Albany
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -10.3 322
Results Rating -12.1 338
Consistency 0.17 270
Pace 64.6 283
Improvement +1.2 140

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 278 C- C- D- F C+
Defense D- 332 D+ F D C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 141 C 58% 181 +0.7 151
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 197 B- 41% 81 +0.0 177
Three Pointers 41% 179 D+ 31% 288 -1.7 239
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 160 C- -1.3 224
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 201
Second Chance C 30.9% 167 D+ 0.95 302 C- 0.29 217
Opponents' Steals D- 11.4% 328
Other Turnovers D 8.6% 325
Turnovers D- 20.0% 338
Freethrows F+ 0.24 351 D 68% 322 F 0.16 360
Total Offense D+ -4.1 278

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 42% 282 C 11.3% 199
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 161 C 5.6% 230
Three Pointers C 85% 169 F 2.1% 351
Total D+ 52% 267 D+ 6.4% 273

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 108 C 59% 202 +2.0 246
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 268 C+ 37% 138 -1.2 90
Three Pointers 41% 186 D 37% 303 +1.7 268
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 270 D+ +1.8 251
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 257
Second Chance D- 35.2% 337 F+ 1.20 356 F 0.42 359
Turnovers from Steals C- 9.0% 215
Other Turnovers F+ 5.4% 356
Turnovers D 14.4% 321
Freethrows C 0.31 193 D- 76% 334 C- 0.23 235
Total Defense D- -6.2 332

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 233 C 11.1% 168
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 128 B 7.8% 49
Three Pointers F+ 92% 359 A 2.3% 17
Total D+ 60% 293 B- 6.9% 81

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.0 334 16.9 116
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 156 0.18 206
Consistency 0.11 68 0.15 330
Improvement +1.4 112 -0.1 196

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 337 323 308
Results Rating Rank 351 337 318
Conference Record 6 - 10 7 - 9 8 - 8
Conference Finish 6 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Four

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6% 6% 4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 14% 20% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four6% 6% 4%
First Round2% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: New Hampshire (Home) - 70.5% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 31 - 71 - 11
Quad 47 - 109 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 83 @Marquette L 53 - 80 4% -13  3% 0 - 1 F+ -17 F -22 F B F A- +7 B- A- A-
 Sat, Nov 8 190 @Massachusetts L 62 - 83 14% -7  15% 0 - 2 F -20 F -17 F C F C- -2 A F D+
 Fri, Nov 14 131 @Rhode Island L 61 - 80 9% -6  28% 0 - 3 D- -14 D- -6 F A+ D- F+ -9 B+ F F
 Fri, Nov 21 201 @Siena L 63 - 73 15% -8  0% 0 - 4 D -9 D+ -2 A F D+ F+ -9 D F B-
 Fri, Nov 28 250 Colgate L 67 - 69 30% +2  67% 0 - 5 D+ -7 D -6 B F+ F+ C -1 D C+ D+
 Sat, Nov 29 153 Fordham L 68 - 88 16% -11  0% 0 - 6 F -20 C- -1 D- B B+ F -19 F F B+
 Sat, Dec 6 188 @Columbia L 65 - 93 14% -9  18% 0 - 7 F -27 F+ -9 D- F C+ F -18 D- F F+
 Wed, Dec 10 88 Yale L 82 - 93 7% -6  26% 0 - 8 C- -5 C+ +2 A F A D -6 C C+ D+
 Sat, Dec 13 120 @Florida Atlantic L 79 - 105 7% -20  0% 0 - 9 F -20 D+ -4 B F+ D F -13 F C+ D+
 Wed, Dec 17 219 @Stony Brook W 71 - 55 18% +8  85% 1 - 9 A- +16 C +1 A+ F D A+ +16 A+ A+ F
 Sun, Dec 21 165 Cornell L 75 - 83 25% +0  42% 1 - 10 D -11 B- +4 B+ C+ C- F -16 D+ F F
 Tue, Dec 30 91 @South Carolina L 67 - 96 5% -16  0% 1 - 11 F -20 C+ +3 F A+ F F -26 F F C
 Sat, Jan 3 306 @Umass Lowell L 71 - 83 33% -10  4% 1 - 12 0 - 1 F+ -18 D -4 F+ B- D- F -14 C F F
 Sat, Jan 10 354 Bryant W 71 - 46 76% +13  98% 2 - 12 1 - 1 B- +7 B- +4 A F C- A +10 A+ F+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 358 Binghamton W 69 - 53 80% +5  80% 3 - 12 2 - 1 C- -3 F+ -9 C- D+ F A- +7 A C+ D-
 Mon, Jan 19 236 Vermont W 75 - 68 38% +3  61% 4 - 12 3 - 1 C -0 C- -2 B- F+ C- B- +2 C+ C B+
 Thu, Jan 22 340 @Maine L 49 - 52 45% +4  79% 4 - 13 3 - 2 D- -12 F -15 F D D- B- +2 A- B- F
 Sat, Jan 24 346 @New Hampshire L 72 - 80 49% -3  33% 4 - 14 3 - 3 F -18 C -0 B+ C+ F F -19 F F D+
 Thu, Jan 29 315 NJIT L 68 - 77 59% -5  9% 4 - 15 3 - 4 F -22 F+ -9 F+ C- C F -12 D F F
 Sat, Jan 31 235 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 65 - 68 38% +3  70% 4 - 16 3 - 5 D -10 D- -7 D- A- F D+ -4 F+ A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 5 354 @Bryant W 65 - 63 55% -5  1% 5 - 16 4 - 5 D -10 D -5 B+ F D- D+ -4 F D A+
 Sat, Feb 7 306 Umass Lowell L 79 - 89 55% -5  18% 5 - 17 4 - 6 F -22 C- -2 D B- B+ F -20 F F D
 Sat, Feb 14 358 @Binghamton W 77 - 74 61% +5  96% 6 - 17 5 - 6 D -10 D+ -4 C- D+ F D- -7 C- D F
 Thu, Feb 19 315 @NJIT W 81 - 63 36% +1  44% 7 - 17 6 - 6 B+ +11 A+ +18 A+ A+ C- D+ -4 B- F F
 Sat, Feb 21 235 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62 - 66 19% -1  41% 7 - 18 6 - 7 D+ -5 D+ -3 A- D- F D+ -3 C D F+
 Thu, Feb 26 340 Maine L 59 - 70 68% -7  0% 7 - 19 6 - 8 F -26 F+ -10 C- B F F -18 F A F
 Sat, Feb 28 346 New Hampshire W 73 - 67 70%
 Tue, Mar 3 236 @Vermont L 66 - 75 20%
Totals 8 - 20 7 - 9 -10 D+ -4 D C- C+ D- -6 D+ D F



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C B- D+ C- 40% 36% 41% C+ C- C D+ C- D- F+ D F D- C C+ D D+ 41% 18% 41% D+ D+ D- F+ F D C D- C-
1.03 58% 41% 31% -1 0 1.00 31% 0.9 .29 20% .24 68% .16 1.17 59% 37% 37% +2 +1 1.07 35% 1.2 .42 14% .31 76% .18
Nov
3		 Marquette F F F F F 33% 16% 51% C F B+ C B F C D+ C- A- C+ F A+ B 49% 6% 45% C- B- F A+ A- A- F C F
0.69 44% 0% 18% -23 0 0.56 39% 0.9 .37 30% .26 71% .19 1.04 57% 100% 24% -4 +3 1.00 38% 0.6 .23 18% .62 69% .43
Nov
8		 Massachusetts F C- F F F 40% 10% 50% B F D+ A C F B- D+ C+ C- B- D+ A+ A+ 44% 14% 42% F+ A F F F D+ F D F
0.84 58% 20% 21% -12 +1 0.81 24% 1.3 .30 26% .42 70% .29 1.12 55% 43% 19% -10 +1 0.84 42% 1.8 .76 18% .49 70% .34
Nov
14		 Rhode Island D- F A+ F F 37% 15% 48% C F A+ A A+ D- F F+ F F+ B+ B A- A 51% 12% 37% F+ B+ F F F F F F F
0.92 41% 57% 14% -18 +1 0.67 44% 1.2 .54 24% .28 64% .18 1.21 52% 33% 28% -7 +2 0.92 43% 1.3 .54 14% .49 89% .44
Nov
21		 Siena D+ B A- A+ A+ 46% 32% 22% D+ A F F F D+ A F C F+ C- C C- D+ 54% 26% 20% F D F D- F B- F F F
1.04 63% 46% 56% +12 -1 1.24 20% 0.6 .12 18% .36 56% .20 1.21 60% 42% 33% +2 0 1.07 38% 1.1 .42 18% .40 90% .36
Nov
28		 Colgate D C- A A+ B 43% 21% 36% C B D F F+ F+ F F F C D B F+ D 31% 21% 48% C- D C B C+ D+ A+ A+ A+
1.04 57% 45% 42% +5 0 1.13 26% 0.8 .19 19% .06 33% .02 1.07 63% 36% 40% +5 -1 1.12 26% 0.9 .24 14% .16 33% .05
Nov
29		 Fordham C- F A+ F D- 34% 25% 41% C D- A+ F B B+ D A+ C- F F F D F 43% 20% 37% D+ F F F F B+ F B F
1.01 42% 50% 26% -7 -1 0.86 40% 0.8 .33 13% .22 77% .17 1.30 70% 56% 35% +9 +1 1.22 42% 2.0 .85 21% .39 67% .26
Dec
6		 Columbia F+ A+ A+ F D+ 29% 31% 41% F D- C- F F C+ A+ F A F F F B- F 35% 25% 40% A D- F F F F+ F+ F F
0.94 71% 60% 10% -4 -2 0.90 28% 0.3 .07 13% .45 67% .30 1.35 72% 54% 33% +8 -1 1.17 52% 1.5 .76 17% .33 84% .28
Dec
10		 Yale C+ C B- A+ A 37% 24% 39% C- A F B+ F A B- F F D D+ A+ C- B- 60% 10% 31% F C F A+ C+ D+ F C F
1.12 59% 43% 48% +10 0 1.20 13% 1.2 .16 10% .29 37% .11 1.27 61% 20% 38% +2 +3 1.12 39% 0.9 .37 14% .54 76% .41
Dec
13		 Florida Atlantic D+ C A B+ B+ 40% 23% 37% D+ B F C+ F+ D C F D F D F F F 37% 13% 50% D+ F B- C- C+ D+ C- A B-
0.97 57% 46% 38% +3 0 1.09 16% 1.0 .16 18% .30 60% .18 1.29 64% 75% 47% +16 +1 1.37 30% 1.1 .33 16% .31 62% .19
Dec
17		 Stony Brook C A+ F A A+ 43% 9% 48% A- A+ C- F F D B+ F F+ A+ A A A+ A+ 42% 18% 40% C- A+ A+ A+ A+ F B- B- B
1.09 75% 25% 41% +11 +2 1.28 30% 0.4 .12 18% .34 44% .15 0.84 42% 30% 26% -13 +1 0.77 17% 0.4 .07 11% .22 69% .15
Dec
21		 Cornell B- D+ B+ A+ B+ 47% 22% 31% C- B+ A- F+ C+ C- F C F F A+ A+ F D- 20% 18% 62% A+ D+ F F F F C+ B- B-
1.24 57% 45% 53% +10 0 1.22 38% 0.9 .34 15% .14 71% .10 1.37 44% 25% 50% +10 -1 1.20 45% 1.4 .65 13% .27 71% .19
Dec
30		 South Carolina C+ C+ F+ F F 46% 35% 19% D+ F A+ A+ A+ F F A+ D- F F C- F F 31% 15% 54% C F F F F C B- F D+
1.05 59% 29% 0% -12 -1 0.75 47% 1.5 .72 23% .16 88% .14 1.50 87% 43% 50% +23 0 1.48 38% 1.4 .52 14% .31 94% .29
Jan
3		 Umass Lowell D D+ F F+ F 54% 15% 31% B F+ C B+ B- D- D F F+ F C B- B- C+ 53% 22% 25% D C F F F F C+ F+ C-
1.06 55% 25% 29% -6 +2 0.94 31% 1.3 .40 16% .23 62% .14 1.24 56% 36% 31% -3 +1 0.98 50% 1.3 .64 13% .29 71% .21
Jan
10		 Bryant B- A A+ B- A 55% 9% 36% B+ A A- F F C- C F D+ A A+ D A+ A+ 23% 12% 65% B A+ F+ D F+ F F+ A+ C-
1.25 71% 50% 38% +10 +3 1.27 43% 0.4 .18 14% .31 67% .20 0.81 10% 40% 21% -23 0 0.56 33% 1.1 .36 16% .33 63% .21
Jan
15		 Binghamton F+ F+ A A+ C+ 38% 25% 38% D- C- B+ F D+ F F A+ F+ A- A+ B- B A+ 43% 22% 35% D+ A D- A C+ D- B+ C B
1.09 50% 50% 44% +6 -1 1.13 40% 0.8 .30 21% .20 90% .18 0.84 38% 36% 29% -11 0 0.80 24% 0.6 .15 17% .31 75% .23
Jan
19		 Vermont C- C- D+ A C+ 38% 18% 44% B- B- F+ F+ F+ C- A C+ A B- C- A+ C- B- 41% 14% 45% D C+ B- F+ C B+ C C C
1.10 58% 33% 41% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.8 .16 13% .40 75% .30 1.00 62% 14% 35% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.1 .24 19% .27 73% .20
Jan
22		 Maine F C C+ F F 40% 11% 49% B F C- D- D D- F F F B- D- A+ A+ A 47% 21% 33% D A- B- C+ B- F D F F+
0.86 61% 40% 14% -13 +1 0.78 35% 0.9 .32 21% .18 63% .11 0.92 65% 0% 21% -11 +1 0.81 16% 1.0 .16 12% .36 72% .26
Jan
24		 New Hampshire C A B C B+ 49% 22% 29% C+ B+ A+ F C+ F A+ B- A+ F D+ C+ F F 25% 6% 69% C- F D+ F F D+ D- F F
1.11 70% 44% 33% +7 +1 1.17 42% 0.8 .33 25% .47 78% .37 1.23 58% 33% 39% +5 +1 1.15 28% 1.8 .48 17% .31 88% .28
Jan
29		 NJIT F+ D- F+ F F 44% 13% 43% B F+ D B C- C F F+ F F B- F A D 37% 25% 37% C- D F F F F B F C
1.01 50% 29% 26% -10 +1 0.85 29% 1.2 .34 15% .24 64% .16 1.14 53% 62% 26% 0 -1 1.00 34% 1.3 .44 13% .27 81% .22
Jan
31		 Maryland Baltimore Co. D- C F D- F+ 39% 14% 47% C+ D- A- B A- F F F F D+ B+ F F D- 54% 12% 34% F F+ B A+ A+ D+ F F+ F
1.03 58% 29% 30% -4 +1 0.96 35% 1.2 .41 21% .16 50% .08 1.07 50% 60% 43% +3 +2 1.12 19% 0.0 .00 14% .50 81% .41
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Bryant D B+ F A+ B+ 52% 12% 36% B B+ F F F D- F F F D+ C+ F F F 43% 5% 52% F F C- F+ D A+ A+ D A+
1.08 65% 17% 44% +7 +2 1.20 26% 0.3 .06 17% .10 60% .06 1.04 53% 50% 43% +6 +2 1.18 28% 1.1 .32 28% .12 80% .09
Feb
7		 Umass Lowell C- D- A+ D D 49% 20% 31% C D D- A+ B- B+ A+ F A- F F A F F 46% 28% 26% B- F F+ F F D F F F
1.14 52% 50% 31% -2 +1 1.00 25% 1.6 .41 10% .42 62% .26 1.28 67% 31% 50% +8 0 1.17 38% 1.6 .62 17% .54 71% .38
Feb
14		 Binghamton D+ C- D- B+ C- 42% 13% 44% C+ C- C D- D+ F A+ B+ A+ D- C+ C D- D+ 32% 28% 40% B+ C- B F D F F D F
1.12 58% 33% 40% +3 +1 1.11 32% 0.9 .29 19% .54 77% .41 1.08 53% 38% 37% 0 -1 1.00 16% 1.4 .22 16% .50 79% .40
Feb
19		 NJIT A+ D+ D+ A+ A+ 50% 20% 30% C+ A+ A+ C A+ C- C A- B- D+ C A- A+ B+ 50% 20% 30% F B- F D F F C A B-
1.36 55% 33% 62% +9 +1 1.23 50% 1.1 .53 15% .36 78% .28 1.06 56% 30% 20% -9 +1 0.86 39% 1.0 .39 12% .30 63% .19
Feb
21		 Maryland Baltimore Co. D+ C- A+ A+ B+ 53% 13% 34% A- A- F+ C- D- F F B+ F D+ B A+ F C+ 44% 17% 38% F+ C F B D F+ B- C- B-
1.04 56% 67% 44% +8 +2 1.21 20% 1.0 .20 20% .08 75% .06 1.11 52% 22% 40% -2 +1 1.00 30% 0.9 .27 12% .25 77% .19
Feb
26		 Maine F+ A+ C+ F D+ 40% 13% 48% B- C- C+ A- B F D D+ D F D- F F F 43% 13% 43% F F A- A+ A F A A- A
0.98 75% 40% 21% -2 +1 1.00 38% 1.2 .46 28% .28 67% .19 1.16 65% 67% 45% +14 +1 1.33 12% 0.7 .08 13% .23 58% .13



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 3.9 3.9 4th
5th 5.7 45.0 10.5 61.2 5th
6th 18.5 16.4 35.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 24.2 61.4 14.4 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 14.4% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 1.1 13.3
7-9 61.4% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 3.5 57.9
6-10 24.2% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 1.0 23.2
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 16.0 94.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.1% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.2%
Lose Out 17.2%