Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#289
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#164
Pace71.6#133
Improvement-0.9#248

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#260
First Shot-1.3#205
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#304
Layup/Dunks-0.2#184
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#214
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#227
Freethrows+0.5#141
Improvement-1.8#332

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#309
First Shot-5.4#334
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#89
Layups/Dunks-2.8#276
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#327
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#283
Freethrows+2.3#58
Improvement+1.0#91
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.7% 13.7% 8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 61.7% 66.9% 40.6%
.500 or above in Conference 70.6% 73.1% 60.5%
Conference Champion 14.5% 15.8% 9.2%
Last Place in Conference 5.7% 4.8% 9.4%
First Four6.5% 6.7% 5.9%
First Round9.1% 10.0% 5.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware St. (Home) - 80.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 21 - 6
Quad 415 - 815 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 78 @Dayton L 71-77 6%     0 - 1 +4.5 +8.4 -4.2
  Tue, Nov 11 360 @Morgan St. W 81-79 65%     1 - 1 -9.0 +0.2 -9.3
  Sun, Nov 16 292 Wagner W 71-70 OT 62%     2 - 1 -9.3 -11.4 +2.0
  Wed, Nov 19 62 @George Washington L 52-89 5%     2 - 2 -25.2 -19.5 -5.1
  Sat, Nov 29 357 Delaware St. W 77-68 80%    
  Wed, Dec 3 79 @Georgetown L 67-84 5%    
  Sat, Dec 6 284 @Bucknell L 72-75 38%    
  Tue, Dec 9 228 Buffalo L 76-77 49%    
  Fri, Dec 12 346 Army W 79-72 75%    
  Sun, Dec 21 81 @South Florida L 73-90 6%    
  Mon, Dec 29 364 @Coppin St. W 76-69 73%    
  Thu, Jan 8 321 Maine W 70-66 66%    
  Sat, Jan 10 354 New Hampshire W 77-68 79%    
  Thu, Jan 15 302 @Bryant L 73-75 41%    
  Mon, Jan 19 352 @Binghamton W 73-71 58%    
  Thu, Jan 22 349 NJIT W 78-70 75%    
  Sat, Jan 24 309 Umass Lowell W 79-75 64%    
  Thu, Jan 29 171 @Vermont L 70-79 21%    
  Sat, Jan 31 325 @Albany L 73-74 45%    
  Thu, Feb 5 352 Binghamton W 76-68 77%    
  Thu, Feb 12 321 @Maine L 67-69 45%    
  Sat, Feb 14 354 @New Hampshire W 74-71 60%    
  Thu, Feb 19 171 Vermont L 73-76 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 325 Albany W 76-71 65%    
  Thu, Feb 26 302 Bryant W 76-72 63%    
  Sat, Feb 28 309 @Umass Lowell L 76-78 43%    
  Tue, Mar 3 349 @NJIT W 75-73 56%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.8 4.1 2.7 1.1 0.2 14.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 5.0 7.3 4.6 1.6 0.2 20.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 5.7 6.5 2.3 0.4 0.0 16.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.5 6.0 1.3 0.1 14.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.4 4.9 1.0 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.2 4.3 1.0 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.5 0.9 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.9 0.7 0.0 4.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.1 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.0 5.0 8.2 10.6 12.7 14.2 13.3 11.8 8.8 5.7 2.9 1.1 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 100.0% 1.1    1.0 0.0
14-2 94.0% 2.7    2.3 0.4
13-3 72.1% 4.1    2.6 1.4 0.1
12-4 43.2% 3.8    1.8 1.7 0.3 0.0
11-5 18.0% 2.1    0.6 1.0 0.5 0.1
10-6 3.4% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 14.5% 14.5 8.7 4.6 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 44.3% 44.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 1.1% 45.9% 45.9% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6
14-2 2.9% 37.3% 37.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 1.8
13-3 5.7% 29.6% 29.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 4.0
12-4 8.8% 23.7% 23.7% 15.7 0.0 0.5 1.5 6.7
11-5 11.8% 18.8% 18.8% 15.9 0.0 0.3 1.9 9.6
10-6 13.3% 14.3% 14.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.8 11.4
9-7 14.2% 9.4% 9.4% 16.0 0.0 1.3 12.8
8-8 12.7% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.0 0.9 11.8
7-9 10.6% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.5 10.1
6-10 8.2% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.3 7.9
5-11 5.0% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 4.9
4-12 3.0% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 2.9
3-13 1.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.6
2-14 0.7% 0.7
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.7% 12.7% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.4 9.5 87.3 0.0%