Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.7 #277
Expected Predictive Rating -6.0 #257
Pace 67.1 #235
Improvement +0.0 #187

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #230 C- D- C+ D- C-
Defense #318 D C F A+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #222 1.15 #192 -1.0 #220
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #118 0.73 #204 +0.9 #135
Three Pointers 40% #209 1.00 #199 -0.9 #226
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #203 -1.1 #203
Freethrows 14.5 #316 70% #266 10.1 #318
Second Chance 24.6% #326 0.98 #254 0.24 #320
Turnovers 15.9% #135
Total Offense -2.1 #230

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #29 1.21 #242 -5.0 #331
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #174 0.75 #167 +0.1 #180
Three Pointers 34% #337 1.13 #323 +1.4 #131
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #287 -3.5 #285
Freethrows 11.8 #7 71% #105 8.3 #357
Second Chance 27.4% #74 1.18 #321 0.32 #186
Turnovers 13.1% #344
Total Defense -4.6 #318

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.9% #248 1.1% #268
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.3% #198 5.7% #285
Possession Length 16.8 #128 17.8 #261
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #204 0.13 #54
Improvement +1.3 #103 -1.3 #263

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.4% 19.0% 13.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 81.1% 89.4% 71.9%
.500 or above in Conference 89.2% 95.0% 82.7%
Conference Champion 20.4% 27.9% 12.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.2% 1.2%
First Four10.3% 10.7% 9.7%
First Round11.1% 13.3% 8.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bryant (Away) - 52.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 10 - 5
Quad 416 - 716 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 70 @Dayton L 71 - 77 6% -4  0 - 1 +5 +10 C A- B- -5 D D- C-
 Tue, Nov 11 363 @Morgan St. W 81 - 79 74% +6  1 - 1 -11 -1 A+ F F -10 D F F
 Sun, Nov 16 316 Wagner W 71 - 70 OT 71% -1  2 - 1 -11 -14 F A- F +2 B+ B B
 Wed, Nov 19 60 @George Washington L 52 - 89 5% -24  2 - 2 -25 -19 F F D+ -5 F A+ D+
 Sat, Nov 29 356 Delaware St. W 71 - 57 83% +8  3 - 2 -3 -1 C+ F B -1 C+ C F
 Wed, Dec 3 100 @Georgetown L 81 - 90 9% -11  3 - 3 -1 +14 B- B- A+ -16 F C- F
 Sat, Dec 6 318 @Bucknell W 73 - 66 49% +4  4 - 3 +1 +6 B F D- -5 C C+ D
 Tue, Dec 9 199 Buffalo L 79 - 83 45% +1  4 - 4 -9 +5 B C- C -14 F B C
 Fri, Dec 12 330 Army L 60 - 63 75% -5  4 - 5 -17 -17 F F C +0 B B D+
 Sun, Dec 21 75 @South Florida L 69 - 94 6% -15  4 - 6 -14 -2 D C C- -11 F D+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 364 @Coppin St. W 93 - 59 84% +18  5 - 6 +17 +10 D- A+ C+ +6 C A D
 Thu, Jan 8 341 Maine W 69 - 62 76% +6  6 - 6 1 - 0 -7 -0 C- F A+ -6 C+ F F
 Sat, Jan 10 335 New Hampshire W 75 - 74 76% -3  7 - 6 2 - 0 -13 +6 A F A+ -19 F F F
 Thu, Jan 15 329 @Bryant W 70 - 69 53%
 Mon, Jan 19 359 @Binghamton W 74 - 69 69%
 Thu, Jan 22 352 NJIT W 78 - 68 82%
 Sat, Jan 24 284 Umass Lowell W 78 - 75 62%
 Thu, Jan 29 195 @Vermont L 68 - 76 24%
 Sat, Jan 31 309 @Albany L 74 - 75 47%
 Thu, Feb 5 359 Binghamton W 77 - 66 85%
 Thu, Feb 12 341 @Maine W 68 - 66 56%
 Sat, Feb 14 335 @New Hampshire W 73 - 72 55%
 Thu, Feb 19 195 Vermont L 71 - 73 44%
 Sat, Feb 21 309 Albany W 77 - 72 68%
 Thu, Feb 26 329 Bryant W 73 - 66 74%
 Sat, Feb 28 284 @Umass Lowell L 75 - 78 41%
 Tue, Mar 3 352 @NJIT W 75 - 71 62%
Totals 15 - 12 10 - 6 -7 -2 C- D- C+ -5 D C F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.5 6.3 4.3 1.5 0.2 20.4 1st
2nd 0.0 1.3 6.7 10.8 7.3 2.5 0.2 28.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 6.9 9.5 3.9 0.5 0.0 22.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 5.1 5.6 1.8 0.1 13.4 4th
5th 0.3 2.9 3.5 0.8 0.1 7.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 2.2 0.6 0.0 4.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.8 6.4 10.7 14.6 18.3 17.2 13.3 8.9 4.5 1.5 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 100.0% 1.5    1.4 0.1
14-2 94.7% 4.3    3.5 0.8
13-3 71.3% 6.3    4.0 2.2 0.1
12-4 41.4% 5.5    2.1 2.8 0.6 0.0
11-5 13.7% 2.4    0.4 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 20.4% 20.4 11.7 7.0 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 40.0% 40.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 1.5% 35.9% 35.9% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.9
14-2 4.5% 30.7% 30.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.9 3.1
13-3 8.9% 27.7% 27.7% 15.8 0.0 0.5 2.0 6.4
12-4 13.3% 23.8% 23.8% 16.0 0.2 3.0 10.2
11-5 17.2% 18.4% 18.4% 16.0 0.1 3.1 14.0
10-6 18.3% 13.5% 13.5% 16.0 0.0 2.5 15.9
9-7 14.6% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 1.7 12.9
8-8 10.7% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 0.9 9.7
7-9 6.4% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.3 6.0
6-10 2.8% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.1 2.7
5-11 1.3% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 1.2
4-12 0.3% 0.3
3-13 0.1% 0.1
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 16.4% 16.4% 0.0% 15.9 83.6 0.0%