Guerin Catholic
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #13
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #7
Noblesville Regional Rank #4
Noblesville Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 9th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 2.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 34.0%
Advance to State Finals 50.6%
Advance to Semi-State 89.4%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Circle City Classic Hamilton County THSB State Preview Indiana Catholic Championship RH Flashrock Invite
Date 8/22 9/1 9/5 9/12 9/19
Team Rating 254 220 324 497 285 363
Team Adjusted Rating 220 230 256 285 258
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Circle City Classic Hamilton County THSB State Preview Indiana Catholic Championship RH Flashrock Invite
41  Austin Callahan 12 16:08 16:04 15:58 16:14
76  Dominic Stein 12 16:26 16:21 16:13 16:33 16:30
84  Holden King 12 16:29 16:25 16:19 16:51 16:24
129  Gavin Morrow 12 16:41 16:37 16:41 16:34 16:46
205  Nicholas Schramm 12 16:57 16:39 17:07 16:59
375  Ethan Hines 10 17:24 17:48 17:31 17:15 17:00
376  Evan McNeany 11 17:24 17:22 17:15 17:14 17:27 17:38
599  Christian Geary 11 17:51 18:23 17:30 17:56 17:30 17:52
721  Ben Grissom 9 18:05 19:12 18:06 17:41 17:57
982  Johnny King 9 18:26 18:15 18:32 18:35 18:40 18:13
1,335  Nathan Traub 10 18:56 19:05 19:00 18:35 19:00
1,338  Jack Weber 10 18:56 19:44 19:22 18:27 18:42
Christian Ward 12 19:13 19:07 19:25 19:30 19:00
Tyler Backlund 12 19:47 19:05 20:20 20:05




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 50.6% 9.5 275 0.2 0.7 1.1 3.3 4.8 7.4 9.0 7.6 6.4 4.5 3.1 1.5 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 89.4% 6.1 168 0.2 0.5 3.5 9.1 16.1 21.4 20.6 15.1 3.0 0.2
Regionals 100% 4.4 111 0.1 0.9 7.6 50.7 30.2 10.5 0.2
Sectionals 100% 3.4 79 0.2 2.3 59.3 38.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Callahan 97.4% 38.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.1 1.6 1.4 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.6 2.0 1.6 94.6% 97.3%
Dominic Stein 64.5% 68.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 28.1% 50.5%
Holden King 57.9% 71.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 14.8% 39.8%
Gavin Morrow 50.9% 100.1 0.6% 11.2%
Nicholas Schramm 50.6% 133.7 0.0% 0.4%
Ethan Hines 50.6% 172.9 0.0% 0.0%
Evan McNeany 50.6% 172.6 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Callahan 100% 16.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.1 3.3 4.8 6.3 5.9 6.1 7.0 5.7 6.0 5.7 5.2 4.1 5.9 5.0 3.6 4.1 3.2 2.3 100.0% 100.0%
Dominic Stein 100% 31.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.6 2.9 2.6 2.5 3.8 3.3 2.9 100.0% 100.0%
Holden King 100.0% 33.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.9 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.8 3.1 99.5% 100.0%
Gavin Morrow 98.8% 46.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 88.3% 98.3%
Nicholas Schramm 91.9% 65.9 23.5% 75.5%
Ethan Hines 89.4% 101.8 0.5% 8.6%
Evan McNeany 89.4% 102.2 0.0% 8.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Callahan 100% 9.2 0.2 1.5 5.7 8.1 8.4 8.2 8.9 7.4 7.8 7.8 6.5 6.7 5.6 4.8 3.8 2.7 2.4 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Dominic Stein 100% 18.5 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.4 1.5 2.3 2.6 2.1 4.0 5.2 5.7 6.1 6.8 7.3 9.0 7.4 7.6 6.6 5.1 4.1 4.1 100.0%
Holden King 100% 19.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.7 2.4 2.9 3.7 4.3 6.1 5.5 7.9 7.8 7.3 7.9 7.1 5.9 5.9 4.9 100.0%
Gavin Morrow 100% 25.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.4 2.9 3.7 4.2 5.1 6.2 6.5 8.2 100.0%
Nicholas Schramm 100% 35.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.2 100.0%
Ethan Hines 100% 49.8 100.0%
Evan McNeany 100% 49.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Callahan 7.0 0.3 7.5 12.0 9.8 10.1 11.0 11.0 9.7 9.2 8.4 5.1 3.1 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
Dominic Stein 13.3 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.3 2.8 4.2 6.3 7.4 10.9 11.8 12.3 11.2 8.5 7.6 4.7 3.5 2.2 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1
Holden King 14.2 0.2 0.8 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.4 4.1 5.4 7.7 11.6 11.4 13.5 11.1 7.4 6.2 5.1 2.9 2.3 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.5
Gavin Morrow 18.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 2.0 2.0 4.5 5.2 7.9 9.2 11.6 10.1 9.8 9.0 8.5 7.2 5.4 3.1
Nicholas Schramm 23.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.5 2.5 3.4 4.7 6.5 9.1 10.2 12.6 14.8
Ethan Hines 29.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.4
Evan McNeany 29.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3