.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.4% 38.8% 38.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2
14-2 1.4% 34.1% 34.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9
13-3 3.4% 31.4% 31.4% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.4
12-4 5.6% 22.0% 22.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.4
11-5 8.3% 14.1% 14.1% 16.0 0.1 1.1 7.1
10-6 11.2% 12.1% 12.1% 16.0 1.4 9.8
9-7 13.2% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 1.2 12.0
8-8 13.8% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.9 12.9
7-9 12.3% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.5 11.8
6-10 11.1% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.4 10.8
5-11 8.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 8.2
4-12 5.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.8
3-13 3.1% 3.1
2-14 1.4% 1.4
1-15 0.5% 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 8.0 91.4 0.0%