Columbia
Ivy League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.7#337
Expected Predictive Rating-12.4#330
Pace71.2#110
Improvement+2.2#81

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#312
First Shot-4.0#295
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#264
Layup/Dunks-1.9#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#129
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#204
Freethrows-2.2#318
Improvement-1.0#241

Defense
Total Defense-6.6#337
First Shot-4.4#310
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#329
Layups/Dunks-2.1#258
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#157
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#307
Freethrows+0.4#163
Improvement+3.2#24
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.1% 7.8% 1.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 78.3% 52.5% 82.7%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cornell (Away) - 14.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 31 - 81 - 10
Quad 44 - 105 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 215   @ Fordham L 67-77 14%     0 - 1 -9.9 -0.4 -9.8
  Nov 12, 2021 177   Marist L 67-82 21%     0 - 2 -18.1 +0.8 -20.4
  Nov 17, 2021 310   Binghamton W 85-77 OT 48%     1 - 2 -3.1 +0.9 -4.4
  Nov 23, 2021 294   @ Lehigh L 72-79 27%     1 - 3 -12.3 -8.1 -3.7
  Nov 26, 2021 138   @ Boston College L 60-73 8%     1 - 4 -8.9 -6.2 -3.8
  Nov 29, 2021 307   Lafayette L 50-73 47%     1 - 5 -33.9 -26.7 -8.3
  Dec 01, 2021 254   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 60-98 19%     1 - 6 -40.4 -18.5 -19.2
  Dec 04, 2021 349   Maine W 77-66 69%     2 - 6 -5.9 -1.3 -4.5
  Dec 06, 2021 129   @ Colgate L 61-89 7%     2 - 7 -23.0 -11.9 -11.0
  Dec 11, 2021 255   @ Albany L 59-60 19%     2 - 8 -3.5 -8.1 +4.6
  Dec 13, 2021 284   Sacred Heart L 69-79 42%     2 - 9 -19.7 -9.9 -9.9
  Jan 07, 2022 144   @ Princeton L 69-84 8%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -11.4 -11.4 +1.4
  Jan 08, 2022 211   @ Penn W 73-69 13%     3 - 10 1 - 1 +4.2 -5.3 +9.3
  Jan 15, 2022 179   Harvard L 82-91 21%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -12.2 +4.2 -16.1
  Jan 20, 2022 229   @ Cornell L 73-84 14%    
  Jan 22, 2022 181   Brown L 67-75 23%    
  Jan 25, 2022 134   @ Yale L 65-81 6%    
  Jan 29, 2022 243   Dartmouth L 64-69 35%    
  Feb 04, 2022 211   Penn L 70-77 27%    
  Feb 05, 2022 144   Princeton L 70-80 18%    
  Feb 12, 2022 134   Yale L 68-79 17%    
  Feb 18, 2022 179   @ Harvard L 66-80 10%    
  Feb 19, 2022 243   @ Dartmouth L 61-71 18%    
  Feb 26, 2022 181   @ Brown L 64-77 10%    
  Mar 05, 2022 229   Cornell L 76-82 31%    
Projected Record 5 - 20 3 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 0.9 0.0 2.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 2.3 0.2 0.0 4.2 5th
6th 0.2 2.8 5.1 0.9 9.0 6th
7th 0.6 6.2 10.4 2.5 0.1 19.7 7th
8th 13.3 24.6 19.9 5.7 0.3 63.8 8th
Total 13.3 25.2 26.3 18.9 9.6 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0
9-5 40.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 2.3% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
9-5 0.1% 37.0% 37.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4
7-7 1.6% 1.6
6-8 4.5% 4.5
5-9 9.6% 9.6
4-10 18.9% 18.9
3-11 26.3% 26.3
2-12 25.2% 25.2
1-13 13.3% 13.3
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 13.3%