Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#291
Expected Predictive Rating-9.8#309
Pace69.0#170
Improvement+1.7#94

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#313
First Shot-5.7#324
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#132
Layup/Dunks-3.4#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#19
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#343
Freethrows-0.2#193
Improvement+0.6#140

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#251
First Shot-1.5#229
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#268
Layups/Dunks+0.8#153
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#13
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#325
Freethrows-1.1#268
Improvement+1.1#119
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.4% 0.9% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 3.7% 7.2% 1.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 48.3% 26.9% 61.0%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Away) - 37.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 32 - 82 - 12
Quad 47 - 99 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 190   @ Duquesne L 61-73 20%     0 - 1 -10.8 -6.0 -5.9
  Nov 12, 2021 302   Coppin St. W 81-69 61%     1 - 1 +1.3 +5.9 -4.5
  Nov 14, 2021 358   Delaware St. W 63-53 93%     2 - 1 -14.8 -28.2 +12.5
  Nov 17, 2021 331   @ Bucknell L 74-81 54%     2 - 2 -15.7 -10.9 -4.2
  Nov 20, 2021 103   @ Buffalo L 65-87 9%     2 - 3 -15.0 -13.3 +0.7
  Nov 23, 2021 159   Middle Tennessee L 54-60 22%     2 - 4 -5.8 -16.2 +10.5
  Nov 24, 2021 331   Bucknell W 85-79 63%     3 - 4 -5.2 -1.8 -3.8
  Nov 28, 2021 113   @ South Carolina L 58-65 10%     3 - 5 -0.4 -4.5 +3.7
  Nov 30, 2021 109   @ Mississippi L 51-75 9%     3 - 6 -17.2 -16.4 -0.7
  Dec 03, 2021 90   @ Iona L 54-80 7%     3 - 7 0 - 1 -17.1 -19.7 +5.2
  Dec 05, 2021 177   Marist L 67-79 33%     3 - 8 0 - 2 -15.1 -2.6 -13.1
  Jan 09, 2022 177   @ Marist W 79-75 18%     4 - 8 1 - 2 +5.9 +8.2 -2.4
  Jan 14, 2022 241   Quinnipiac L 70-77 OT 47%     4 - 9 1 - 3 -13.9 -11.3 -2.2
  Jan 16, 2022 205   St. Peter's L 51-58 38%     4 - 10 1 - 4 -11.5 -14.7 +2.7
  Jan 19, 2022 241   @ Quinnipiac L 67-73 29%     4 - 11 1 - 5 -7.9 -6.9 -1.1
  Jan 21, 2022 286   @ Canisius L 69-72 37%    
  Jan 23, 2022 207   @ Niagara L 61-69 21%    
  Jan 28, 2022 219   Fairfield L 63-66 43%    
  Jan 30, 2022 286   Canisius W 71-69 59%    
  Feb 04, 2022 246   @ Siena L 62-68 28%    
  Feb 08, 2022 267   Manhattan W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 11, 2022 205   @ St. Peter's L 59-67 21%    
  Feb 13, 2022 246   Siena L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 18, 2022 137   @ Monmouth L 63-75 13%    
  Feb 20, 2022 267   @ Manhattan L 68-72 32%    
  Feb 25, 2022 207   Niagara L 63-66 40%    
  Feb 27, 2022 90   Iona L 66-78 16%    
  Mar 03, 2022 219   @ Fairfield L 61-69 23%    
  Mar 05, 2022 137   Monmouth L 66-73 28%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.2 2.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.0 0.6 0.0 3.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.4 1.8 0.1 6.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.3 4.0 0.5 0.0 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.8 6.4 6.6 1.4 0.1 16.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.3 9.4 8.9 2.6 0.1 26.2 10th
11th 0.9 4.2 9.1 11.3 7.1 2.0 0.1 34.7 11th
Total 0.9 4.3 9.8 15.7 18.3 18.1 14.3 9.7 5.1 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0
13-7 0.1% 8.3% 8.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.2% 9.9% 9.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2
11-9 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.9
10-10 2.5% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 2.4
9-11 5.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 5.1
8-12 9.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 9.7
7-13 14.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 14.3
6-14 18.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 18.1
5-15 18.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 18.3
4-16 15.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.7
3-17 9.8% 9.8
2-18 4.3% 4.3
1-19 0.9% 0.9
0-20
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%