IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Cal St. Bakersfield
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.7	#312
Expected Predictive Rating	-9.5	#304

Pace	72.6	#99
Improvement	-1.2	#263

Offense
Total Offense	-4.9	#300

First Shot	-6.5	#341
After Offensive Rebound	+1.6	#83

Layup/Dunks	-2.5	#269
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.3	#68
3 Pt Jumpshots	-11.1	#362
Freethrows	+4.8	#10

Improvement	-0.3	#206

Defense
Total Defense	-3.9	#305

First Shot	-0.9	#212
After Offensive Rebounds	-3.0	#342

Layups/Dunks	-3.5	#302
2 Pt Jumpshots	-0.4	#226
3 Pt Jumpshots	+3.9	#46
Freethrows	-1.0	#249

Improvement	-1.0	#258

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.6	15.9

.500 or above	0.9%	2.0%	0.4%
.500 or above in Conference	4.4%	6.1%	3.5%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	46.3%	40.3%	49.2%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
First Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Idaho (Home) - 32.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 6
Quad 3	2 - 9	2 - 14
Quad 4	6 - 7	9 - 22

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Mon, Nov 3	82 @California	L	60-87	5%	0 - 1			-16.7	-10.8	-4.8
Tue, Nov 11	354 Western Illinois	W	74-58	78%	1 - 1			-0.7	-3.4	+3.3
Fri, Nov 14	60 @Mississippi	L	60-82	4%	1 - 2			-9.9	+1.0	-13.6
Mon, Nov 17	178 @Portland St.	L	80-93	16%	1 - 3			-11.3	+6.7	-17.2
Sat, Nov 22	365 Mississippi Valley	W	86-70	93%	2 - 3			-9.7	-2.9	-7.8
Tue, Nov 25	105 @Florida St.	L	59-89	8%	2 - 4			-23.0	-18.5	-0.4
Sun, Nov 30	184 @Fresno St.	W	76-71	17%	3 - 4			+6.4	+3.1	+3.2
Thu, Dec 4	222 @Cal St. Northridge	L	66-87	22%	3 - 5	0 - 1		-21.6	-11.7	-8.8
Sat, Dec 6	151 @UC Santa Barbara	L	84-109	13%	3 - 6	0 - 2		-21.4	+7.0	-27.5
Thu, Dec 11	144 North Dakota St.	L	69-80	26%	3 - 7			-13.1	-7.6	-5.0
Sat, Dec 13	293 Pepperdine	L	62-70	56%	3 - 8			-18.3	-11.1	-7.4
Tue, Dec 23	173 Idaho	L	73-78	33%
Thu, Jan 1	122 UC Irvine	L	66-75	21%
Sat, Jan 3	201 @UC Davis	L	69-78	20%
Thu, Jan 8	268 UC Riverside	L	74-75	50%
Sat, Jan 10	279 @Long Beach St.	L	71-77	30%
Thu, Jan 15	151 UC Santa Barbara	L	72-78	28%
Sat, Jan 17	89 UC San Diego	L	71-83	14%
Fri, Jan 23	111 @Hawaii	L	65-80	8%
Thu, Jan 29	249 Cal Poly	L	83-84	47%
Sat, Jan 31	201 UC Davis	L	72-75	39%
Thu, Feb 5	122 @UC Irvine	L	63-78	9%
Sat, Feb 7	272 @Cal St. Fullerton	L	79-85	29%
Thu, Feb 12	111 Hawaii	L	68-77	20%
Thu, Feb 19	268 @UC Riverside	L	72-78	30%
Sat, Feb 21	272 Cal St. Fullerton	W	83-82	50%
Thu, Feb 26	89 @UC San Diego	L	68-86	6%
Sat, Feb 28	279 Long Beach St.	W	75-74	52%
Thu, Mar 5	222 Cal St. Northridge	L	80-82	43%
Sat, Mar 7	249 @Cal Poly	L	80-87	28%
Projected Record					9 - 21	5 - 15

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big West Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st															0.0	0.0							0.0	1st
2nd													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.1	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0								0.3	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0								1.1	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	0.9	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0									2.8	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	1.6	2.3	0.9	0.1	0.0										5.3	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	2.3	3.6	1.5	0.2	0.0											7.9	7th
8th					0.0	0.5	3.1	5.0	2.1	0.3													11.1	8th
9th				0.0	0.9	4.5	6.7	3.2	0.3														15.6	9th
10th		0.0	0.3	2.4	6.5	8.3	3.9	0.6	0.0														22.1	10th
11th	0.9	3.4	7.7	10.0	8.1	3.2	0.6	0.0															33.8	11th

Total	0.9	3.4	8.0	12.4	15.6	16.5	14.6	11.4	7.8	5.0	2.5	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.0								Total

Big West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5	66.7%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-6	15.0%	0.0		0.0		0.0
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5	0.0%																					0.0		0.0
14-6	0.1%																							0.1
13-7	0.1%																							0.1
12-8	0.5%		3.2%	3.2%		15.2															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5
11-9	1.1%		1.8%	1.8%		15.5																0.0	0.0	1.1
10-10	2.5%		0.7%	0.7%		15.8																0.0	0.0	2.5
9-11	5.0%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	5.0
8-12	7.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.8
7-13	11.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.4
6-14	14.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	14.6
5-15	16.5%																							16.5
4-16	15.6%																							15.6
3-17	12.4%																							12.4
2-18	8.0%																							8.0
1-19	3.4%																							3.4
0-20	0.9%																							0.9

Total	100%		0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	99.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.7%