Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#210
Expected Predictive Rating-4.7#253
Pace73.6#67
Improvement-3.3#309

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#190
First Shot+0.2#174
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#230
Layup/Dunks-4.4#325
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#88
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#97
Freethrows+0.7#125
Improvement-4.9#355

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#227
First Shot-1.5#226
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#198
Layups/Dunks+5.4#20
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#189
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#349
Freethrows-0.6#241
Improvement+1.7#85
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 6.8% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 23.2% 32.1% 11.6%
.500 or above in Conference 12.2% 18.4% 4.2%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 22.8% 14.4% 33.6%
First Four1.4% 1.3% 1.4%
First Round4.8% 6.2% 3.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Appalachian St. (Home) - 56.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 47 - 310 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 217   Northeastern W 83-64 61%     1 - 0 +14.0 +14.3 +1.1
  Nov 16, 2021 99   @ Richmond L 78-94 16%     1 - 1 -7.7 +3.5 -10.4
  Nov 20, 2021 340   William & Mary W 77-59 83%     2 - 1 +5.8 -5.9 +10.4
  Nov 21, 2021 275   @ High Point W 74-66 OT 57%     3 - 1 +4.1 -6.1 +9.4
  Nov 27, 2021 89   @ Rhode Island L 59-94 15%     3 - 2 -26.0 -9.1 -16.2
  Dec 04, 2021 196   @ Mercer L 77-83 38%     3 - 3 -5.0 +8.0 -13.5
  Dec 14, 2021 48   @ Mississippi St. L 50-79 9%     3 - 4 -16.6 -15.7 -2.6
  Dec 21, 2021 125   @ Georgia Tech L 62-72 OT 24%     3 - 5 -4.7 -13.0 +9.4
  Jan 06, 2022 220   Texas Arlington L 63-70 62%     3 - 6 0 - 1 -12.3 -7.8 -4.7
  Jan 13, 2022 149   @ South Alabama L 65-74 29%     3 - 7 0 - 2 -5.7 -8.4 +3.1
  Jan 20, 2022 185   Appalachian St. W 69-68 56%    
  Jan 22, 2022 173   Coastal Carolina W 73-72 54%    
  Jan 27, 2022 165   @ Louisiana L 73-78 31%    
  Jan 29, 2022 258   @ Louisiana Monroe W 77-76 49%    
  Feb 03, 2022 189   Troy W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 05, 2022 149   South Alabama L 74-75 50%    
  Feb 10, 2022 173   @ Coastal Carolina L 70-74 33%    
  Feb 12, 2022 185   @ Appalachian St. L 66-70 35%    
  Feb 17, 2022 233   Georgia Southern W 72-68 66%    
  Feb 19, 2022 233   @ Georgia Southern L 69-70 45%    
  Feb 24, 2022 258   Louisiana Monroe W 79-74 70%    
  Feb 26, 2022 165   Louisiana W 76-75 53%    
Projected Record 9 - 13 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.8 1st
2nd 0.2 1.1 0.6 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 1.4 0.2 2.8 3rd
4th 0.5 2.8 0.6 0.0 4.0 4th
5th 0.1 3.0 2.3 0.1 5.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 5.1 0.7 0.0 7.0 6th
7th 0.4 5.0 3.4 0.1 8.8 7th
8th 0.3 3.1 6.4 0.7 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.3 7.9 2.9 0.0 13.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.2 6.9 5.7 0.4 15.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 3.1 6.9 5.5 1.1 17.4 11th
12th 0.2 1.1 3.0 3.9 3.5 0.8 0.0 12.6 12th
Total 0.2 1.2 3.6 7.3 12.7 15.8 18.3 16.0 12.7 7.3 3.5 1.2 0.3 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 88.5% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 31.1% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-8 6.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.3% 31.3% 31.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-7 1.2% 19.6% 19.6% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0
10-8 3.5% 20.8% 20.8% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 2.8
9-9 7.3% 14.8% 14.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.3 6.2
8-10 12.7% 8.9% 8.9% 15.4 0.0 0.6 0.5 11.5
7-11 16.0% 4.9% 4.9% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 15.2
6-12 18.3% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6 17.6
5-13 15.8% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.4 15.4
4-14 12.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 12.6
3-15 7.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.2
2-16 3.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.6
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 2.5 94.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 13.1 14.6 56.1 29.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 0.2%