Danville
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #116
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #37
Ben Davis Regional Rank #9
Brownsburg Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Danville Invitational Hendricks County THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational Golden Spike Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Sagamore Conference Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/29 9/1 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 895 1,176 912 909 1,029 1,013 868 1,028 820 854
Team Adjusted Rating 959 873 868 967 874 867 892 820 854
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Danville Invitational Hendricks County THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational Golden Spike Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Sagamore Conference Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
117  Alec Means 11 16:42 17:13 16:37 16:30 16:55 16:49 16:38 16:53 16:41 16:32 16:43
567  Lucas Steward 10 17:46 17:44 17:36 17:38 18:02 17:45 17:49 17:41 17:55
1,160  Joseph Countryman 10 18:37 18:59 18:50 18:47 19:07 18:19 18:39 18:25 18:26
1,445  Brandon Rice 9 18:58
Wyatt Dorsey 12 19:08 18:53 18:56 19:06 19:05 19:23 19:23
David Cruz 11 19:12 20:42 20:12 19:57 19:54 18:55 18:53
Isaac Cooke 9 19:14 19:40 19:48 19:29 19:44 19:14 18:50 19:05 18:59
Abe Means 9 20:38 21:11 21:30 21:51 20:11 19:58 20:13 20:44
Hayden Lamb 11 21:05 21:28 22:02 21:21 21:20 20:32 20:35




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 8.1 205 0.2 12.8 68.3 18.4 0.3
Sectionals 100% 4.0 126 0.3 99.0 0.7



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Means 16.9% 85.4 16.9% 16.9%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Means 100% 42.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.4 1.3 1.5 100.0% 100.0%
Lucas Steward 21.3% 119.6 21.3% 21.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Means 100% 9.3 0.1 3.8 7.9 11.9 12.5 10.5 10.0 8.5 7.0 6.7 4.7 3.9 3.8 2.1 2.2 1.6 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Lucas Steward 100% 36.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Joseph Countryman 100% 66.1 77.5%
Brandon Rice 100% 74.3 19.5%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Means 3.3 11.2 32.6 22.0 15.5 8.9 5.3 3.0 1.1 0.6 0.1
Lucas Steward 16.4 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.6 4.0 7.2 8.4 11.4 12.0 12.3 10.5 10.3 7.5 5.4 3.8 2.3 1.5 0.8
Joseph Countryman 30.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.3
Brandon Rice 35.4