Marist
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -1.6 183
Results Rating -2.5 208
Consistency 0.18 333
Pace 65.4 264
Improvement -4.8 341

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 324 D D+ C- D D
Defense B 60 B- C+ B- D+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 255 C- 56% 240 -2.4 271
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 114 B- 40% 88 +3.3 41
Three Pointers 37% 273 D- 29% 337 -4.7 328
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.0 313 D+ -2.8 280
1st FG Attempt D 0.94 298
Second Chance D 25.3% 318 B- 1.11 77 D+ 0.28 254
Opponents' Steals C- 10.0% 246
Other Turnovers C 7.5% 210
Turnovers C- 17.5% 230
Freethrows F+ 0.24 347 A- 79% 10 D 0.19 292
Total Offense D -6.1 324

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B+ 61% 25 D 13.3% 313
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 30% 108 B+ 2.5% 27
Three Pointers C+ 87% 130 C 0.8% 180
Total B- 59% 99 C 5.8% 210

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 212 C 59% 203 -0.2 175
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 47 C+ 37% 148 +1.7 310
Three Pointers 37% 294 A- 29% 22 -4.7 19
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.7 68 B- -2.5 77
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 72
Second Chance C+ 29.6% 151 B- 0.98 104 C+ 0.29 113
Turnovers from Steals C 9.7% 172
Other Turnovers A- 9.0% 23
Turnovers B- 18.6% 74
Freethrows D 0.35 314 B+ 69% 29 D+ 0.24 273
Total Defense B +4.4 60

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 130 D+ 8.1% 297
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 101 C- 4.1% 215
Three Pointers B- 81% 94 C+ 1.3% 96
Total B 49% 57 D+ 4.6% 256

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 208 17.7 257
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 293 0.12 34
Consistency 0.13 217 0.15 345
Improvement -0.3 203 -4.4 351

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 208 185 162
Results Rating Rank 236 205 148
Conference Record 12 - 8 13 - 7 13 - 7
Conference Finish 4 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18% 19% 16%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 15.2
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 1%
First Round18% 19% 16%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: St. Peter's (Home) - 70.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 31 - 61 - 7
Quad 418 - 419 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 86 @Xavier L 62 - 66 15% -4  37% 0 - 1 B- +6 D- -8 B C- F A+ +13 A+ C A-
 Sun, Nov 9 256 @Dartmouth W 75 - 56 52% +8  99% 1 - 1 A- +17 D+ -4 C C- F A+ +20 A+ C A+
 Sun, Nov 16 149 Harvard L 54 - 56 53% -1  33% 1 - 2 C- -4 F -15 F+ F F A +10 A C A
 Fri, Nov 21 341 Army W 76 - 65 89% +4  69% 2 - 2 C- -4 D+ -4 D- B- B- C+ +0 D+ A+ C
 Tue, Nov 25 295 Lehigh W 78 - 55 81% +13  85% 3 - 2 B+ +12 C +0 B- D- B A+ +12 A+ D- F
 Fri, Dec 5 286 Mount St. Mary's W 64 - 56 79% +2  46% 4 - 2 1 - 0 C- -2 F -15 D C F A+ +13 A+ C A+
 Sun, Dec 7 324 Manhattan W 80 - 68 86% +3  71% 5 - 2 2 - 0 C -1 F -11 F C- C- A +9 C+ A+ B+
 Sat, Dec 13 354 @Bryant W 82 - 74 82% +6  72% 6 - 2 C- -4 C+ +3 C+ D+ D D -6 F A+ B-
 Tue, Dec 16 143 @Georgia Tech L 76 - 87 29% -8  19% 6 - 3 D+ -7 B +6 C+ A+ B- F -13 F D A-
 Sun, Dec 21 219 Stony Brook W 70 - 51 68% +13  90% 7 - 3 B+ +13 D+ -4 D- B- A- A+ +18 A+ A B
 Mon, Dec 29 211 @Quinnipiac L 58 - 64 43% -3  11% 7 - 4 2 - 1 D+ -6 F -14 F C F A- +8 A F A
 Fri, Jan 2 238 @St. Peter's L 59 - 69 48% -3  27% 7 - 5 2 - 2 D -11 F -15 F F C+ B- +3 A+ F C-
 Sun, Jan 4 242 Iona W 83 - 38 71% +21  87% 8 - 5 3 - 2 A+ +37 B- +4 D- A+ A+ A+ +33 A+ A+ A+
 Fri, Jan 9 284 @Sacred Heart W 76 - 72 59% -2  34% 9 - 5 4 - 2 C -0 B- +4 C A C- D+ -4 D+ F A-
 Sun, Jan 11 356 @Rider W 71 - 49 84% +12  93% 10 - 5 5 - 2 B +10 D -6 D+ F B- A+ +17 A- B+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 245 Fairfield W 82 - 67 72% +13  99% 11 - 5 6 - 2 B- +7 B +6 B+ A+ F B- +2 A+ F+ C-
 Mon, Jan 19 172 Merrimack L 55 - 68 59% -6  5% 11 - 6 6 - 3 F+ -17 F -17 F D- D+ C -1 D A B+
 Thu, Jan 22 201 @Siena L 50 - 69 41% -4  25% 11 - 7 6 - 4 F -18 F -17 F F A- D+ -4 B+ F D-
 Sat, Jan 24 211 Quinnipiac W 71 - 64 66% +8  92% 12 - 7 7 - 4 C +1 C- -1 B D C- B- +2 B- A+ F
 Fri, Jan 30 343 @Canisius W 88 - 86 OT 77% -1  49% 13 - 7 8 - 4 D+ -7 B +6 A F+ D F -14 F F D
 Sun, Feb 1 335 @Niagara W 58 - 46 75% +5  86% 14 - 7 9 - 4 C+ +3 F -13 F F B A+ +18 A+ C+ A
 Thu, Feb 5 356 Rider W 81 - 52 93% +18  91% 15 - 7 10 - 4 B +11 A +12 A+ C- C- B +4 B+ D+ B-
 Sat, Feb 7 245 @Fairfield L 60 - 63 50% -4  10% 15 - 8 10 - 5 C- -5 F+ -9 F C F B +4 C A- D
 Thu, Feb 12 172 @Merrimack L 56 - 81 36% -6  42% 15 - 9 10 - 6 F -23 F -14 F C+ C- F -10 F A+ D
 Sun, Feb 15 201 Siena L 63 - 67 64% -8  4% 15 - 10 10 - 7 D -9 F -11 F D- A+ C+ +1 F A+ B+
 Fri, Feb 20 324 @Manhattan W 84 - 70 71% +7  65% 16 - 10 11 - 7 B- +7 A- +10 B+ A C+ C- -2 C+ F B-
 Sun, Feb 22 284 Sacred Heart W 65 - 63 79% -3  17% 17 - 10 12 - 7 D+ -8 F -16 F F A+ A- +8 B- A D
 Sun, Mar 1 238 St. Peter's W 67 - 61 70%
Totals 18 - 10 13 - 7 -2 D -6 F D+ D B +4 D- A- D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C- B- D- D+ 36% 44% 37% D D D B- D+ C- F+ A- D B C C+ A- B- 38% 25% 37% B- B- C+ B- C+ B- D B+ D+
1.00 56% 40% 29% -3 -1 0.94 25% 1.1 .28 17% .24 79% .19 1.02 59% 37% 29% -3 -1 0.96 30% 1.0 .29 19% .35 69% .17
Nov
3		 Xavier D- A+ A D- A 31% 44% 26% F B C- C- C- F A+ C- A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ 16% 29% 56% A A+ D B C A- F C+ F
0.92 75% 47% 30% +8 -4 1.10 24% 0.8 .20 27% .50 68% .34 0.98 71% 23% 24% -11 -3 0.76 31% 0.9 .28 16% .57 72% .41
Nov
9		 Dartmouth D+ B B+ D- C+ 33% 27% 40% F+ C D+ B C- F F A+ F A+ A- C+ A+ A+ 43% 14% 43% D- A+ D+ B C A+ F A- F
1.03 65% 44% 29% +1 -1 1.02 25% 1.1 .28 18% .08 80% .07 0.77 47% 33% 16% -17 +1 0.70 26% 1.0 .26 27% .53 68% .36
Nov
16		 Harvard F F B D+ F+ 42% 19% 40% C F+ D F F F B+ F+ C+ A A+ A+ F+ A+ 49% 13% 38% F A B- D C A F B- F
0.86 40% 44% 32% -8 0 0.88 26% 0.7 .17 24% .31 67% .21 0.89 37% 20% 40% -9 +2 0.87 25% 1.0 .25 24% .48 78% .37
Nov
21		 Army D+ C+ A- F D- 40% 24% 36% C- D- A- D- B- B- F A+ F C+ F D- A- D 30% 17% 53% A- D+ D- A+ A+ C F F F
1.14 64% 46% 25% -1 0 1.00 39% 1.1 .42 14% .21 92% .19 0.98 71% 38% 28% -1 0 1.00 34% 0.3 .11 18% .33 78% .26
Nov
25		 Lehigh C C+ A+ B- B 33% 25% 42% D B- D D D- B D+ B C- A+ B+ C A+ A+ 38% 30% 32% B- A+ B- F D- F D A+ C+
1.15 59% 54% 36% +6 -1 1.12 29% 0.9 .26 13% .29 76% .22 0.81 50% 38% 6% -17 -1 0.66 20% 1.4 .27 13% .31 61% .19
Dec
5		 Mount St. Mary's F C D- D+ D+ 34% 32% 34% D- D D- A+ C F F A+ D A+ A+ A+ A A+ 47% 11% 42% D A+ D- A C A+ F A+ D
0.89 56% 33% 31% -4 -2 0.91 23% 1.4 .32 27% .25 85% .21 0.78 43% 20% 26% -14 +2 0.78 34% 0.9 .29 29% .42 57% .24
Dec
7		 Manhattan F C B F F 35% 15% 50% C+ F C- C- C- C- C F D+ A B- B D+ C 35% 33% 33% A- C+ A A+ A+ B+ F B F
1.06 62% 44% 27% -3 0 0.97 36% 1.1 .38 16% .24 67% .16 0.90 50% 35% 35% -3 -2 0.92 20% 0.5 .10 19% .39 75% .29
Dec
13		 Bryant C+ A- D C+ B- 52% 25% 23% D+ C+ D C D+ D B+ A+ A+ D F F F F 33% 12% 55% C F A- A+ A+ B- D A C-
1.19 68% 33% 36% +5 0 1.13 31% 1.0 .31 16% .36 95% .35 1.08 69% 50% 41% +11 +1 1.24 21% 0.3 .07 23% .30 69% .21
Dec
16		 Georgia Tech B F+ C A B 24% 35% 41% F C+ B- A+ A+ B- D F F F F F F F 34% 44% 22% A+ F F A- D A- D+ D- D
1.11 46% 37% 41% +1 -3 0.98 32% 1.5 .49 15% .24 50% .12 1.27 71% 45% 73% +20 -3 1.36 42% 1.0 .42 22% .32 76% .24
Dec
21		 Stony Brook D+ D+ D+ D D- 35% 23% 42% D+ D- D A+ B- A- D B+ D+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 22% 31% 47% A+ A+ A- A+ A B F A+ D+
1.06 56% 33% 32% -3 -1 0.94 27% 1.2 .32 12% .24 79% .19 0.77 45% 27% 26% -12 -2 0.73 22% 0.7 .15 20% .34 61% .21
Dec
29		 Quinnipiac F D+ F F F 50% 23% 27% C F C- B- C F F B+ F A- A+ B- B+ A 31% 33% 35% A A F C- F A F B D-
0.85 54% 25% 14% -13 +1 0.77 32% 1.1 .34 22% .17 78% .13 0.94 40% 31% 29% -10 -2 0.77 40% 1.1 .43 22% .37 65% .24
Jan
2		 St. Peter's F F B F F 42% 24% 34% D+ F F F F C+ C A+ B+ B- B- A+ A+ A+ 36% 22% 42% C A+ C F F C- F D F
0.85 33% 42% 18% -18 0 0.66 24% 0.8 .18 19% .41 87% .36 1.00 50% 20% 21% -15 0 0.71 35% 1.3 .45 17% .49 79% .39
Jan
4		 Iona B- D A+ F F+ 39% 18% 43% C+ D- D A+ A+ A+ D A+ C+ A+ B- A- A+ A+ 43% 25% 33% B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ C-
1.18 54% 55% 23% -6 0 0.92 29% 1.7 .50 8% .23 87% .20 0.54 53% 30% 8% -17 0 0.68 14% 0.6 .08 34% .36 53% .19
Jan
9		 Sacred Heart B- A A+ F C 40% 21% 38% D+ C C+ A+ A C- C C C D+ C- A+ D D+ 37% 11% 52% F+ D+ F D+ F A- F F F
1.20 74% 50% 28% +5 0 1.13 33% 1.4 .48 14% .26 71% .18 1.13 59% 20% 38% +1 +1 1.07 34% 1.1 .38 22% .44 86% .38
Jan
11		 Rider D D+ D+ A+ C- 48% 20% 32% D+ D+ F F F B- F A+ F A+ F A A+ B- 31% 58% 11% A+ A- A+ F B+ C+ F A+ D
1.07 56% 36% 44% +3 +1 1.11 23% 0.5 .11 14% .10 83% .09 0.74 64% 27% 0% -10 -5 0.71 9% 2.3 .20 18% .39 57% .22
Jan
17		 Fairfield B A+ B A+ A+ 27% 38% 36% F B+ B+ A+ A+ F A+ A A+ B- C+ C+ A+ A+ 30% 32% 38% A A+ C+ F F+ C- F C- F
1.23 75% 41% 44% +11 -3 1.18 37% 1.4 .52 20% .39 81% .32 1.01 53% 38% 16% -12 -2 0.74 33% 1.2 .40 15% .48 70% .34
Jan
19		 Merrimack F D D- F F 41% 27% 32% D+ F F+ C- D- D+ A A+ A+ C F F A+ F+ 39% 24% 37% A D A+ C A B+ F D+ F
0.85 50% 33% 14% -14 -1 0.73 32% 1.0 .32 20% .43 86% .37 1.05 69% 60% 20% +2 0 1.05 13% 1.0 .13 19% .51 81% .42
Jan
22		 Siena F F C+ D- F 31% 29% 39% D- F F F F A- F A+ F D+ A- B F C+ 26% 53% 21% A+ B+ C+ F F D- C+ F F+
0.83 44% 40% 30% -6 -2 0.86 9% 0.7 .06 13% .10 80% .08 1.14 50% 36% 40% -1 -5 0.89 28% 2.0 .55 13% .27 100% .27
Jan
24		 Quinnipiac C- A- A D- B+ 45% 28% 28% D+ B F A+ D C- C+ B- C+ B- B B B+ B+ 51% 18% 31% F B- B- A+ A+ F C- D D+
1.07 67% 46% 31% +5 0 1.11 15% 1.8 .27 18% .30 75% .22 0.97 50% 30% 29% -8 +1 0.89 29% 0.7 .20 11% .30 72% .22
Jan
30		 Canisius B A+ A C- A+ 44% 25% 31% D+ A D+ F F+ D A+ A+ A+ F F D- D+ F 38% 13% 48% F F F F+ F D F A+ F
1.19 81% 50% 33% +13 0 1.27 29% 0.8 .21 18% .46 82% .38 1.16 65% 43% 36% +5 +1 1.13 33% 1.1 .36 18% .43 62% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 Niagara F D+ C F F 31% 44% 24% F F F A+ F B C- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ 44% 24% 31% B A+ F A+ C+ A C- A C+
0.95 57% 40% 18% -5 -4 0.84 13% 1.8 .23 13% .28 87% .24 0.75 30% 9% 43% -15 0 0.71 30% 0.5 .16 25% .24 64% .15
Feb
5		 Rider A B B A+ A+ 48% 19% 33% D+ A+ B- D- C- C- F A+ D B A- D A+ B+ 35% 37% 28% B- B+ F B D+ B- A A+ A+
1.37 65% 44% 63% +19 +1 1.42 36% 0.9 .32 15% .16 100% .16 0.88 44% 41% 15% -12 -2 0.74 41% 0.8 .32 19% .19 44% .08
Feb
7		 Fairfield F+ F A+ F+ F 48% 17% 35% C F B D- C F D+ A+ B B F C A+ C 27% 21% 52% B- C A B- A- D C+ F C-
0.98 43% 50% 29% -7 +1 0.90 35% 0.9 .32 20% .26 92% .24 1.03 77% 40% 24% -2 -1 0.96 26% 0.9 .23 13% .24 77% .19
Feb
12		 Merrimack F F F F F 47% 23% 30% C+ F F+ A+ C+ C- F C- F+ F F F F F 40% 14% 46% C F A+ A+ A+ D F A+ C
0.85 36% 27% 21% -18 0 0.66 33% 1.4 .45 20% .26 71% .19 1.22 75% 57% 39% +13 +1 1.30 14% 0.5 .07 14% .44 64% .28
Feb
15		 Siena F D F F F 34% 28% 38% D F D+ F D- A+ A C+ A C+ F+ F A+ F 42% 36% 22% B- F A+ A A+ B+ D A+ C
0.97 53% 29% 21% -12 -1 0.76 30% 0.8 .23 11% .38 73% .27 1.03 68% 63% 20% +8 -2 1.16 19% 0.8 .15 20% .33 65% .21
Feb
20		 Manhattan A- B- A+ A+ A 36% 30% 34% D- B+ C+ A+ A C+ B A- A- C- C- F A+ C+ 35% 26% 39% B- C+ F F F B- F C+ F
1.31 65% 57% 44% +13 -1 1.26 38% 1.4 .54 14% .29 81% .24 1.09 56% 50% 22% -4 -1 0.91 35% 1.5 .55 17% .41 77% .32
Feb
22		 Sacred Heart F F F+ C- F 23% 21% 56% F F F F F A+ F D- F A- A+ F C+ B 33% 20% 47% C B- C- A+ A D D A+ C+
0.96 43% 31% 34% -5 -1 0.90 16% 0.7 .11 6% .09 67% .06 0.93 35% 60% 33% -4 0 0.94 28% 0.5 .15 16% .32 61% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 70.0 70.0 2nd
3rd 2.1 2.1 3rd
4th 27.9 27.9 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 30.0 70.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 70.0% 19.0% 19.0% 14.6 0.0 0.4 5.3 7.3 0.4 56.7
12-8 30.0% 16.2% 16.2% 15.2 0.0 0.5 2.9 1.4 25.2
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 18.2% 18.2% 0.0% 14.7 81.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 13.3% 100.0% 14.6 0.0 2.9 39.5 54.9 2.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 9.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 19.9%
Lose Out 13.0%