Goshen
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #17
New Haven Semi-State Rank #4
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #1
Elkhart Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 12th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.3%
Top 10 at State Finals 23.2%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Penn Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Harrison Invitational Concord Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/29 9/1 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 321 1,121 323 348 362 330 348 330 522 361 356 331
Team Adjusted Rating 382 323 348 362 330 348 330 287 361 356 331
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Penn Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Harrison Invitational Concord Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
20  Cole Johnston 11 15:57 16:22 16:04 16:08 16:16 16:16 16:22 16:11 16:20 15:50
48  Drew Hogan 11 16:18 16:21 15:59 16:21 16:08 16:43 16:21 16:29 16:33 16:12 16:14
98  Tommy Claxton 10 16:36 16:28 16:24 16:30 16:41 16:27 16:28 16:51 16:54 16:47
193  Ryan Diaz 12 16:56 16:50 18:35 17:20 17:03 16:56 16:50 16:34 16:49 16:53 17:08
548  Tyler Wiese 11 17:44 18:30 17:49 17:58 17:48 17:36 17:46 17:49 17:40 17:48 17:48 17:37
609  Oliver Biek 10 17:51 18:35 17:42 17:57 18:03 18:07 17:40 17:42 17:28 18:15
739  Logan Harkenrider 11 18:03 19:09 18:31 19:09 18:27 18:28 18:31 18:35 18:14 17:50 18:16
746  Adrian Mora 11 18:04 18:17 17:23 17:48 18:07 18:17 18:12 18:03 18:41
1,258  Alex Lopez 9 18:44 19:08 18:38 18:41 18:28 18:54 18:38
1,326  Jackson Gaby 11 18:49 18:57 19:00 18:36 18:43 19:07 19:00
1,414  Michael Smith 11 18:55 18:57 18:52 19:07 18:59 18:44 18:52 19:02
David Dominguez 10 19:03 19:07 19:00 19:04 19:09 19:00




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 13.1 357 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.4 3.7 7.0 10.5 11.3 12.6 12.2 9.8 7.6 7.4 5.9 4.4 2.9 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 100% 5.1 186 0.6 10.1 32.5 24.0 16.0 9.2 4.7 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.7 58 39.0 49.5 11.6 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.2 35 83.0 17.0 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cole Johnston 100% 20.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.5 2.3 2.3 2.5 3.5 2.9 3.3 3.8 3.8 3.5 3.2 4.6 3.8 3.5 3.3 2.8 3.0 2.8 2.6 2.7 99.5%
Drew Hogan 100% 51.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.9 79.4%
Tommy Claxton 100% 93.1 0.1 22.5%
Ryan Diaz 100% 136.1 0.9%
Tyler Wiese 100% 191.0 0.0%
Oliver Biek 100% 195.0 0.0%
Logan Harkenrider 100% 200.3 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cole Johnston 100% 5.7 0.2 7.1 10.4 12.6 11.1 11.7 9.5 7.3 6.6 5.2 4.9 2.9 2.4 2.3 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Drew Hogan 100% 16.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.2 2.0 2.8 4.4 4.7 4.1 5.3 5.5 5.0 7.0 6.4 5.2 5.5 4.0 4.3 4.2 4.5 3.7 3.2 2.1 100.0%
Tommy Claxton 100% 30.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.3 1.2 2.0 1.7 2.0 2.7 3.0 2.4 4.1 3.9 100.0%
Ryan Diaz 100% 53.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 100.0%
Tyler Wiese 100% 118.1 21.6%
Oliver Biek 100% 127.6 8.7%
Logan Harkenrider 100% 141.8 1.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cole Johnston 100% 1.4 21.2 73.3 5.0 0.5 0.1 100.0%
Drew Hogan 100% 2.8 0.1 3.2 55.7 25.4 9.6 3.7 1.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Tommy Claxton 100% 5.8 0.8 13.4 21.0 18.6 14.7 11.5 8.1 5.0 2.6 2.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Ryan Diaz 100% 11.2 0.1 1.0 2.3 4.3 6.0 10.9 10.6 12.6 10.7 8.0 9.2 6.6 4.9 3.8 3.2 1.9 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.2 100.0%
Tyler Wiese 100% 35.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.2 1.7 1.7 100.0%
Oliver Biek 100% 40.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.7 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Logan Harkenrider 100% 47.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cole Johnston 1.0 97.5 2.3 0.2
Drew Hogan 1.6 1.2 78.1 14.8 4.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1
Tommy Claxton 3.7 1.3 32.1 25.1 19.2 15.5 4.7 1.7 0.7 0.1
Ryan Diaz 7.0 0.3 3.4 8.4 13.7 25.5 21.4 12.9 7.8 3.7 1.5 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1
Tyler Wiese 20.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 1.3 2.0 3.4 4.8 5.6 6.0 6.8 7.9 8.9 7.6 7.6 7.3 7.4 6.6
Oliver Biek 23.8 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 1.4 2.4 2.6 3.9 4.6 5.5 7.6 6.9 7.0 8.2 8.9
Logan Harkenrider 28.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 2.0 2.6 3.5 4.1 5.7