Goshen
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #29
New Haven Semi-State Rank #8
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #1
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.4%
Advance to State Finals 31.4%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Penn Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic NIC / NLC Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 396 574 442 443 422 327 465 433 502 370
Team Adjusted Rating 530 442 443 422 327 404 433 502 370
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Penn Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic NIC / NLC Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
45  Drew Hogan 10 16:19 17:25 16:56 16:35 17:05 15:57 16:22 16:27 16:27 16:13 16:12
69  Cole Johnston 10 16:27 17:01 16:55 16:53 16:33 16:13 16:34 16:29 16:40 16:15 16:24
217  Tommy Claxton 9 17:00 17:10 17:02 17:02 16:59 16:46 16:58 17:08 17:14 16:54
434  Adrian Mora 10 17:28 17:36 17:35 17:45 17:12 17:15 17:27 17:22 17:48 17:27
451  Ryan Diaz 11 17:30 17:05 17:14 17:27 17:26 17:47 17:59 17:30
1,031  Tyler Wiese 10 18:20 18:49 18:35 18:27 18:07 18:03 18:20 18:32 18:23 18:10
1,034  D'elia Isacco 12 18:20 18:03 18:03 18:00 18:05 18:13 18:16 18:31 19:20 18:54
1,417  Jose Esqueda 12 18:47 18:26 18:57 18:54
1,493  Oliver Biek 9 18:53 19:35 18:57 18:38 18:48
1,584  Jackson Gaby 10 18:58 20:00 18:35 18:50 19:00
Jocsan Barahona 11 19:01 19:25 18:57 18:55 19:00
Jacob Near 11 19:10 19:13 19:24 18:50 19:17
Levi Graber 12 19:18 19:43 20:26 18:50 19:02




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 31.4% 17.6 413 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.3 2.0 2.2 3.6 3.8 4.4 4.4 3.8 2.3 1.2 1.0 0.3
Semi-State 100% 7.8 228 0.1 0.7 6.5 11.6 12.6 13.8 14.1 15.4 13.6 8.0 2.7 1.1 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.6 60 42.9 56.4 0.7 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 37 98.8 1.2 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Drew Hogan 81.5% 45.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.1 0.8 1.0 1.0 73.0% 81.0%
Cole Johnston 57.3% 57.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 37.7% 53.7%
Tommy Claxton 31.4% 123.0 0.0% 0.4%
Adrian Mora 31.4% 174.7 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Diaz 31.4% 177.1 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Wiese 31.4% 205.2 0.0% 0.0%
D'elia Isacco 31.4% 205.1 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Drew Hogan 100% 16.0 0.4 0.8 1.7 2.1 2.1 3.3 3.7 4.3 3.8 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.9 4.4 5.4 4.5 4.1 4.5 3.5 3.8 3.5 3.8 2.9 2.4 100.0%
Cole Johnston 100% 23.3 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.8 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.9 2.0 2.3 3.0 3.1 3.4 3.4 3.5 4.1 3.4 4.3 4.3 3.9 4.6 3.6 100.0%
Tommy Claxton 100% 55.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.2%
Adrian Mora 100% 99.0 58.4%
Ryan Diaz 100% 102.6 50.5%
Tyler Wiese 100% 157.9 0.0%
D'elia Isacco 100% 158.0 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Drew Hogan 100% 1.0 52.1 23.0 12.3 6.3 3.5 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Cole Johnston 100% 2.6 10.2 28.0 20.2 16.1 11.4 6.7 4.8 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Tommy Claxton 100% 10.2 0.2 0.8 1.5 3.7 5.8 9.2 13.4 13.5 12.5 10.4 8.1 5.6 4.7 3.2 2.2 1.4 0.9 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Adrian Mora 100% 23.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.2 2.7 2.7 3.5 4.3 4.6 4.4 5.4 5.2 4.3 5.6 6.4 5.1 100.0%
Ryan Diaz 100% 25.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.6 1.8 1.9 3.1 4.1 2.6 4.2 4.5 4.5 4.9 5.3 4.7 5.4 100.0%
Tyler Wiese 100% 62.2 65.7%
D'elia Isacco 100% 62.0 65.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Drew Hogan 1.0 60.9 27.1 9.4 2.1 0.6
Cole Johnston 1.9 13.5 39.5 28.5 14.2 4.0 0.5
Tommy Claxton 5.9 1.3 5.3 18.5 28.4 30.7 8.5 4.2 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Adrian Mora 11.5 0.3 2.0 8.9 10.4 12.2 11.6 10.4 8.6 8.7 5.7 4.6 4.3 3.4 2.9 2.1 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.3
Ryan Diaz 12.3 0.1 1.1 5.5 7.6 10.6 10.3 11.8 9.2 8.3 6.9 6.5 5.0 4.8 3.5 2.7 1.8 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.5
Tyler Wiese 34.6 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.1
D'elia Isacco 35.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.3