Georgia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#125
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#169
Pace68.3#187
Improvement-1.2#227

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#195
First Shot+0.5#159
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#267
Layup/Dunks+1.8#109
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#70
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#271
Freethrows-0.3#200
Improvement-1.7#280

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#83
First Shot+2.3#102
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#80
Layups/Dunks-2.8#278
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#7
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#135
Freethrows+0.8#126
Improvement+0.5#152
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 12.6 14.3
.500 or above 3.6% 7.4% 1.8%
.500 or above in Conference 1.7% 3.8% 0.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 43.3% 27.8% 51.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida St. (Home) - 33.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 9
Quad 22 - 63 - 16
Quad 33 - 36 - 19
Quad 45 - 112 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 163   Miami (OH) L 69-72 69%     0 - 1 -5.5 -10.6 +5.2
  Nov 12, 2021 293   Stetson W 77-52 88%     1 - 1 +14.7 -3.5 +17.2
  Nov 15, 2021 335   Lamar W 75-66 93%     2 - 1 -5.0 -3.1 -1.5
  Nov 19, 2021 201   @ Georgia W 88-78 57%     3 - 1 +10.9 +12.8 -1.9
  Nov 22, 2021 351   Charleston Southern W 85-70 96%     4 - 1 -2.5 +2.1 -4.9
  Nov 26, 2021 233   Georgia Southern W 61-59 81%     5 - 1 -4.4 -10.6 +6.3
  Dec 01, 2021 25   Wisconsin L 66-70 24%     5 - 2 +6.2 +4.7 +1.1
  Dec 05, 2021 34   North Carolina L 62-79 27%     5 - 3 0 - 1 -8.0 -4.8 -4.2
  Dec 11, 2021 13   LSU L 53-69 10%     5 - 4 +0.6 -10.9 +12.8
  Dec 18, 2021 26   USC L 53-67 18%     5 - 5 -1.3 -7.7 +4.8
  Dec 21, 2021 210   Georgia St. W 72-62 OT 76%     6 - 5 +5.2 -11.8 +15.9
  Jan 02, 2022 86   Louisville L 64-67 45%     6 - 6 0 - 2 +1.1 +0.1 +0.8
  Jan 04, 2022 10   @ Duke L 57-69 7%     6 - 7 0 - 3 +7.6 -5.4 +12.5
  Jan 08, 2022 65   Notre Dame L 68-72 OT 39%     6 - 8 0 - 4 +1.6 -9.0 +11.0
  Jan 12, 2022 138   @ Boston College W 81-76 45%     7 - 8 1 - 4 +9.1 +7.6 +1.3
  Jan 15, 2022 34   @ North Carolina L 65-88 15%     7 - 9 1 - 5 -9.0 -6.3 -1.5
  Jan 19, 2022 49   Wake Forest L 64-80 33%     7 - 10 1 - 6 -8.6 -9.6 +2.1
  Jan 26, 2022 42   Florida St. L 65-70 34%    
  Jan 29, 2022 58   Miami (FL) L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 02, 2022 32   @ Virginia Tech L 59-70 13%    
  Feb 05, 2022 68   Clemson L 66-69 42%    
  Feb 09, 2022 58   @ Miami (FL) L 67-75 21%    
  Feb 12, 2022 67   @ Virginia L 54-62 22%    
  Feb 15, 2022 97   North Carolina St. L 69-70 50%    
  Feb 19, 2022 139   @ Pittsburgh L 63-64 43%    
  Feb 21, 2022 61   @ Syracuse L 69-77 21%    
  Feb 23, 2022 32   Virginia Tech L 61-67 29%    
  Feb 26, 2022 65   @ Notre Dame L 64-72 22%    
  Mar 02, 2022 68   @ Clemson L 64-72 22%    
  Mar 05, 2022 138   Boston College W 69-65 66%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.2 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 2.3 1.0 0.0 4.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 3.7 2.8 0.3 7.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 5.1 5.2 1.0 0.0 12.3 12th
13th 0.0 1.6 6.8 8.4 2.7 0.1 19.5 13th
14th 0.1 2.2 8.5 9.5 3.4 0.3 0.0 24.0 14th
15th 1.1 5.3 9.8 8.3 2.8 0.3 27.6 15th
Total 1.1 5.4 12.0 18.4 20.0 18.1 12.6 7.1 3.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0
12-8 0.1% 15.4% 7.7% 7.7% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.3%
11-9 0.4% 3.0% 3.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.4
10-10 1.2% 0.5% 0.5% 12.3 0.0 0.0 1.2
9-11 3.5% 0.9% 0.9% 12.1 0.0 0.0 3.5
8-12 7.1% 0.4% 0.4% 13.4 0.0 0.0 7.1
7-13 12.6% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.6
6-14 18.1% 0.1% 0.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 18.1
5-15 20.0% 20.0
4-16 18.4% 18.4
3-17 12.0% 12.0
2-18 5.4% 5.4
1-19 1.1% 1.1
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%