Avon
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #12
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #6
Ben Davis Regional Rank #2
South Putnam Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 9th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 7.5%
Top 10 at State Finals 48.6%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Hendricks County Championship THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational Avon Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference South Putnam Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/29 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 280 278 271 248 330 242 283 417 312 296 279
Team Adjusted Rating 278 271 248 259 242 283 333 294 296 279
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Hendricks County Championship THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational Avon Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference South Putnam Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
30  Ethan Goddard 11 16:07 16:06 15:58 16:03 16:08 16:14 16:29 16:13 16:04 16:18
66  Nyc Sigmon 12 16:23 16:29 16:18 16:16 16:14 16:17 16:39 16:26 16:27 16:26
106  Keith Abramson 12 16:36 16:48 16:41 16:32 16:25 16:28 16:37 16:55 16:54 17:00 16:29
204  Nathaniel Beeler 10 16:55 17:23 16:59 17:00 16:59 16:41 16:53 17:07 16:51 16:58
233  Hunter Wakefield 12 17:00 16:59 17:17 17:07 16:59 17:12 17:03 17:10 17:08 16:53
244  Owen Fink 12 17:02 16:46 17:01 16:43 17:15 16:57 16:47 17:23 16:53 16:59 18:29
339  Peter Simmon 12 17:15 17:42 17:19 17:27 17:21 17:56 17:08 17:08
373  Ben Schmitt 11 17:19 17:29 17:12 17:36 17:20 17:13 17:24 17:15
473  William Sims 11 17:30 17:42 17:29 17:51 17:34 17:23 17:29 17:13 17:37
540  Justin Loh 10 17:38 17:30 17:29 17:39 17:39 17:47
666  Awet Hailu 10 17:49 18:05 17:46 17:39 17:33 18:39 17:48
735  August Parent 11 17:56 17:48 18:23 18:07 17:59 17:36
855  Ethan Maharas 10 18:05 18:11 18:01 17:47 17:53 19:03
859  Tim Wilson 12 18:05 17:32 18:30 18:42 18:06 17:39 18:10
880  Jake Shepherd 10 18:07 18:20 18:03 18:00 18:10
925  Scout Bogan 11 18:10 17:44 18:23 18:14 18:06 18:09 18:14
1,032  Edwin Molina 10 18:18 17:35 18:22 18:49 18:11 19:07 17:59
1,041  Sam Crook 9 18:19 18:14 18:44 18:16 18:22 18:13 18:15
1,204  Andrew Wiggs 11 18:30 19:08 18:32 18:52 18:18 18:29 18:12
1,330  Kevin Rostam 9 18:40 18:33 19:12 18:52 18:29 18:35 18:36
1,405  Bartosz Stoppel 11 18:45 18:32 18:50 18:48 18:54 18:41 18:45
1,590  Connor O'Neill 10 18:58 18:33 18:35 18:36 19:07 19:20 19:25
Matthew Monzingo 11 19:05 18:37 19:01 19:13 19:05 19:19 19:08
Nile Gebreselassie 11 19:14 18:59 19:35 19:23 18:55 19:18
Jacob Hoffman 10 19:30 18:55 19:29 19:30 19:34 19:31 19:46
Wence Robles 10 19:38 19:02 19:14 19:15 20:08 20:39
Zach Tandoc 9 19:40 18:49 19:35 19:29 19:59 20:09




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 11.2 317 0.4 1.2 2.4 3.6 5.3 7.9 8.7 10.4 8.9 8.9 8.1 6.9 5.1 5.2 4.3 3.5 2.8 2.0 1.4 1.3 1.3 0.8 0.2
Semi-State 100% 5.1 166 0.1 1.0 6.1 21.0 40.3 19.0 8.7 3.4 0.4 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.3 40 75.3 24.1 0.7
Sectionals 100% 1.0 25 98.5 1.6



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Goddard 100% 33.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.1 1.6 2.6 2.1 2.6 2.7 2.5 93.3%
Nyc Sigmon 100% 64.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.5 55.7%
Keith Abramson 100% 95.2 0.1 18.3%
Nathaniel Beeler 100% 134.5 0.7%
Hunter Wakefield 100% 143.3 0.2%
Owen Fink 100% 146.0 0.0%
Peter Simmon 100% 166.4 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Goddard 100% 11.8 0.1 0.9 1.4 2.6 4.3 6.0 6.8 8.8 8.3 7.0 5.4 5.8 5.2 5.5 3.9 3.2 3.6 2.7 2.9 2.3 2.4 1.6 1.8 0.9 100.0%
Nyc Sigmon 100% 25.4 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 1.4 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.3 2.9 3.9 3.3 4.1 2.8 3.3 3.4 4.1 100.0%
Keith Abramson 100% 38.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.5 1.7 2.0 100.0%
Nathaniel Beeler 100% 61.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Hunter Wakefield 100% 69.3 99.9%
Owen Fink 100% 71.5 99.9%
Peter Simmon 100% 89.9 97.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Goddard 100% 1.0 66.0 20.3 7.8 3.0 2.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Nyc Sigmon 100% 3.3 2.8 21.7 21.0 16.6 13.0 8.5 7.7 4.5 2.5 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Keith Abramson 100% 6.8 1.7 4.7 9.4 11.8 12.4 12.6 13.8 11.5 10.4 4.5 3.3 1.8 1.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.1 100.0%
Nathaniel Beeler 100% 12.4 0.4 0.4 1.0 2.1 2.9 5.1 8.9 11.7 12.8 11.6 9.1 8.8 7.0 6.0 3.4 2.6 2.3 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Hunter Wakefield 100% 14.9 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.3 1.9 4.5 6.3 7.2 9.2 10.7 9.5 10.1 9.0 6.1 6.4 5.1 3.4 3.3 1.6 1.3 0.9 100.0%
Owen Fink 100% 15.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.6 3.0 5.3 8.2 9.5 8.4 10.1 9.1 8.3 7.6 7.2 5.6 4.2 3.3 1.8 1.9 1.1 100.0%
Peter Simmon 100% 20.9 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 2.2 3.3 4.8 5.8 7.1 8.1 9.3 8.4 8.2 7.0 6.3 6.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Goddard 1.0 75.5 21.0 3.2 0.4
Nyc Sigmon 2.3 3.0 35.6 40.6 16.6 2.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1
Keith Abramson 3.9 2.6 14.6 36.1 29.2 11.0 3.8 1.8 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1
Nathaniel Beeler 7.1 0.2 1.6 9.1 18.8 18.7 15.0 10.9 9.3 6.8 4.2 2.5 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1
Hunter Wakefield 8.8 0.1 0.5 2.7 7.3 12.6 16.2 14.3 11.5 11.2 8.2 5.7 4.2 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1
Owen Fink 9.4 0.2 1.6 5.8 8.3 14.1 13.8 14.8 11.1 9.6 8.9 5.7 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1
Peter Simmon 13.3 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.6 6.5 9.7 11.9 11.9 13.5 12.7 11.1 6.2 5.4 3.1 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1