Cornell
Ivy League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#229
Expected Predictive Rating+1.0#155
Pace78.7#11
Improvement-4.2#343

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#175
First Shot+0.6#155
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#228
Layup/Dunks-1.4#225
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#347
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#28
Freethrows+0.6#131
Improvement-3.7#345

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#283
First Shot-0.7#193
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#344
Layups/Dunks-2.0#256
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#210
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#92
Freethrows-0.6#239
Improvement-0.5#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 1.8% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.8 14.4
.500 or above 61.0% 66.1% 31.3%
.500 or above in Conference 39.1% 43.3% 14.6%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.5% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 12.1% 7.8% 37.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.5% 1.7% 0.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Columbia (Home) - 85.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 410 - 212 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 310   @ Binghamton W 76-69 60%     1 - 0 +0.9 -9.5 +9.6
  Nov 12, 2021 307   @ Lafayette W 90-85 59%     2 - 0 -0.8 +4.7 -6.0
  Nov 16, 2021 129   Colgate W 78-68 37%     3 - 0 +10.0 -3.7 +12.8
  Nov 22, 2021 56   @ Penn St. L 74-85 9%     3 - 1 +0.4 +4.8 -4.0
  Nov 24, 2021 301   St. Francis (PA) W 93-80 76%     4 - 1 +2.4 +7.4 -6.1
  Nov 29, 2021 286   @ Canisius W 89-75 55%     5 - 1 +9.3 +13.0 -3.9
  Dec 03, 2021 302   Coppin St. W 92-77 76%     6 - 1 +4.3 +9.6 -6.4
  Dec 08, 2021 32   @ Virginia Tech L 60-93 6%     6 - 2 -18.9 -6.0 -12.8
  Dec 29, 2021 61   @ Syracuse L 68-80 10%     6 - 3 -1.1 -6.0 +5.3
  Jan 02, 2022 243   Dartmouth W 79-71 64%     7 - 3 1 - 0 +1.0 +4.2 -3.2
  Jan 07, 2022 211   @ Penn L 65-79 36%     7 - 4 1 - 1 -13.8 -11.9 -1.3
  Jan 08, 2022 144   @ Princeton L 70-72 25%     7 - 5 1 - 2 +1.6 -1.0 +2.5
  Jan 15, 2022 134   @ Yale L 69-96 22%     7 - 6 1 - 3 -22.4 -10.1 -9.0
  Jan 20, 2022 337   Columbia W 84-73 86%    
  Jan 22, 2022 179   Harvard L 77-78 51%    
  Jan 29, 2022 181   @ Brown L 73-78 29%    
  Feb 04, 2022 144   Princeton L 78-80 45%    
  Feb 05, 2022 211   Penn W 79-78 56%    
  Feb 12, 2022 181   Brown L 75-76 51%    
  Feb 18, 2022 243   @ Dartmouth L 70-71 43%    
  Feb 19, 2022 179   @ Harvard L 75-80 30%    
  Feb 26, 2022 134   Yale L 77-80 41%    
  Mar 05, 2022 337   @ Columbia W 82-76 69%    
Projected Record 12 - 11 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.0 0.8 0.2 2.2 1st
2nd 0.2 3.4 3.4 0.8 0.0 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 5.1 6.7 1.4 0.1 13.6 3rd
4th 0.1 4.0 10.3 1.8 0.0 16.2 4th
5th 0.1 3.2 11.4 3.3 0.1 18.0 5th
6th 0.1 3.0 10.3 5.8 0.1 19.4 6th
7th 0.2 3.0 8.5 4.9 0.5 17.1 7th
8th 0.2 1.4 2.7 1.2 0.1 5.6 8th
Total 0.2 1.6 5.9 12.8 18.5 21.9 19.0 12.2 5.9 1.7 0.3 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 88.9% 0.2    0.2 0.1
10-4 48.0% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
9-5 16.8% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1
8-6 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.3% 88.9% 88.9% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-4 1.7% 43.2% 43.2% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 1.0
9-5 5.9% 9.1% 9.1% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 5.3
8-6 12.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.2
7-7 19.0% 19.0
6-8 21.9% 21.9
5-9 18.5% 18.5
4-10 12.8% 12.8
3-11 5.9% 5.9
2-12 1.6% 1.6
1-13 0.2% 0.2
0-14
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 14.8 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.2 98.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 88.9% 14.1 14.3 55.6 19.0
Lose Out 0.2%