Temple
American Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#122
Expected Predictive Rating+6.1#93
Pace65.2#287
Improvement+2.3#76

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#151
First Shot-0.8#206
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#60
Layup/Dunks-1.9#254
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#329
Freethrows+3.2#12
Improvement+0.9#118

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#114
First Shot+2.5#93
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#219
Layups/Dunks+0.4#170
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#80
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#153
Freethrows+0.0#189
Improvement+1.4#96
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.8% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.1 11.9 12.7
.500 or above 69.3% 81.5% 54.5%
.500 or above in Conference 39.0% 51.9% 23.4%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 1.3% 7.7%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round1.2% 1.7% 0.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Florida (Away) - 54.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 5
Quad 23 - 54 - 10
Quad 35 - 49 - 14
Quad 47 - 016 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 342   Maryland Eastern Shore W 72-49 94%     1 - 0 +8.1 -3.2 +12.1
  Nov 13, 2021 26   USC L 71-76 24%     1 - 1 +5.1 +1.8 +3.4
  Nov 18, 2021 68   Clemson L 48-75 31%     1 - 2 -19.0 -14.5 -8.4
  Nov 19, 2021 54   Boise St. L 62-82 28%     1 - 3 -10.9 +3.2 -16.4
  Nov 21, 2021 232   Elon W 75-58 74%     2 - 3 +13.2 +2.1 +11.7
  Nov 27, 2021 146   Delaware W 75-74 66%     3 - 3 -0.5 -0.9 +0.4
  Dec 01, 2021 226   La Salle W 73-57 79%     4 - 3 +10.4 -1.5 +11.9
  Dec 04, 2021 211   Penn W 81-72 77%     5 - 3 +4.2 +12.0 -6.9
  Dec 07, 2021 85   @ Vanderbilt W 72-68 OT 27%     6 - 3 +13.2 +0.8 +12.2
  Dec 11, 2021 157   @ Saint Joseph's L 49-68 50%     6 - 4 -16.1 -21.9 +5.8
  Dec 15, 2021 81   Central Florida L 48-65 43%     6 - 5 0 - 1 -12.4 -19.4 +6.0
  Dec 22, 2021 358   Delaware St. W 85-48 99%     7 - 5 +12.2 +5.0 +9.6
  Jan 02, 2022 9   Houston L 61-66 13%     7 - 6 0 - 2 +10.0 +4.9 +4.3
  Jan 05, 2022 81   @ Central Florida W 66-62 26%     8 - 6 1 - 2 +13.6 +5.9 +8.2
  Jan 08, 2022 153   East Carolina W 78-75 68%     9 - 6 2 - 2 +1.0 +7.0 -5.9
  Jan 12, 2022 121   @ Tulsa W 69-64 40%     10 - 6 3 - 2 +10.4 +2.2 +8.5
  Jan 22, 2022 191   @ South Florida W 61-59 55%    
  Jan 25, 2022 74   Cincinnati L 65-67 44%    
  Jan 29, 2022 63   @ SMU L 67-75 22%    
  Feb 02, 2022 153   @ East Carolina L 69-70 48%    
  Feb 05, 2022 121   Tulsa W 66-64 61%    
  Feb 12, 2022 135   @ Tulane L 66-68 42%    
  Feb 16, 2022 63   SMU L 69-72 42%    
  Feb 20, 2022 74   @ Cincinnati L 62-69 25%    
  Feb 24, 2022 41   @ Memphis L 67-77 17%    
  Feb 27, 2022 135   Tulane W 69-66 64%    
  Mar 03, 2022 9   @ Houston L 57-74 5%    
  Mar 06, 2022 191   South Florida W 64-57 75%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 8 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.2 1.5 0.4 0.1 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.1 2.8 0.5 0.0 8.3 3rd
4th 0.5 4.9 5.3 0.8 11.6 4th
5th 0.2 4.1 8.3 1.9 0.1 14.6 5th
6th 0.1 3.1 9.9 3.8 0.1 17.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.9 9.4 5.5 0.4 0.0 17.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 6.1 5.7 0.5 0.0 13.1 8th
9th 0.3 2.7 4.5 0.7 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.7 0.0 3.8 10th
11th 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.3 11th
Total 0.3 1.9 5.9 13.4 19.2 20.5 18.3 12.1 5.8 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 43.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 17.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 39.2% 5.9% 33.3% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 35.4%
13-5 0.5% 23.7% 8.4% 15.3% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 16.7%
12-6 2.1% 6.1% 3.4% 2.7% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.0 2.8%
11-7 5.8% 3.9% 3.5% 0.5% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.6 0.5%
10-8 12.1% 1.8% 1.8% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.9
9-9 18.3% 1.2% 1.2% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 18.1
8-10 20.5% 0.8% 0.8% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 20.3
7-11 19.2% 0.5% 0.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.1
6-12 13.4% 0.2% 0.2% 14.4 0.0 0.0 13.3
5-13 5.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 5.8
4-14 1.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.9
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.3% 1.1% 0.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.7 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%