Portland St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#156
Expected Predictive Rating+1.9#143
Pace72.5#112
Improvement-0.5#220

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#207
First Shot+0.2#168
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#299
Layup/Dunks-0.7#212
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#41
Freethrows-0.9#230
Improvement-0.9#273

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#123
First Shot+0.5#144
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#134
Layups/Dunks+0.2#165
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#71
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#159
Freethrows-1.6#275
Improvement+0.4#148
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.4% 19.8% 13.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.7 14.3
.500 or above 69.9% 78.2% 55.7%
.500 or above in Conference 77.0% 80.8% 70.4%
Conference Champion 24.0% 27.7% 17.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 2.6% 6.1%
First Four0.6% 0.4% 1.0%
First Round17.1% 19.6% 12.9%
Second Round1.1% 1.4% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Away) - 63.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 34 - 54 - 9
Quad 411 - 416 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 95 @Stanford L 79-89 20%     0 - 1 -1.4 +1.1 -1.2
  Wed, Nov 12 77 @San Francisco L 70-80 16%     0 - 2 +0.5 +3.9 -3.6
  Mon, Nov 17 271 Cal St. Bakersfield W 93-80 79%     1 - 2 +4.1 +11.3 -7.9
  Tue, Nov 25 281 @Utah Tech W 68-63 62%     2 - 2 +1.5 -5.4 +6.8
  Wed, Dec 3 286 @South Dakota W 83-79 63%    
  Sat, Dec 6 256 Nebraska Omaha W 81-73 77%    
  Wed, Dec 17 72 @Colorado L 71-82 16%    
  Sat, Dec 20 152 @Tulane L 74-77 40%    
  Thu, Jan 1 229 @Weber St. W 76-75 53%    
  Sat, Jan 3 230 @Idaho St. W 70-69 53%    
  Sat, Jan 10 272 Sacramento St. W 81-72 79%    
  Thu, Jan 15 145 Northern Colorado W 76-74 59%    
  Sat, Jan 17 249 Northern Arizona W 78-70 76%    
  Thu, Jan 22 240 @Eastern Washington W 77-76 55%    
  Sat, Jan 24 168 @Idaho L 71-73 43%    
  Thu, Jan 29 191 Montana W 80-75 66%    
  Sat, Jan 31 186 Montana St. W 73-68 66%    
  Mon, Feb 2 230 Idaho St. W 73-66 72%    
  Sat, Feb 7 272 @Sacramento St. W 78-75 59%    
  Thu, Feb 12 249 @Northern Arizona W 75-73 56%    
  Sat, Feb 14 145 @Northern Colorado L 73-77 38%    
  Thu, Feb 19 168 Idaho W 74-70 63%    
  Sat, Feb 21 240 Eastern Washington W 80-73 74%    
  Thu, Feb 26 186 @Montana St. L 70-71 44%    
  Sat, Feb 28 191 @Montana L 77-78 46%    
  Mon, Mar 2 229 Weber St. W 79-72 73%    
Projected Record 15 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.0 6.4 5.2 3.1 1.3 0.2 24.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.5 5.9 4.9 2.0 0.5 0.0 17.4 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.2 6.0 3.5 0.8 0.1 14.0 3rd
4th 0.2 2.6 5.3 2.7 0.5 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 4.9 2.5 0.3 0.0 9.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.9 2.3 0.3 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.8 2.2 0.3 6.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.9 0.3 4.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.5 3.9 6.2 8.3 10.5 11.7 12.9 12.2 10.7 8.5 5.7 3.2 1.3 0.2 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 1.3    1.3 0.0
16-2 98.7% 3.1    3.0 0.2
15-3 91.4% 5.2    4.4 0.9 0.0
14-4 75.7% 6.4    4.4 1.8 0.2
13-5 46.7% 5.0    2.4 2.1 0.5 0.0 0.0
12-6 18.8% 2.3    0.5 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 24.0% 24.0 16.2 6.1 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 78.6% 78.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.3% 48.5% 48.5% 12.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7
16-2 3.2% 48.8% 48.8% 12.9 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.6
15-3 5.7% 37.4% 37.4% 13.2 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.1 3.6
14-4 8.5% 32.1% 32.1% 13.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.8
13-5 10.7% 25.7% 25.7% 13.9 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.6 0.0 7.9
12-6 12.2% 20.9% 20.9% 14.1 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.7 0.1 9.7
11-7 12.9% 14.6% 14.6% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.1 11.0
10-8 11.7% 11.5% 11.5% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.3 10.4
9-9 10.5% 7.5% 7.5% 15.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 9.7
8-10 8.3% 5.7% 5.7% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 7.8
7-11 6.2% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 6.1
6-12 3.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 3.9
5-13 2.5% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.1 2.4
4-14 1.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.2
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 17.4% 17.4% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.4 5.7 3.9 1.4 82.6 0.0%