Southern Utah
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -6.5 273
Results Rating -6.7 274
Consistency 0.16 258
Pace 74.3 40
Improvement +6.6 8

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 254 C- C- D- D- C
Defense D+ 273 D+ C D- B C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 112 C 58% 178 +1.4 125
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 103 D- 32% 339 -0.9 228
Three Pointers 37% 259 C 34% 162 -1.7 243
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 188 C- -1.2 221
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 209
Second Chance C 29.4% 207 D+ 0.97 279 C- 0.28 242
Opponents' Steals F+ 11.9% 350
Other Turnovers C- 7.8% 240
Turnovers D- 19.7% 331
Freethrows D- 0.25 338 C- 71% 217 D- 0.18 331
Total Offense D+ -3.2 254

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 43% 268 C- 11.5% 213
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 226 D- 8.1% 330
Three Pointers C- 82% 223 D 1.5% 312
Total D+ 51% 277 D 7.0% 321

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 67 C 58% 176 +2.6 273
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 122 D 42% 319 +1.4 301
Three Pointers 35% 336 F+ 39% 352 -0.7 153
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.1 189 D +3.2 306
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.09 296
Second Chance C- 31.5% 238 B- 0.98 105 C 0.31 177
Turnovers from Steals F+ 6.5% 350
Other Turnovers C- 6.9% 242
Turnovers D- 13.4% 345
Freethrows B 0.26 57 B- 70% 75 B 0.18 49
Total Defense D+ -3.3 273

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 135 C 11.1% 166
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 158 C 4.8% 175
Three Pointers B+ 77% 31 B- 1.4% 76
Total B- 51% 82 C+ 6.3% 122

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 178 16.0 13
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 208 0.20 295
Consistency 0.13 237 0.15 335
Improvement +5.4 5 +1.2 121

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 297 275 251
Results Rating Rank 315 273 244
Conference Record 5 - 13 6 - 12 7 - 11
Conference Finish 7 5 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 51% 22% 73%
First Four1% 1% 1%
First Round1% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Utah Tech (Home) - 43.4% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 33 - 113 - 18
Quad 44 - 47 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 69 @Arizona St. L 64 - 81 6% -11  0% 0 - 1 D+ -5 F+ -9 F B- D+ B +4 F+ A+ A-
 Sat, Nov 8 144 UT Rio Grande Valley L 72 - 95 33% -11  4% 0 - 2 F -25 D- -7 D D B- F -17 F C C-
 Sat, Nov 15 255 @Nebraska Omaha L 85 - 90 34% -3  11% 0 - 3 D+ -7 C+ +2 B- D- C+ F+ -9 F A+ D-
 Mon, Nov 17 11 @Gonzaga L 50 - 122 1% -34  0% 0 - 4 F -50 F -21 F D- F F -18 F F D
 Wed, Nov 19 127 @Washington St. L 74 - 98 13% -12  14% 0 - 5 F -18 D+ -3 B+ F F F -15 C- F F
 Fri, Nov 28 161 @Robert Morris L 54 - 61 19% -11  0% 0 - 6 C- -4 F -16 F C F A+ +12 A B- D
 Sat, Nov 29 328 Stetson W 70 - 68 66% -3  30% 1 - 6 D -9 F -12 D F+ F B- +3 C- D B+
 Sat, Dec 6 155 @Oregon St. L 70 - 81 18% -11  0% 1 - 7 D+ -8 D+ -4 D+ A- F+ D+ -4 F B C+
 Sat, Dec 13 48 @Washington L 69 - 105 4% -18  0% 1 - 8 F -22 C- -1 A- F C+ F -20 F C F
 Thu, Dec 18 310 @Northern Arizona L 57 - 65 48% -0  47% 1 - 9 D- -14 F -19 F F F B +5 B D+ F+
 Mon, Dec 29 184 @Utah Tech L 66 - 80 23% -2  42% 1 - 10 0 - 1 D- -13 F -12 D- D F C -0 D+ C C+
 Sat, Jan 3 182 Texas Arlington L 77 - 86 42% -1  46% 1 - 11 0 - 2 D- -13 C +0 B- D+ D F -13 F A- D
 Thu, Jan 8 96 @Utah Valley L 72 - 89 9% -10  0% 1 - 12 0 - 3 D -8 C- -0 C C B- D- -7 F+ D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 134 @California Baptist L 55 - 58 15% -6  0% 1 - 13 0 - 4 C +2 D- -7 F A+ F A- +8 A+ F+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 223 Tarleton St. W 106 - 105 OT 50% +5  93% 2 - 13 1 - 4 D+ -5 B +6 B- B+ B F -12 F+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 17 241 Abilene Christian W 74 - 52 54% +11  96% 3 - 13 2 - 4 B+ +15 D+ -4 D+ C+ D+ A+ +18 A+ A C+
 Wed, Jan 21 96 Utah Valley W 84 - 70 19% +4  81% 4 - 13 3 - 4 A- +17 A- +10 A+ A F+ B+ +6 A+ B- F
 Sat, Jan 24 184 @Utah Tech L 91 - 102 23% -8  8% 4 - 14 3 - 5 D -10 A +12 B B- B+ F -21 F+ F F
 Thu, Jan 29 182 @Texas Arlington L 61 - 80 22% -14  0% 4 - 15 3 - 6 F+ -17 F -10 F F C D- -7 D- D+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 241 @Abilene Christian W 79 - 76 32% -4  7% 5 - 15 4 - 6 C +2 B+ +8 A+ B+ F D -6 F B- F
 Sat, Feb 7 223 Tarleton St. L 59 - 62 50% -1  30% 5 - 16 4 - 7 D -9 F -16 F D F B+ +6 C+ B A-
 Thu, Feb 12 134 California Baptist L 66 - 83 31% -8  4% 5 - 17 4 - 8 F -18 D -5 B- F+ B+ F -14 D- F F
 Sat, Feb 14 182 @Texas Arlington W 78 - 73 22% +3  87% 6 - 17 5 - 8 B- +7 B+ +7 A+ C F C -1 C- A- F
 Thu, Feb 19 223 @Tarleton St. L 74 - 78 28% -1  34% 6 - 18 5 - 9 C- -4 B- +4 D C- C F+ -9 F B- F
 Sat, Feb 21 241 @Abilene Christian L 83 - 87 32% +4  73% 6 - 19 5 - 10 D+ -5 B- +4 A+ C F F+ -9 F A+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 184 Utah Tech L 76 - 78 43%
 Thu, Mar 5 96 Utah Valley L 73 - 82 20%
 Sat, Mar 7 134 California Baptist L 70 - 75 32%
Totals 7 - 21 6 - 12 -6 D+ -3 D C- C D+ -3 C C- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C D- C C- 41% 44% 37% C C- C D+ C- D- D- C- D- D+ C D F+ D 43% 22% 35% C- D+ C- B- C D- B B- B
1.04 58% 32% 34% -1 0 1.00 29% 1.0 .28 20% .25 71% .18 1.13 58% 42% 39% +3 0 1.09 32% 1.0 .31 13% .26 70% .18
Nov
4		 Arizona St. F+ C- F F F 46% 17% 37% B+ F B C- B- D+ F A+ F B D- B F F+ 44% 17% 39% D F+ C+ A+ A+ A- C+ A- B
0.88 56% 20% 14% -16 +1 0.73 36% 1.0 .36 22% .14 100% .14 1.11 67% 33% 43% +8 +1 1.20 31% 0.8 .26 19% .34 70% .24
Nov
8		 UT Rio Grande Valley D- B F D D 31% 27% 42% D D D+ D D B- D F F+ F C+ A+ F F 47% 12% 42% F+ F F A+ C C- A+ A+ A+
0.98 65% 27% 30% -3 -1 0.93 28% 0.8 .21 15% .31 63% .19 1.30 57% 14% 64% +16 +2 1.37 44% 0.6 .28 16% .08 60% .05
Nov
15		 Nebraska Omaha C+ A A F+ B- 45% 14% 41% B B- C F D- C+ D D+ D F+ C D+ F F 44% 22% 35% D+ F C A+ A+ D- F F F
1.14 73% 50% 29% +5 +1 1.16 28% 0.7 .21 13% .26 71% .19 1.21 58% 42% 53% +11 0 1.24 25% 0.3 .06 13% .39 80% .31
Nov
17		 Gonzaga F C F F F 29% 29% 43% C F D+ F D- F D+ D+ D F F+ F F F 36% 42% 22% A+ F C+ F F D C+ F C-
0.61 56% 25% 17% -15 -2 0.68 20% 0.6 .11 28% .26 67% .17 1.49 74% 63% 57% +24 -3 1.44 35% 1.6 .54 11% .27 80% .22
Nov
19		 Washington St. D+ B B- A A- 31% 31% 38% D- B+ F F F F C- C+ C F F+ F C+ D 36% 24% 40% B+ C- D- F F F B B+ B
1.03 63% 44% 40% +7 -2 1.12 17% 0.8 .13 19% .28 75% .21 1.36 71% 57% 35% +10 -1 1.21 34% 1.9 .66 10% .25 69% .17
Nov
28		 Robert Morris F C- F F F 47% 22% 31% C F D A- C F D- F F A+ A+ F A+ A 27% 31% 41% A A B- C+ B- D B- A+ A-
0.84 57% 10% 21% -13 0 0.78 25% 1.1 .28 23% .32 63% .20 0.94 43% 56% 19% -8 -2 0.82 33% 1.1 .36 15% .22 50% .11
Nov
29		 Stetson F A F F D- 52% 20% 28% B- D F A- F+ F B- A+ A- B- D+ F A D+ 36% 28% 36% B- C- D- C D B+ A+ F B+
1.01 73% 20% 21% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.3 .28 19% .30 88% .27 0.98 61% 50% 28% +1 -1 1.02 30% 1.0 .30 22% .18 80% .15
Dec
6		 Oregon St. D+ D A+ F F+ 57% 8% 35% A D+ D A+ A- F+ F F F D+ F B F F 40% 24% 36% B- F B- B B C+ B D+ B-
1.00 52% 50% 22% -9 +3 0.90 26% 1.7 .43 18% .24 64% .16 1.15 70% 33% 44% +9 0 1.20 24% 1.1 .28 18% .33 79% .26
Dec
13		 Washington C- A+ A D- A 28% 35% 37% D A- D+ F F C+ F F F F D F F F 35% 27% 38% C F C- B- C F D D+ D
0.97 75% 45% 29% +4 -3 1.05 23% 0.4 .10 15% .17 50% .08 1.47 67% 50% 48% +14 -1 1.28 37% 1.1 .40 3% .33 78% .26
Dec
18		 Northern Arizona F F F A F 54% 21% 25% C F F F F F D- F+ F+ B A- B- F B 51% 31% 18% C B C D- D+ F+ D+ B- C-
0.88 46% 30% 42% -5 +1 0.94 24% 0.8 .18 23% .24 67% .16 1.00 48% 33% 44% -4 0 0.94 24% 1.1 .27 12% .30 65% .19
Dec
29		 Utah Tech F F B+ D F+ 51% 14% 35% B D- D+ D- D F A F B- C B- A+ F C 53% 11% 36% F D+ F A C C+ C+ A+ B
0.92 48% 43% 29% -7 +2 0.92 28% 0.9 .26 21% .37 62% .23 1.11 55% 17% 45% +2 +2 1.11 38% 0.7 .28 17% .22 62% .13
Jan
3		 Texas Arlington C A F F B- 47% 22% 31% B+ B- D C D+ D C B C+ F B- D- F F 41% 22% 37% B- F A+ D+ A- D F+ D- F
1.06 71% 27% 25% -1 0 1.02 24% 1.1 .26 19% .36 76% .27 1.18 50% 45% 56% +10 0 1.22 24% 1.0 .24 18% .42 76% .32
Jan
8		 Utah Valley C- F F A+ C 40% 19% 42% C+ C D A C B- C F D- D- D- B+ F F 52% 19% 30% B- F+ F B+ D+ C+ C+ A- B-
0.99 43% 20% 45% -2 0 0.98 26% 1.2 .31 19% .32 58% .19 1.22 68% 30% 44% +8 +1 1.20 46% 0.9 .43 21% .28 63% .17
Jan
10		 California Baptist D- F F F F 42% 18% 40% B- F A A+ A+ F F+ B- D- A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 39% 27% 35% A- A+ F D+ F+ F D- A+ C+
0.90 42% 13% 22% -18 +1 0.67 36% 1.3 .46 20% .25 75% .18 0.95 37% 23% 18% -21 -1 0.59 44% 1.0 .42 10% .35 58% .20
Jan
15		 Tarleton St. B B D- B+ B- 40% 11% 49% B B- D+ A+ B+ B A+ C+ A+ F B B F D 61% 18% 21% F F+ B- F F D+ D- C D-
1.17 67% 33% 38% +6 +1 1.17 30% 1.5 .45 20% .58 74% .43 1.16 50% 33% 57% +2 +2 1.09 28% 1.5 .44 18% .38 75% .28
Jan
17		 Abilene Christian D+ B F C+ D+ 45% 12% 43% B- D+ B+ F+ C+ D+ F C- F A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 55% 14% 31% F A+ D A+ A C+ F D- F
1.04 65% 17% 36% +2 +2 1.10 34% 0.9 .31 24% .26 71% .18 0.73 30% 29% 20% -23 +2 0.59 35% 0.4 .16 21% .44 76% .34
Jan
21		 Utah Valley A- B- F A+ A+ 36% 23% 40% D+ A+ A B A F+ B- A+ A- B+ A A+ A+ A+ 48% 13% 39% C A+ C B+ B- F D A C
1.19 59% 27% 53% +9 -1 1.19 39% 1.1 .43 24% .35 84% .30 0.99 48% 14% 23% -14 +2 0.77 37% 0.9 .35 14% .33 60% .20
Jan
24		 Utah Tech A A+ F D+ B+ 50% 24% 26% C- B C- A B- B+ A+ A A+ F C- F+ F F+ 52% 18% 31% D- F+ F+ F F F D- D F+
1.26 76% 25% 31% +5 0 1.12 30% 1.2 .37 12% .47 80% .38 1.41 63% 45% 42% +7 +1 1.19 34% 1.3 .46 4% .29 75% .22
Jan
29		 Texas Arlington F F B F+ D- 27% 43% 31% F F F+ F F C A F+ B D- C- A+ F D 53% 18% 29% D D- F A+ D+ D- D+ C- D+
0.87 31% 43% 27% -9 -4 0.78 20% 0.8 .15 17% .45 65% .29 1.14 56% 22% 40% -1 +1 1.02 51% 0.7 .37 17% .38 73% .27
Jan
31		 Abilene Christian B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 53% 32% 16% D- A+ A D+ B+ F C+ A+ A D F C+ F F 30% 32% 38% A F A+ F B- F A+ A+ A+
1.16 85% 50% 50% +22 0 1.45 38% 1.0 .38 32% .45 86% .39 1.11 81% 35% 40% +10 -2 1.17 22% 1.1 .25 13% .20 50% .10
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Tarleton St. F F F B F 33% 23% 44% D F B F D F F A+ F B+ A F C C+ 50% 32% 18% C C+ B B+ B A- A A A+
0.86 38% 27% 38% -7 -1 0.88 38% 0.8 .30 28% .16 88% .14 0.90 44% 50% 33% -3 -1 0.94 27% 0.9 .24 23% .23 67% .15
Feb
12		 California Baptist D C+ F A B- 46% 24% 30% C+ B- D F F+ B+ B- F D- F A- F F+ F 40% 29% 31% A D- C F F F A+ D+ A+
0.98 57% 25% 40% -1 0 1.00 22% 0.6 .14 12% .34 55% .18 1.23 43% 59% 39% +3 -1 1.05 37% 1.4 .51 12% .13 75% .10
Feb
14		 Texas Arlington B+ B- A+ A- A+ 36% 29% 36% C- A+ A- F C F A- D+ B C A+ F D D+ 45% 26% 30% B C- A- B+ A- F F B- F
1.12 63% 69% 38% +12 -1 1.24 36% 0.9 .32 23% .43 70% .30 1.05 38% 58% 36% -3 0 0.96 29% 0.8 .24 13% .48 69% .33
Feb
19		 Tarleton St. B- F F A+ D 35% 21% 44% D+ D A- F C- C A+ B+ A+ F+ F C- A+ F 62% 27% 11% F+ F D- A+ B- F B- A+ B+
1.11 33% 22% 53% 0 0 1.02 42% 0.8 .33 22% .52 78% .40 1.17 71% 40% 17% +5 +1 1.15 35% 0.8 .26 15% .30 65% .19
Feb
21		 Abilene Christian B- C+ D A+ A+ 52% 20% 28% C+ A+ A F C F C- C C- F+ F F A+ F 62% 12% 26% F F A A+ A+ F F C- F
1.11 63% 33% 69% +16 +1 1.37 38% 0.8 .29 32% .43 73% .31 1.16 71% 50% 23% +5 +3 1.18 24% 0.6 .14 16% .52 73% .38



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 5.5 2.3 7.8 4th
5th 4.5 32.6 14.8 0.7 52.5 5th
6th 14.8 11.0 0.2 25.9 6th
7th 12.7 1.1 13.8 7th
Total 32.0 44.6 20.5 3.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 3.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 2.9
7-11 20.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.3 20.2
6-12 44.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.4 44.2
5-13 32.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 31.9
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 16.0 99.2 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.8%
Lose Out 20.4%