Southern Utah
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -9.9 #323
Expected Predictive Rating -15.2 #346
Pace 72.8 #84
Improvement +2.8 #51

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #339 D- D F F C+
Defense #264 D- C D- B+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #65 1.14 #201 +2.3 #103
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #167 0.59 #348 -1.5 #250
Three Pointers 36% #290 0.86 #336 -5.5 #334
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #306 -4.6 #306
Freethrows 12.8 #345 67% #319 8.6 #354
Second Chance 27.5% #266 0.98 #256 0.27 #278
Turnovers 19.6% #334
Total Offense -6.9 #339

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #112 1.18 #202 -1.7 #246
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #77 0.83 #291 -2.3 #333
Three Pointers 35% #326 1.25 #365 -1.1 #228
1st FG Attempt 1.12 #327 -5.1 #328
Freethrows 14.5 #44 70% #62 10.1 #331
Second Chance 32.7% #263 1.01 #139 0.33 #205
Turnovers 13.8% #327
Total Defense -3.0 #264

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.6% #154 -0.5% #122
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -9.6% #326 10.6% #340
Possession Length 17.1 #157 16.5 #60
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #126 0.21 #290
Improvement -0.1 #187 +2.9 #40

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 1.3% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 91.9% 84.4% 94.9%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tarleton St. (Home) - 28.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 131 - 18
Quad 43 - 74 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 82 @Arizona St. L 64 - 81 4% -11  0 - 1 -7 -8 F B- D- +1 F A+ A+
 Sat, Nov 8 235 UT Rio Grande Valley L 72 - 95 39% -11  0 - 2 -30 -6 D- F B -23 F C D+
 Sat, Nov 15 258 @Nebraska Omaha L 85 - 90 24% -3  0 - 3 -7 +3 B F C -11 F A+ F
 Mon, Nov 17 10 @Gonzaga L 50 - 122 1% -34  0 - 4 -49 -20 F F F -18 F F D-
 Wed, Nov 19 136 @Washington St. L 74 - 98 10% -12  0 - 5 -20 +1 A F F -20 F F F
 Fri, Nov 28 214 @Robert Morris L 54 - 61 17% -11  0 - 6 -7 -16 F D+ F +8 A+ C+ D
 Sat, Nov 29 345 Stetson W 70 - 68 57% -3  1 - 6 -10 -9 F F F -1 D- D- A
 Sat, Dec 6 189 @Oregon St. L 70 - 81 15% -11  1 - 7 -10 -3 D- A+ F -7 F B- C
 Sat, Dec 13 46 @Washington L 69 - 105 2% -18  1 - 8 -22 +1 A F B- -22 F C F
 Thu, Dec 18 296 @Northern Arizona L 57 - 65 31% -0  1 - 9 -13 -14 F F F +1 B- C- F
 Mon, Dec 29 232 @Utah Tech L 66 - 80 19% -2  1 - 10 0 - 1 -15 -10 F D F -5 C- D+ C-
 Sat, Jan 3 154 Texas Arlington L 77 - 86 25% -1  1 - 11 0 - 2 -12 +2 B- C D+ -14 F A+ D-
 Thu, Jan 8 101 @Utah Valley L 72 - 89 6% -10  1 - 12 0 - 3 -9 +2 C+ C C -10 D- D+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 157 @California Baptist L 55 - 58 12% -6  1 - 13 0 - 4 +0 -7 F A+ F +7 A+ D- F
 Thu, Jan 15 173 Tarleton St. L 73 - 79 29%
 Sat, Jan 17 212 Abilene Christian L 70 - 74 36%
 Wed, Jan 21 101 Utah Valley L 69 - 81 13%
 Sat, Jan 24 232 @Utah Tech L 69 - 78 20%
 Thu, Jan 29 154 @Texas Arlington L 63 - 76 11%
 Sat, Jan 31 212 @Abilene Christian L 67 - 77 18%
 Sat, Feb 7 173 Tarleton St. L 73 - 79 29%
 Thu, Feb 12 157 California Baptist L 66 - 73 25%
 Sat, Feb 14 154 @Texas Arlington L 63 - 76 11%
 Thu, Feb 19 173 @Tarleton St. L 70 - 82 14%
 Sat, Feb 21 212 @Abilene Christian L 67 - 77 19%
 Sat, Feb 28 232 Utah Tech L 72 - 75 38%
 Thu, Mar 5 101 Utah Valley L 69 - 81 14%
 Sat, Mar 7 157 California Baptist L 66 - 73 26%
Totals 4 - 24 3 - 15 -10 -7 D- D F -3 D- C D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.7 3.4 0.9 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 6.0 15.3 21.4 20.5 13.9 6.8 1.5 0.1 85.4 7th
Total 6.0 15.3 21.4 20.9 15.8 10.7 6.0 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 20.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.1% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1
9-9 0.3% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3
8-10 0.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.9
7-11 2.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.5
6-12 6.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.0
5-13 10.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.7
4-14 15.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.7
3-15 20.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 20.8
2-16 21.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 21.4
1-17 15.3% 15.3
0-18 6.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.0
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.9%