Stanford
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.6#93
Expected Predictive Rating+7.2#82
Pace73.9#66
Improvement-1.7#297

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#97
First Shot+1.5#135
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#78
Layup/Dunks-0.1#180
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#326
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#76
Freethrows+1.0#113
Improvement+0.9#104

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#96
First Shot+2.3#99
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#184
Layups/Dunks+1.9#111
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#283
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#59
Freethrows-1.6#276
Improvement-2.5#336
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 6.2% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.4% 6.1% 2.4%
Average Seed 9.8 9.8 10.1
.500 or above 61.6% 66.3% 40.0%
.500 or above in Conference 18.3% 19.6% 11.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 11.0% 10.1% 14.7%
First Four2.2% 2.4% 1.3%
First Round4.2% 4.8% 1.6%
Second Round1.5% 1.7% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Arlington (Home) - 82.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 8
Quad 23 - 36 - 12
Quad 35 - 311 - 15
Quad 46 - 117 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 178 Portland St. W 89-79 82%     1 - 0 +5.7 +5.6 -1.2
  Sat, Nov 8 205 Montana W 91-68 86%     2 - 0 +17.1 +8.1 +7.6
  Wed, Nov 12 174 Montana St. W 77-68 82%     3 - 0 +5.0 -1.4 +5.9
  Tue, Nov 18 325 Louisiana W 93-66 95%     4 - 0 +14.3 +15.1 -1.3
  Fri, Nov 21 119 Seattle L 69-77 70%     4 - 1 -7.8 -5.0 -2.5
  Thu, Nov 27 103 Minnesota W 72-68 55%     5 - 1 +8.4 +8.3 +0.6
  Fri, Nov 28 42 Saint Louis W 78-77 28%     6 - 1 +12.6 +8.3 +4.3
  Mon, Dec 1 269 Portland W 94-72 90%     7 - 1 +13.3 +17.7 -4.2
  Sun, Dec 7 141 UNLV L 74-75 76%     7 - 2 -2.6 -2.2 -0.3
  Sat, Dec 13 188 @San Jose St. W 86-82 66%     8 - 2 +5.3 +13.4 -8.1
  Wed, Dec 17 177 Texas Arlington W 77-67 82%    
  Sat, Dec 20 62 Colorado L 79-82 38%    
  Sat, Dec 27 222 Cal St. Northridge W 88-76 88%    
  Tue, Dec 30 55 Notre Dame L 73-74 46%    
  Fri, Jan 2 10 Louisville L 77-87 17%    
  Wed, Jan 7 64 @Virginia Tech L 76-82 29%    
  Sat, Jan 10 25 @Virginia L 72-84 13%    
  Wed, Jan 14 22 North Carolina L 75-82 28%    
  Sat, Jan 17 2 Duke L 68-82 10%    
  Sat, Jan 24 82 California W 77-76 54%    
  Wed, Jan 28 33 @Miami (FL) L 73-84 17%    
  Sat, Jan 31 105 @Florida St. L 83-84 44%    
  Wed, Feb 4 36 Clemson L 71-75 36%    
  Sat, Feb 7 131 Georgia Tech W 79-72 73%    
  Wed, Feb 11 150 @Boston College W 73-71 57%    
  Sat, Feb 14 51 @Wake Forest L 75-83 23%    
  Sat, Feb 21 82 @California L 74-79 34%    
  Wed, Feb 25 107 Pittsburgh W 76-71 67%    
  Sat, Feb 28 39 SMU L 79-82 38%    
  Wed, Mar 4 55 @Notre Dame L 70-77 27%    
  Sat, Mar 7 29 @North Carolina St. L 75-87 15%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 0.9 0.1 2.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 1.9 0.5 0.0 3.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.0 1.6 0.1 4.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.8 3.1 0.4 0.0 5.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 3.8 1.7 0.1 6.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.5 3.9 0.5 0.0 8.4 11th
12th 0.1 2.4 5.4 1.7 0.1 9.6 12th
13th 0.1 1.4 5.6 3.8 0.3 0.0 11.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.8 4.5 5.4 1.0 0.0 11.8 14th
15th 0.0 0.4 3.4 5.5 1.9 0.1 0.0 11.3 15th
16th 0.2 2.3 4.9 2.6 0.2 10.2 16th
17th 0.1 1.4 3.4 2.3 0.4 0.0 7.7 17th
18th 0.2 1.1 2.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.2 18th
Total 0.2 1.2 3.6 7.8 11.8 14.6 16.0 14.7 11.9 8.2 5.3 2.8 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 41.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 10.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 3.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 95.8% 2.1% 93.8% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.7%
13-5 0.5% 87.3% 3.3% 84.0% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 86.9%
12-6 1.2% 67.0% 1.7% 65.4% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.4 66.5%
11-7 2.8% 51.9% 0.9% 50.9% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.4 51.4%
10-8 5.3% 25.7% 0.2% 25.6% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 3.9 25.6%
9-9 8.2% 11.3% 0.3% 11.0% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.0 7.3 11.0%
8-10 11.9% 2.3% 0.1% 2.2% 10.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 11.6 2.2%
7-11 14.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.6 0.4%
6-12 16.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.0 0.0 16.0
5-13 14.6% 14.6
4-14 11.8% 11.8
3-15 7.8% 7.8
2-16 3.6% 3.6
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 5.6% 0.1% 5.4% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.7 2.0 0.1 94.4 5.4%