Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#271
Expected Predictive Rating-9.0#301
Pace63.3#327
Improvement+0.7#129

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#260
First Shot-2.7#254
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#243
Layup/Dunks-0.8#213
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#270
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#133
Freethrows-1.7#284
Improvement+0.1#170

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#243
First Shot-3.0#277
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#130
Layups/Dunks-1.0#216
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#100
Freethrows-2.2#311
Improvement+0.6#137
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.0% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.5
.500 or above 12.4% 15.9% 5.1%
.500 or above in Conference 20.1% 22.8% 14.4%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 20.1% 18.2% 23.9%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round0.8% 0.9% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Howard (Home) - 67.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 93 - 13
Quad 49 - 712 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 171 @Saint Joseph's L 65-76 23%     0 - 1 -9.0 -6.5 -2.3
  Tue, Nov 11 180 @Colgate L 83-90 24%     0 - 2 -5.4 +10.8 -16.3
  Sat, Nov 15 68 Syracuse L 50-80 10%     0 - 3 -21.9 -13.7 -10.9
  Tue, Nov 18 352 NJIT W 75-43 83%     1 - 3 +16.1 -2.0 +18.2
  Fri, Nov 21 253 Penn L 68-84 59%     1 - 4 -24.2 -7.3 -17.6
  Sun, Nov 23 216 Old Dominion W 75-71 52%     2 - 4 -2.4 +3.4 -5.5
  Tue, Nov 25 359 @Morgan St. W 71-66 71%     3 - 4 -6.6 -3.3 -3.0
  Wed, Dec 3 248 @American L 73-75 35%     3 - 5 -3.9 +3.4 -7.4
  Sat, Dec 6 238 La Salle L 64-69 44%     3 - 6 -9.3 -5.6 -3.9
  Tue, Dec 16 299 Howard W 72-67 68%    
  Fri, Dec 19 296 Mount St. Mary's W 71-66 67%    
  Sun, Dec 21 336 Maine W 67-59 77%    
  Mon, Dec 29 172 @College of Charleston L 65-73 24%    
  Wed, Dec 31 109 @UNC Wilmington L 61-74 12%    
  Sat, Jan 3 115 Hofstra L 64-70 28%    
  Thu, Jan 8 197 Stony Brook L 67-68 49%    
  Sat, Jan 10 121 William & Mary L 72-78 30%    
  Thu, Jan 15 206 @Monmouth L 66-72 30%    
  Sat, Jan 17 139 @Towson L 60-70 17%    
  Sat, Jan 17 211 Northeastern W 69-68 51%    
  Thu, Jan 29 230 Hampton W 67-66 54%    
  Sat, Jan 31 311 N.C. A&T W 73-67 70%    
  Thu, Feb 5 226 @Campbell L 69-74 32%    
  Sat, Feb 7 192 @Elon L 70-77 27%    
  Thu, Feb 12 206 Monmouth W 69-68 50%    
  Mon, Feb 16 197 @Stony Brook L 64-70 28%    
  Thu, Feb 19 211 @Northeastern L 66-72 31%    
  Sat, Feb 21 139 Towson L 63-67 35%    
  Thu, Feb 26 226 Campbell W 72-71 53%    
  Tue, Mar 3 115 @Hofstra L 61-73 14%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.9 3rd
4th 0.2 1.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.4 4th
5th 0.2 1.5 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.4 3.5 1.2 0.1 6.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.9 2.6 0.2 0.0 7.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.6 4.4 0.7 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.0 5.6 1.7 0.1 10.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.6 6.4 3.1 0.2 0.0 12.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.1 4.1 0.7 0.0 13.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 3.5 6.1 4.3 1.0 0.0 15.9 12th
13th 0.3 1.5 3.0 4.0 2.4 0.6 0.0 11.8 13th
Total 0.3 1.6 3.9 7.8 11.3 14.0 15.2 14.0 11.8 8.6 5.5 3.1 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 77.8% 0.0    0.0
15-3 93.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 51.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 20.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 20.7% 20.7% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 8.8% 8.8% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.9% 9.2% 9.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
12-6 1.6% 8.2% 8.2% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.5
11-7 3.1% 4.1% 4.1% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.9
10-8 5.5% 2.4% 2.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.4
9-9 8.6% 1.6% 1.6% 15.7 0.0 0.1 8.5
8-10 11.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.8
7-11 14.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 13.9
6-12 15.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 15.2
5-13 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.0
4-14 11.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.3
3-15 7.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.8
2-16 3.9% 3.9
1-17 1.6% 1.6
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 99.1 0.0%