UC Riverside
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -6.3 272
Results Rating -7.0 278
Consistency 0.16 204
Pace 70.2 127
Improvement +2.2 111

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 287 C- D D C C+
Defense C- 231 D+ C D+ D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 112 C- 56% 243 +0.5 161
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 157 C- 36% 252 -0.6 213
Three Pointers 39% 221 C- 33% 239 -1.9 247
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 163 D+ -2.1 256
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 235
Second Chance D+ 27.3% 265 F+ 0.88 348 D 0.24 327
Opponents' Steals C- 10.0% 254
Other Turnovers D 8.5% 323
Turnovers D 18.5% 302
Freethrows C 0.30 199 B- 74% 124 C 0.22 169
Total Offense D+ -4.3 287

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 45% 237 D+ 12.7% 289
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 30% 110 B- 3.5% 72
Three Pointers F 72% 354 B 0.4% 56
Total D+ 50% 293 C- 6.1% 241


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 17 C- 60% 222 +4.9 336
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 152 D- 43% 334 +1.3 294
Three Pointers 33% 355 C 33% 163 -4.2 24
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.4 252 C- +1.5 246
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.06 251
Second Chance C 30.6% 193 C+ 1.00 140 C 0.31 173
Turnovers from Steals D- 7.0% 338
Other Turnovers B- 8.0% 86
Turnovers D+ 15.0% 286
Freethrows D 0.35 302 B- 71% 85 D+ 0.24 279
Total Defense C- -1.9 231

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 196 C 11.1% 165
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 287 C- 4.0% 229
Three Pointers C 84% 176 B 1.5% 62
Total C+ 54% 148 C+ 6.4% 115

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 195 16.6 46
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 304 0.18 208
Consistency 0.12 135 0.12 145
Improvement -0.6 222 +2.8 66

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 273 272 272
Results Rating Rank 278 278 277
Conference Record 5 - 15 5 - 15 5 - 15
Conference Finish 10 10 10
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 8
Quad 32 - 92 - 17
Quad 46 - 58 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 280 @North Dakota W 74 - 70 41% +5  84% 1 - 0 C -0 D -6 C+ F F B+ +6 F+ A+ C-
 Tue, Nov 11 54 @New Mexico L 68 - 82 4% -5  5% 1 - 1 C -0 C+ +3 A- F+ D+ D+ -4 C- C+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 280 North Dakota L 74 - 76 64% -0  36% 1 - 2 D- -12 F -12 C+ F F C+ +0 D- A C
 Tue, Nov 18 115 @California Baptist L 57 - 80 13% -15  1% 1 - 3 F+ -17 F -17 F+ D+ F B- +2 C+ B D+
 Fri, Nov 21 226 @San Diego W 85 - 71 30% +10  95% 2 - 3 B+ +13 A- +11 A B B B- +3 A- D D+
 Mon, Nov 24 307 Grambling St. W 83 - 74 71% -1  34% 3 - 3 C- -3 B +7 A+ D C- F -10 C C- F
 Sat, Nov 29 200 @Utah Tech L 69 - 77 25% -4  6% 3 - 4 D+ -7 C- -0 B- D+ D D- -7 D D F
 Thu, Dec 4 110 @UC Irvine L 60 - 73 12% -11  0% 3 - 5 0 - 1 D+ -6 D -6 F F+ B+ C -1 D A- D+
 Sat, Dec 6 220 @Cal Poly W 88 - 84 28% +7  82% 4 - 5 1 - 1 C+ +4 B+ +9 C+ C+ A+ D -6 F A D+
 Sat, Dec 13 22 @BYU L 53 - 100 2% -22  0% 4 - 6 F -27 F -19 D- D F D+ -4 F A+ C-
 Sat, Dec 20 113 @St. Thomas L 78 - 92 12% -7  27% 4 - 7 D+ -8 B- +5 B D D+ F -13 F C- F
 Tue, Dec 23 26 @UCLA L 65 - 97 2% -14  0% 4 - 8 D- -13 F -11 B- F F C+ +1 B D- C
 Thu, Jan 1 119 Hawaii L 45 - 88 27% -21  0% 4 - 9 1 - 2 F -43 F -23 F F+ D+ F -25 F F C
 Thu, Jan 8 332 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 66 - 67 59% -0  40% 4 - 10 1 - 3 D -9 F -14 D+ F F B +4 A F B
 Sat, Jan 10 137 UC San Diego L 66 - 69 32% +1  47% 4 - 11 1 - 4 C- -5 C- -2 D- B+ F C- -3 D C- B
 Thu, Jan 15 251 @Long Beach St. L 73 - 88 35% -10  6% 4 - 12 1 - 5 F+ -17 C- -1 F B- A+ F -17 F C F
 Sat, Jan 17 180 Cal St. Fullerton W 81 - 72 42% +9  97% 5 - 12 2 - 5 C+ +5 D+ -4 B F F+ A- +8 A+ B- B
 Thu, Jan 22 110 UC Irvine L 66 - 80 25% -10  0% 5 - 13 2 - 6 D- -13 D -5 D- C- D F+ -8 D D+ B
 Sat, Jan 24 174 @UC Davis L 66 - 74 22% -10  0% 5 - 14 2 - 7 D+ -6 D -6 F+ B- C C -1 F+ B- C+
 Thu, Jan 29 251 Long Beach St. W 71 - 61 57% +0  47% 6 - 14 3 - 7 C+ +2 D- -7 D C- D A +9 A- D+ A
 Sat, Jan 31 220 Cal Poly L 87 - 94 50% -2  23% 6 - 15 3 - 8 D- -13 C+ +2 B- B- F F -14 F C- F+
 Thu, Feb 5 180 @Cal St. Fullerton L 72 - 78 22% +1  47% 6 - 16 3 - 9 C- -4 D- -7 D- F A+ B +4 B+ A- D
 Sat, Feb 7 178 @Cal St. Northridge L 74 - 88 22% -3  25% 6 - 17 3 - 10 D- -12 D+ -3 D C- D F+ -8 F D D
 Thu, Feb 12 143 UC Santa Barbara L 68 - 76 35% +3  64% 6 - 18 3 - 11 D -10 D+ -4 A+ F F D- -7 B F D+
 Sat, Feb 14 137 @UC San Diego L 66 - 72 16% -5  2% 6 - 19 3 - 12 C -2 D -5 D- F+ C+ B +4 B+ B+ D
 Thu, Feb 19 332 Cal St. Bakersfield W 93 - 65 78% +15  96% 7 - 19 4 - 12 B+ +14 C +1 A F B- A +9 A+ A+ D
 Sat, Feb 21 174 UC Davis L 73 - 78 41% -4  13% 7 - 20 4 - 13 D -9 D- -7 F C+ D C -1 B+ B- D-
 Thu, Feb 26 143 @UC Santa Barbara L 59 - 70 17% -4  12% 7 - 21 4 - 14 D+ -7 F -15 F F C A- +7 B+ C C+
 Sat, Feb 28 178 Cal St. Northridge W 95 - 84 42% +5  65% 8 - 21 5 - 14 B- +7 B +6 C- C A+ C -1 A- D F+
 Thu, Mar 5 119 @Hawaii L 74 - 93 13% -6  4% 8 - 22 5 - 15 D- -13 C+ +3 F+ A A- F -15 F F F
Totals 8 - 22 5 - 15 -6 D+ -4 F D+ C+ C- -2 C- B- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- C- C- D+ 41% 39% 39% C+ C- D+ F+ D D C B- C C- C- D- C C- 46% 21% 33% D+ D+ C C+ C D+ D B- D+
1.02 56% 36% 33% -2 0 0.98 27% 0.9 .24 19% .30 74% .22 1.11 60% 43% 33% +2 0 1.06 31% 1.0 .31 15% .35 71% .21
Nov
6		 North Dakota D B A+ F C 59% 7% 34% A C+ F D F F A+ A+ A+ B+ D+ F B F 44% 16% 40% C F+ B- A+ A+ C- F+ A+ B
1.05 67% 67% 29% +4 +3 1.17 17% 1.0 .17 27% .52 81% .43 0.99 59% 63% 30% +2 +1 1.08 24% 0.6 .15 14% .40 50% .20
Nov
11		 New Mexico C+ F F A+ A 22% 24% 54% D A- F C F+ D+ D- A+ C+ D+ F C A+ C- 51% 18% 32% C C- A- F+ C+ F B A B+
1.02 30% 27% 52% +6 -2 1.11 16% 1.0 .16 21% .25 92% .23 1.23 72% 40% 28% +5 +1 1.14 26% 1.1 .29 8% .28 65% .18
Nov
15		 North Dakota F C+ A+ C+ C+ 40% 6% 53% B- C+ F+ F F F C+ F D+ C+ D+ A+ D- D- 49% 10% 41% F+ D- B- A+ A C A+ A+ A+
1.00 63% 67% 36% +5 +2 1.17 27% 0.9 .23 28% .39 62% .24 1.02 59% 17% 38% 0 +2 1.07 24% 0.7 .17 15% .22 50% .11
Nov
18		 California Baptist F F B+ F F 46% 21% 33% B- F+ B F D+ F F D+ F B- B F A+ B- 64% 20% 16% F+ C+ F A+ B D+ F+ A- D+
0.75 42% 45% 24% -11 +1 0.81 31% 0.7 .21 29% .24 69% .17 1.05 47% 55% 22% -7 +2 0.93 47% 0.6 .29 16% .36 65% .23
Nov
21		 San Diego A- C+ D+ A+ A+ 49% 18% 33% B- A C+ A- B B A+ D- B+ B- C A+ B+ A+ 41% 12% 47% F A- F B- D D+ F C F
1.25 64% 38% 53% +12 +1 1.29 34% 1.2 .41 16% .44 68% .30 1.04 60% 0% 30% -6 +1 0.92 36% 0.9 .33 16% .33 74% .25
Nov
24		 Grambling St. B A+ D A+ A+ 50% 20% 30% C A+ F A- D C- A+ B+ A+ F A+ F B- C- 41% 27% 33% B- C B+ F C- F F B- F
1.20 73% 33% 46% +12 +1 1.27 24% 1.2 .28 20% .56 77% .43 1.07 40% 54% 31% -5 -1 0.92 23% 1.3 .29 12% .54 70% .38
Nov
29		 Utah Tech C- A A+ F+ B 39% 22% 39% D+ B- D+ D+ D+ D B C- B- D- C+ F C- D- 49% 22% 29% C- D A- F D F F F F
1.09 72% 50% 28% +4 0 1.11 29% 1.0 .29 17% .32 71% .23 1.22 58% 64% 36% +7 +1 1.16 22% 1.4 .30 11% .32 83% .27
Dec
4		 UC Irvine D F F F F 50% 15% 35% A F C- F F+ B+ A+ D A+ C A+ F F D 46% 20% 34% F+ D A+ D A- D+ F B- F
0.88 35% 25% 28% -17 +2 0.71 31% 0.6 .20 15% .48 68% .33 1.07 35% 50% 53% +1 +1 1.06 21% 1.1 .24 16% .45 65% .30
Dec
6		 Cal Poly B+ A A F C+ 48% 19% 33% C+ C+ D A+ C+ A+ A- F+ B D F+ F C F 45% 6% 49% D+ F C A+ A D+ F D+ F
1.23 73% 50% 22% +4 +1 1.11 27% 1.3 .36 7% .36 67% .24 1.18 68% 67% 33% +6 +2 1.18 30% 0.6 .18 18% .45 81% .36
Dec
13		 BYU F D- D- D- D- 19% 37% 44% D- D- F A- D F F F F D+ F D- F F 35% 31% 35% B F C+ A+ A+ C- F A+ B+
0.70 50% 30% 29% -8 -4 0.80 17% 1.3 .22 24% .09 20% .02 1.33 95% 47% 47% +22 -2 1.44 36% 0.7 .25 13% .40 50% .20
Dec
20		 St. Thomas B- A F A+ B+ 43% 22% 35% D+ B C- D- D D+ C+ A+ A- F D+ F F F 50% 20% 30% B F A+ F C- F C- F F+
1.13 71% 18% 41% +5 0 1.12 27% 1.0 .27 19% .28 94% .27 1.33 67% 55% 50% +15 +1 1.33 9% 2.5 .22 9% .30 84% .25
Dec
23		 UCLA F A- C F B- 45% 28% 28% C B- C- F F F A+ D+ A+ C+ D- C- A- B 33% 33% 33% B+ B C+ F D- C D- F F
0.83 67% 38% 23% -1 0 1.00 28% 0.1 .03 28% .41 70% .29 1.24 68% 42% 32% +4 -2 1.05 32% 1.5 .47 13% .38 85% .32
Jan
1		 Hawaii F F F F F 56% 16% 29% A- F F D+ F+ D+ D+ D+ D+ F D+ F F F 47% 8% 45% D- F F B- F C A A+ A+
0.71 44% 14% 15% -20 +2 0.67 17% 1.0 .17 17% .29 67% .19 1.39 63% 50% 48% +12 +2 1.31 47% 1.0 .47 19% .27 50% .14
Jan
8		 Cal St. Bakersfield F F B- A+ D+ 42% 18% 40% C+ D+ F F F F F+ F F B C- A+ F B 24% 57% 18% A+ A F F+ F B C- C- C-
0.94 33% 44% 50% 0 +1 1.04 24% 0.6 .13 23% .30 63% .19 0.96 58% 18% 44% -9 -6 0.73 41% 1.1 .46 21% .36 75% .27
Jan
10		 UC San Diego C- D+ B- F D 27% 24% 49% D- D- B B B+ F A+ A+ A+ C- F D+ A+ D 49% 12% 39% D D D- B C- B F C+ F
1.02 54% 42% 25% -7 -1 0.86 33% 1.2 .38 20% .39 85% .33 1.07 75% 40% 25% +3 +2 1.12 31% 0.9 .28 19% .47 68% .32
Jan
15		 Long Beach St. C- C- F F F 48% 22% 30% C+ F B D B- A+ B B+ B+ F D F F F 41% 33% 25% C- F D+ B C F D- B- D
1.07 58% 17% 19% -12 +1 0.80 33% 1.2 .38 10% .39 79% .31 1.30 67% 53% 54% +16 -1 1.31 29% 1.0 .29 12% .33 70% .23
Jan
17		 Cal St. Fullerton D+ A- A+ C+ A- 34% 26% 40% D- B F+ F F F+ A- A A A- D B A+ A+ 39% 21% 39% C A+ C+ B B- B F C+ F
1.04 71% 54% 35% +9 -1 1.18 21% 0.7 .14 22% .36 82% .30 0.93 64% 33% 14% -11 0 0.80 24% 0.9 .21 18% .49 71% .35
Jan
22		 UC Irvine D F A+ F F 45% 13% 42% A D- B- D- C- D B A+ A+ F+ D+ F A+ D 47% 19% 34% F D F A+ D+ B F D+ F
0.93 33% 57% 27% -13 +1 0.79 36% 0.8 .29 20% .28 94% .26 1.13 59% 67% 25% +1 +1 1.06 49% 0.8 .37 20% .55 71% .39
Jan
24		 UC Davis D F D D- F 48% 6% 46% A- F+ D+ A+ B- C C+ F F C D+ B+ F F+ 43% 23% 34% C- F+ C B+ B- C+ F A F+
0.96 46% 33% 30% -9 +3 0.90 28% 1.3 .36 19% .34 53% .18 1.08 63% 30% 47% +7 0 1.16 26% 0.9 .22 19% .45 68% .31
Jan
29		 Long Beach St. D- A- C F D- 37% 20% 43% C- D A- F C- D A+ F A- A A- F A+ A 48% 26% 26% F A- F A D+ A F A+ D+
1.03 68% 40% 23% -3 0 0.96 36% 0.9 .33 19% .48 67% .32 0.88 50% 50% 17% -8 0 0.87 34% 0.9 .32 23% .38 60% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Cal Poly C+ C+ A+ C+ B+ 35% 31% 33% F B- A+ F B- F A+ F A+ F F+ F C- F 52% 6% 43% F+ F F A- C- F+ D D+ D
1.17 61% 56% 35% +7 -2 1.14 54% 0.7 .38 24% .46 65% .30 1.26 68% 67% 35% +7 +3 1.22 38% 0.8 .31 16% .34 81% .27
Feb
5		 Cal St. Fullerton D- F+ C- D+ F+ 34% 21% 45% D+ D- F F F A+ D- F F B B+ A+ C+ A 62% 10% 29% F B+ A C A- D F F F
0.95 52% 38% 32% -3 0 0.95 14% 0.7 .09 12% .24 56% .14 1.03 50% 20% 33% -7 +3 0.94 17% 1.0 .17 13% .49 84% .41
Feb
7		 Cal St. Northridge D+ C B F+ D- 25% 13% 63% C D B+ F C- D F A+ D+ F+ D+ F+ F F 62% 17% 21% D- F B- F D D D- A+ B
1.02 57% 43% 29% -5 0 0.93 35% 0.9 .30 18% .22 92% .20 1.21 61% 44% 55% +9 +2 1.25 29% 1.3 .39 15% .36 45% .16
Feb
12		 UC Santa Barbara D+ A+ A+ B A+ 38% 20% 42% C A+ D F F F D- F F D- B+ A+ F B+ 45% 17% 38% D B D- F F D+ D- B D+
1.06 76% 56% 37% +12 0 1.27 23% 0.8 .18 26% .30 64% .19 1.18 52% 13% 44% -1 +1 1.02 35% 1.4 .48 17% .36 74% .26
Feb
14		 UC San Diego D D- F D- F 36% 13% 51% B D- F D+ F+ C+ C+ A+ A- B D D- A+ A- 45% 14% 41% C- B+ B- A B+ D F+ F+ F
0.93 50% 14% 29% -10 +1 0.84 18% 1.0 .18 15% .27 88% .23 1.01 65% 43% 19% -5 +1 0.94 23% 0.8 .18 14% .33 75% .25
Feb
19		 Cal St. Bakersfield C C F A+ A 47% 18% 35% B- A D F F B- D+ A+ B A A- A+ A A+ 44% 40% 15% C+ A+ A A+ A+ D F+ F F
1.21 58% 20% 63% +12 +1 1.27 32% 0.5 .16 16% .34 86% .29 0.84 48% 19% 25% -14 -2 0.69 23% 0.6 .14 17% .42 85% .36
Feb
21		 UC Davis D- D+ C F F 37% 17% 46% C- F B- D+ C+ D A+ C+ A+ C A+ F A+ A- 42% 23% 35% C- B+ A- F+ B- D- F C- F
0.98 53% 38% 24% -9 0 0.85 35% 0.9 .32 22% .55 75% .41 1.05 45% 64% 24% -5 0 0.92 20% 1.1 .23 15% .62 77% .47
Feb
26		 UC Santa Barbara F C F F F 42% 27% 31% D+ F F F F C C+ A+ B+ A- D- C B+ B- 32% 34% 34% A+ B+ C+ D+ C C+ F A+ F
0.87 60% 31% 13% -11 -1 0.79 15% 0.8 .12 16% .37 81% .30 1.03 67% 38% 31% +1 -2 1.00 29% 1.1 .32 19% .51 68% .34
Feb
28		 Cal St. Northridge B B- A+ F D 37% 8% 55% B+ C- B F C A+ B B+ B+ C D+ A+ A+ A 58% 16% 26% D A- C D- D F+ D F F+
1.20 61% 60% 26% -3 +2 0.98 33% 0.9 .31 8% .34 80% .27 1.06 61% 10% 19% -9 +2 0.89 33% 1.1 .37 14% .34 74% .25
Mar
5		 Hawaii C+ F F B+ F 48% 17% 35% B F+ C- A+ A A- B- A+ A- F C F F F 64% 16% 20% F+ F C+ F F F F D F
1.03 38% 11% 37% -12 +1 0.80 26% 1.7 .44 13% .33 81% .27 1.30 59% 88% 40% +11 +2 1.28 29% 2.3 .67 14% .57 77% .44



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 100.0% 100.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%