Southern Utah
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.7#331
Expected Predictive Rating-13.7#342
Pace73.6#89
Improvement-0.5#222

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#292
First Shot-3.0#267
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#273
Layup/Dunks+4.1#50
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#128
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#329
Freethrows-2.9#326
Improvement+0.2#162

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#336
First Shot-7.4#358
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#58
Layups/Dunks-4.8#330
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#320
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#304
Freethrows+3.3#23
Improvement-0.7#257
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.2% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 0.7% 2.4% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 6.7% 11.1% 6.0%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 59.3% 47.7% 61.3%
First Four0.5% 0.7% 0.5%
First Round0.5% 1.0% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Robert Morris (Away) - 14.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 102 - 16
Quad 44 - 86 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 83 @Arizona St. L 64-81 4%     0 - 1 -7.1 -8.1 +1.7
  Sat, Nov 8 202 UT Rio Grande Valley L 72-95 35%     0 - 2 -28.7 -7.5 -20.1
  Sat, Nov 15 256 @Nebraska Omaha L 85-90 24%     0 - 3 -7.2 +3.9 -10.8
  Mon, Nov 17 6 @Gonzaga L 50-122 1%     0 - 4 -49.4 -19.1 -19.9
  Wed, Nov 19 157 @Washington St. L 74-98 13%     0 - 5 -21.3 -3.1 -17.5
  Fri, Nov 28 185 @Robert Morris L 71-82 15%    
  Sat, Nov 29 344 Stetson W 77-75 57%    
  Sat, Dec 6 169 @Oregon St. L 66-78 14%    
  Sat, Dec 13 48 @Washington L 65-88 2%    
  Thu, Dec 18 249 @Northern Arizona L 72-80 24%    
  Mon, Dec 29 281 @Utah Tech L 69-75 29%    
  Sat, Jan 3 184 Texas Arlington L 71-76 32%    
  Thu, Jan 8 89 @Utah Valley L 66-85 5%    
  Sat, Jan 10 136 @California Baptist L 65-79 10%    
  Thu, Jan 15 195 Tarleton St. L 75-79 35%    
  Sat, Jan 17 252 Abilene Christian L 69-71 44%    
  Wed, Jan 21 89 Utah Valley L 69-82 13%    
  Sat, Jan 24 281 @Utah Tech L 69-75 30%    
  Thu, Jan 29 184 @Texas Arlington L 68-79 17%    
  Sat, Jan 31 252 @Abilene Christian L 66-74 25%    
  Sat, Feb 7 195 Tarleton St. L 75-79 35%    
  Thu, Feb 12 136 California Baptist L 68-76 23%    
  Sat, Feb 14 184 @Texas Arlington L 68-79 17%    
  Thu, Feb 19 195 @Tarleton St. L 72-82 18%    
  Sat, Feb 21 252 @Abilene Christian L 66-74 26%    
  Sat, Feb 28 281 Utah Tech L 72-73 49%    
  Thu, Mar 5 89 Utah Valley L 69-82 14%    
  Sat, Mar 7 136 California Baptist L 68-76 24%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.9 1.5 0.4 0.0 7.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.9 4.4 1.8 0.2 13.8 5th
6th 0.5 3.0 6.9 8.1 5.4 1.5 0.1 25.5 6th
7th 2.9 7.9 12.3 12.9 8.6 3.2 0.6 0.0 48.4 7th
Total 2.9 7.9 12.7 15.8 15.8 13.5 11.4 7.8 5.4 3.1 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 60.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0
13-5 20.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 18.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 14.3% 14.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.2% 18.2% 18.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.5% 12.7% 12.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5
11-7 1.0% 6.4% 6.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.9
10-8 1.8% 6.2% 6.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.7
9-9 3.1% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 3.0
8-10 5.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 5.3
7-11 7.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 7.8
6-12 11.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.4
5-13 13.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.4
4-14 15.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.8
3-15 15.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.8
2-16 12.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.7
1-17 7.9% 7.9
0-18 2.9% 2.9
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%