Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.0#360
Expected Predictive Rating-21.2#361
Pace73.6#90
Improvement-1.2#282

Offense
Total Offense-6.5#345
First Shot-5.2#323
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#260
Layup/Dunks-1.5#236
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#45
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#342
Freethrows-0.4#193
Improvement-1.5#313

Defense
Total Defense-7.5#356
First Shot-4.6#324
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#326
Layups/Dunks-1.1#227
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#133
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#278
Freethrows-2.2#301
Improvement+0.3#169
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 5.4% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.4% 3.1% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 35.6% 43.5% 32.1%
Conference Champion 3.9% 5.3% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 21.1% 15.1% 23.8%
First Four4.1% 5.4% 3.5%
First Round1.5% 2.1% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Longwood (Home) - 30.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 47 - 147 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 79 @Georgetown L 70-87 2%     0 - 1 -6.7 -2.7 -2.8
  Tue, Nov 11 289 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 79-81 35%     0 - 2 -12.1 -1.1 -11.0
  Sat, Nov 15 320 @Mercyhurst L 72-86 21%     0 - 3 -19.5 +0.5 -20.4
  Tue, Nov 18 313 N.C. A&T L 73-79 39%     0 - 4 -17.2 -3.4 -13.8
  Fri, Nov 21 216 @Old Dominion L 56-88 11%     0 - 5 -32.5 -15.6 -18.5
  Tue, Nov 25 262 Drexel L 66-71 30%     0 - 6 -13.5 -5.1 -8.7
  Sat, Dec 6 260 Longwood L 76-82 30%    
  Tue, Dec 9 109 @DePaul L 65-86 3%    
  Sat, Dec 13 333 Niagara L 70-71 48%    
  Fri, Dec 19 67 @California L 65-90 1%    
  Sun, Dec 21 77 @San Francisco L 64-89 1%    
  Tue, Dec 23 114 @Loyola Marymount L 63-83 3%    
  Sat, Jan 3 339 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 64-70 28%    
  Sat, Jan 10 347 South Carolina St. W 77-76 52%    
  Mon, Jan 12 350 NC Central W 75-74 55%    
  Sat, Jan 17 357 @Delaware St. L 71-75 37%    
  Sat, Jan 24 315 @Howard L 72-81 22%    
  Mon, Jan 26 233 @Norfolk St. L 63-76 13%    
  Sat, Jan 31 364 @Coppin St. L 73-74 50%    
  Sat, Feb 7 339 Maryland Eastern Shore L 67-68 49%    
  Sat, Feb 14 347 @South Carolina St. L 74-79 32%    
  Mon, Feb 16 350 @NC Central L 72-77 33%    
  Sat, Feb 21 357 Delaware St. W 74-72 58%    
  Sat, Feb 28 315 Howard L 75-78 41%    
  Mon, Mar 2 233 Norfolk St. L 66-73 28%    
  Thu, Mar 5 364 Coppin St. W 76-70 70%    
Projected Record 7 - 19 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 3.9 1st
2nd 0.5 2.7 3.7 2.0 0.4 0.1 9.4 2nd
3rd 0.7 4.6 5.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 12.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 5.9 6.7 1.6 0.1 15.0 4th
5th 0.7 6.1 7.5 1.7 0.0 16.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 5.0 7.2 1.9 0.1 15.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 5.2 6.8 2.0 0.1 15.3 7th
8th 0.6 2.2 4.6 4.2 1.1 0.0 12.7 8th
Total 0.6 2.2 5.8 10.2 13.7 16.0 16.0 13.6 10.0 6.3 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
12-2 89.9% 0.5    0.4 0.1
11-3 70.7% 1.0    0.7 0.4 0.0
10-4 39.6% 1.4    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
9-5 10.9% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
8-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 1.9 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.1% 34.9% 34.9% 16.0 0.1 0.1
12-2 0.5% 24.1% 24.1% 16.0 0.1 0.4
11-3 1.5% 22.9% 22.9% 16.0 0.3 1.1
10-4 3.6% 15.2% 15.2% 16.0 0.6 3.1
9-5 6.3% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 0.6 5.6
8-6 10.0% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 0.7 9.3
7-7 13.6% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.5 13.0
6-8 16.0% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.4 15.5
5-9 16.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 15.7
4-10 13.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 13.5
3-11 10.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.1
2-12 5.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.7
1-13 2.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.2
0-14 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 16.0 4.1 95.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%