Stanford
Men -
Women
2016
-
2017 -
2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
8 |
Grant Fisher |
JR |
30:56 |
29 |
Alex Ostberg |
SO |
31:23 |
36 |
Steven Fahy |
JR |
31:25 |
70 |
Callum Bolger |
FR |
31:37 |
89 |
Alek Parsons |
FR |
31:44 |
95 |
Tai Dinger |
JR |
31:45 |
105 |
Sam Wharton |
SR |
31:47 |
143 |
Blair Hurlock |
JR |
31:58 |
178 |
Jack Keelan |
SR |
32:04 |
250 |
Isaac Cortes |
FR |
32:18 |
|
National Rank |
#3 of 315 |
West Region Rank |
#1 of 33 |
Chance of Advancing to Nationals |
99.8% |
Most Likely Finish |
3rd at Nationals |
National Champion |
5.2% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
69.5% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
95.2% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
99.8% |
Regional Champion |
58.3% |
Top 5 in Regional |
99.6% |
Top 10 in Regional |
100.0% |
Top 20 in Regional |
100.0% |
|
Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Grant Fisher |
Alex Ostberg |
Steven Fahy |
Callum Bolger |
Alek Parsons |
Tai Dinger |
Sam Wharton |
Blair Hurlock |
Jack Keelan |
Isaac Cortes |
USD Invite |
09/16 |
1026 |
|
33:00 |
|
|
33:00 |
33:00 |
|
33:01 |
|
33:00 |
Nuttycombe Invitational |
10/13 |
260 |
30:46 |
31:05 |
31:49 |
31:39 |
31:39 |
31:39 |
|
32:10 |
|
|
Pac-12 Championship |
10/27 |
229 |
31:04 |
31:12 |
31:12 |
31:36 |
31:43 |
31:35 |
32:01 |
31:42 |
32:32 |
32:11 |
West Region Championships |
11/10 |
296 |
31:25 |
|
31:17 |
|
31:38 |
31:39 |
31:47 |
31:34 |
31:54 |
|
NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
99.8% |
4.8 |
195 |
5.2 |
10.7 |
24.1 |
18.2 |
11.4 |
8.6 |
5.8 |
5.4 |
3.4 |
2.6 |
1.9 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Region Championship |
100% |
1.6 |
58 |
58.3 |
26.7 |
9.6 |
4.2 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
|
0.1 |
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Individual Results
NCAA Championship | Advances to Round | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
---|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Grant Fisher |
100.0% |
11.1 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
3.6 |
5.0 |
5.4 |
6.6 |
5.2 |
6.6 |
5.6 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
Alex Ostberg |
99.8% |
40.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
1.2 |
2.3 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
Steven Fahy |
99.9% |
43.7 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
Callum Bolger |
99.8% |
67.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
Alek Parsons |
99.8% |
80.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
Tai Dinger |
99.8% |
88.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
Sam Wharton |
99.8% |
92.8 |
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Grant Fisher |
1.6 |
40.1 |
17.7 |
10.6 |
5.8 |
4.6 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
Alex Ostberg |
8.4 |
1.2 |
5.2 |
6.6 |
8.3 |
7.9 |
6.7 |
6.7 |
5.9 |
4.6 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
Steven Fahy |
9.3 |
0.6 |
3.9 |
6.0 |
6.5 |
6.3 |
8.2 |
5.6 |
7.1 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
4.3 |
3.7 |
3.3 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
Callum Bolger |
16.3 |
|
0.2 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
4.1 |
4.6 |
4.9 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
4.4 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
3.4 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
Alek Parsons |
21.3 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
Tai Dinger |
21.5 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
Sam Wharton |
23.3 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
NCAA Championship Selection Detail
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
|
At Large Selection |
|
No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
58.3% |
100.0% |
58.3 |
|
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|
58.3 |
|
1 |
2 |
26.7% |
100.0% |
|
26.7 |
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|
|
26.7 |
|
2 |
3 |
9.6% |
100.0% |
| |
6.2 |
2.9 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
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9.6 |
3 |
4 |
4.2% |
100.0% |
| |
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
4.2 |
4 |
5 |
0.9% |
94.1% |
| |
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|
0.1 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.8 |
5 |
6 |
0.4% |
75.0% |
| |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
6 |
7 |
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| |
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7 |
8 |
0.1% |
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| |
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0.1 |
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8 |
9 |
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| |
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9 |
10 |
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10 |
11 |
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11 |
12 |
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12 |
13 |
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13 |
14 |
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14 |
15 |
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15 |
16 |
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16 |
17 |
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17 |
18 |
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18 |
19 |
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19 |
20 |
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20 |
21 |
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21 |
22 |
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22 |
23 |
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23 |
24 |
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24 |
25 |
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25 |
26 |
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26 |
27 |
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27 |
28 |
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28 |
29 |
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29 |
30 |
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30 |
31 |
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31 |
32 |
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32 |
33 |
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33 |
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Total |
100% |
99.8% |
58.3 |
26.7 |
6.2 |
2.9 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
85.0 |
14.9 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.