North Dakota
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.5#319
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#297
Pace71.6#134
Improvement-0.7#233

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#322
First Shot-1.5#215
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#351
Layup/Dunks+0.3#161
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#160
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#220
Freethrows-1.1#250
Improvement-1.1#287

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#275
First Shot-2.2#253
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#256
Layups/Dunks-3.2#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#142
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#148
Freethrows-0.6#226
Improvement+0.5#142
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 4.0% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 6.9% 17.2% 6.1%
.500 or above in Conference 28.9% 40.8% 27.9%
Conference Champion 2.0% 3.1% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 22.2% 15.6% 22.7%
First Four1.9% 2.4% 1.9%
First Round1.7% 2.5% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hawaii (Away) - 7.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 11
Quad 48 - 1010 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 10 @Alabama L 62-91 1%     0 - 1 -7.0 -6.4 +1.0
  Thu, Nov 6 257 UC Riverside L 70-74 49%     0 - 2 -12.2 -7.3 -4.9
  Sun, Nov 9 220 Cal St. Northridge L 85-93 43%     0 - 3 -14.7 +2.2 -16.3
  Sat, Nov 15 257 @UC Riverside W 76-74 27%     1 - 3 -0.2 -2.1 +1.8
  Wed, Nov 19 45 @Creighton L 60-75 3%     1 - 4 -0.9 -1.5 -0.6
  Sat, Nov 22 253 Coastal Carolina L 58-75 37%     1 - 5 -22.0 -18.5 -2.5
  Sun, Nov 23 353 @Western Illinois W 78-69 54%     2 - 5 -0.5 -2.8 +1.9
  Sat, Nov 29 110 @Hawaii L 65-80 8%    
  Wed, Dec 3 168 @Idaho L 67-77 17%    
  Sat, Dec 6 191 Montana L 75-79 37%    
  Sat, Dec 13 353 Western Illinois W 73-66 75%    
  Thu, Dec 18 105 Winthrop L 72-82 19%    
  Sun, Dec 21 43 @Nebraska L 65-88 2%    
  Thu, Jan 1 296 Oral Roberts W 79-77 58%    
  Sat, Jan 3 150 South Dakota St. L 70-75 31%    
  Thu, Jan 8 256 @Nebraska Omaha L 74-80 29%    
  Sat, Jan 10 335 @UMKC L 74-75 48%    
  Thu, Jan 15 158 St. Thomas L 71-76 32%    
  Sat, Jan 17 286 South Dakota W 81-80 55%    
  Thu, Jan 22 296 @Oral Roberts L 76-80 36%    
  Sat, Jan 24 300 @Denver L 74-78 37%    
  Thu, Jan 29 158 @St. Thomas L 68-79 17%    
  Thu, Feb 5 256 Nebraska Omaha L 76-77 49%    
  Sat, Feb 7 300 Denver W 77-75 58%    
  Wed, Feb 11 286 @South Dakota L 78-83 33%    
  Sat, Feb 14 155 North Dakota St. L 71-76 33%    
  Thu, Feb 19 335 UMKC W 77-72 67%    
  Sat, Feb 21 150 @South Dakota St. L 67-78 16%    
  Sat, Feb 28 155 @North Dakota St. L 68-79 16%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 2.9 2.5 0.6 0.1 7.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 4.1 3.6 0.7 0.0 9.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.7 5.8 5.0 0.9 0.0 13.4 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 6.5 6.1 1.3 0.1 16.1 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 7.0 6.2 1.2 0.0 16.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.1 6.6 5.0 1.1 0.1 16.4 8th
9th 0.3 1.6 4.0 4.9 3.0 0.5 0.0 14.4 9th
Total 0.3 1.6 4.6 8.2 12.0 14.6 15.5 14.3 11.2 8.0 4.9 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 95.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 85.4% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
12-4 52.4% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1
11-5 21.2% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 3.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 25.6% 25.6% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.5% 20.1% 20.1% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
12-4 1.3% 14.8% 14.8% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1
11-5 2.8% 11.9% 11.9% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.4
10-6 4.9% 7.4% 7.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 4.6
9-7 8.0% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4 7.6
8-8 11.2% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.5 10.7
7-9 14.3% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.4 14.0
6-10 15.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 15.3
5-11 14.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 14.5
4-12 12.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.9
3-13 8.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.1
2-14 4.6% 4.6
1-15 1.6% 1.6
0-16 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 15.8 0.1 0.3 2.3 97.3 0.0%