Nebraska
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+14.9#26
Expected Predictive Rating+25.3#7
Pace69.4#191
Improvement+2.6#38

Offense
Total Offense+8.5#26
First Shot+10.6#4
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#313
Layup/Dunks+4.5#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#259
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.4#7
Freethrows-0.8#226
Improvement+1.0#94

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#30
First Shot+3.9#57
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#32
Layups/Dunks+9.7#5
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#361
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#324
Freethrows+3.2#23
Improvement+1.6#72
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.8% 1.8% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 7.4% 7.5% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 35.7% 35.8% 12.2%
Top 6 Seed 67.9% 68.0% 32.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 95.9% 96.0% 80.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 95.8% 95.9% 80.2%
Average Seed 5.4 5.4 7.2
.500 or above 99.9% 99.9% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 88.1% 88.2% 70.7%
Conference Champion 2.9% 2.9% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.3% 2.3% 8.5%
First Round94.8% 94.9% 76.8%
Second Round69.5% 69.6% 40.2%
Sweet Sixteen31.3% 31.4% 12.2%
Elite Eight11.2% 11.2% 4.9%
Final Four4.1% 4.1% 2.4%
Championship Game1.4% 1.4% 1.2%
National Champion0.4% 0.4% 0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota (Home) - 99.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 54 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 27 - 7
Quad 27 - 114 - 8
Quad 35 - 018 - 9
Quad 46 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 315 West Georgia W 86-53 99%     1 - 0 +21.0 +6.3 +14.4
  Sat, Nov 8 186 Florida International W 96-66 95%     2 - 0 +25.3 +12.8 +9.8
  Tue, Nov 11 343 Maryland Eastern Shore W 69-50 99%     3 - 0 +4.4 -6.2 +11.5
  Sat, Nov 15 44 Oklahoma W 105-99 64%     4 - 0 +17.3 +32.5 -15.4
  Thu, Nov 20 74 New Mexico W 84-72 75%     5 - 0 +19.7 +3.5 +14.5
  Fri, Nov 21 67 Kansas St. W 86-85 74%     6 - 0 +9.3 +9.6 -0.4
  Tue, Nov 25 112 Winthrop W 80-73 90%     7 - 0 +7.5 +5.7 +1.9
  Sat, Nov 29 261 South Carolina Upstate W 72-63 97%     8 - 0 +0.5 -5.1 +5.5
  Sun, Dec 7 59 Creighton W 71-50 79%     9 - 0 +27.3 +7.1 +22.2
  Wed, Dec 10 40 Wisconsin W 90-60 72%     10 - 0 1 - 0 +38.9 +21.3 +17.8
  Sat, Dec 13 14 @Illinois W 83-80 28%     11 - 0 2 - 0 +23.8 +26.7 -2.6
  Sun, Dec 21 342 North Dakota W 89-60 99.7%   
  Tue, Dec 30 335 New Hampshire W 87-58 99.6%   
  Fri, Jan 2 12 Michigan St. L 71-72 49%    
  Mon, Jan 5 31 @Ohio St. L 76-78 44%    
  Sat, Jan 10 27 @Indiana L 73-76 40%    
  Tue, Jan 13 66 Oregon W 81-71 81%    
  Sat, Jan 17 58 @Northwestern W 77-74 60%    
  Wed, Jan 21 47 Washington W 79-72 74%    
  Sat, Jan 24 103 @Minnesota W 73-66 75%    
  Tue, Jan 27 1 @Michigan L 71-86 9%    
  Sun, Feb 1 14 Illinois W 79-78 51%    
  Sat, Feb 7 133 @Rutgers W 78-68 83%    
  Tue, Feb 10 7 Purdue L 73-76 40%    
  Sat, Feb 14 58 Northwestern W 80-71 78%    
  Tue, Feb 17 23 @Iowa L 70-73 38%    
  Sat, Feb 21 104 Penn St. W 85-71 89%    
  Wed, Feb 25 94 Maryland W 82-70 87%    
  Sat, Feb 28 34 @USC L 79-80 46%    
  Tue, Mar 3 30 @UCLA L 71-73 43%    
  Sun, Mar 8 23 Iowa W 73-70 60%    
Projected Record 23 - 8 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 3.2 3.8 1.9 0.3 0.0 10.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 5.2 5.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 13.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.9 5.5 1.5 0.1 12.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.7 6.1 1.9 0.1 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.1 5.9 2.7 0.2 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.5 3.6 0.5 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.2 2.6 3.9 0.9 0.0 7.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 3.5 1.6 0.1 6.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.0 0.3 4.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.8 0.4 0.0 3.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.7 0.0 2.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.0 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 3.3 6.2 9.7 12.8 15.1 15.7 13.9 10.2 6.2 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 93.2% 0.2    0.2 0.1
18-2 69.0% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.0
17-3 33.3% 1.0    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
16-4 10.7% 0.7    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 100.0% 15.1% 84.9% 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.1% 100.0% 11.6% 88.4% 1.8 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
17-3 3.1% 100.0% 9.5% 90.5% 2.3 0.5 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%
16-4 6.2% 100.0% 7.0% 93.0% 2.9 0.4 1.7 2.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 100.0%
15-5 10.2% 100.0% 6.7% 93.3% 3.5 0.2 1.3 3.8 3.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 100.0%
14-6 13.9% 100.0% 3.8% 96.2% 4.2 0.1 0.6 3.1 5.2 3.7 1.1 0.2 100.0%
13-7 15.7% 100.0% 2.3% 97.6% 4.9 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.8 5.6 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-8 15.1% 100.0% 0.9% 99.1% 5.8 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.3 5.1 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-9 12.8% 99.2% 0.7% 98.5% 6.8 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.5 3.8 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 99.2%
10-10 9.7% 96.9% 0.4% 96.4% 7.7 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.4 2.4 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.3 96.8%
9-11 6.2% 88.3% 0.1% 88.2% 9.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.8 1.4 0.6 0.0 0.7 88.3%
8-12 3.3% 65.8% 0.3% 65.5% 10.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.0 1.1 65.7%
7-13 1.4% 34.9% 34.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.9 34.9%
6-14 0.7% 8.6% 8.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 8.6%
5-15 0.2% 0.2
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 95.9% 2.8% 93.2% 5.4 1.8 5.6 12.4 15.9 17.0 15.1 10.8 6.9 5.1 3.2 2.0 0.0 4.1 95.8%